Posted on 03/21/2023 7:39:21 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
Ukraine: military situation update with maps - Mar 20, 2023
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine Explained/Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named Reporting from Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... ) or { } or [ ].
-—> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
-—> The True State of Russian Army <——
posted 2 months ago, 21.13 min
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0KiII_2qabk
-—> Combined Arms Breach, what UA will have to master to smash Orc Lines <——
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZZ-sCT_maAQ
———————————————————————————————————————
Extra:
-—> Ukraine Situation Report: Explosions Rock Russian Occupied Crimea <——
Ukrainian and Russian media outlets and Telegram channels reported an attack while Kyiv claims Kalibr missiles were destroyed.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-explosions-rock-russian-occupied-crimea
Excerpts:
The explosions on Monday - about 90 miles from the front lines - continued “the process of Russia’s demilitarization and prepares the Ukrainian peninsula of Crimea for deoccupation,” the GUR reported, without saying exactly what caused the explosions. We reached out to the GUR and will update this story with any information provided.
Ukrainian formations are conducting another raid on the Crimean peninsula,” the Russian Rybar Telegram channel reported. “At the moment, air defense units of the RF Armed Forces are repelling an attack by drones over Dzhankoy.”
“With a high degree of probability, the Armed Forces of Ukraine tried to strike at a military airfield,” Rybar added. “Given the tactics of extreme attacks, one should expect the appearance of handicraft-equipped UAVs in other regions of Crimea.”
While much about this incident is still unknown beyond the extent of damage, including what kind of drones and how many were used, this is the latest in a series of Ukrainian attempts to attack the airbase there as well as other locations in Crimea.
==
The Pentagon declined to tell The War Zone which kind of Riverine boats will be provided. [See here for previous Riverine boats supplied to Ukraine: https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/these-are-the-riverine-patrol-boats-ukraine-is-getting-from-the-u-s ]
==
After two of his pilots returned from a trip to the U.S. where they got a chance to fly F-16 simulators, the commander of the Ukrainian Air Force said they can learn to fly western fighters like the Viper far quicker than suggested by the U.S. and NATO allies.
“They spent three weeks there and were trained on an F-16 simulator how to fly together as two pilots using weapons,” Ukrainian Gen. Serhii Holubtsov told the Times of London in an exclusive interview. “The results came out very good: Ukrainian pilots can learn to fly and operate weapons systems on the F-16 in less than six months,” he told the publication.
“I am losing some of my best people because of the lack of proper equipment,” he said. “The sooner we have all the help we need, the sooner we win this war, the more lives we save.”
==
Sen. Mark Kelly, a former Navy combat pilot (and NASA astronaut) to the list of those who think the March 14 downing of a U.S. Air Force MQ-9 Reaper drone by a Russian Su-27 Flanker jet was the result of that pilot’s incompetence.
“I’m not surprised by this. I mean, I flew with Russian pilots, fighter pilots who couldn’t fly formation. And I watched this video, and it’s pretty obvious what happened. He lost sight of it, and he crashed into it,” Kelly told CNN’s Jake Tapper on “State of the Union” Sunday.
———————————————————————————————————————
Reporting from Ukraine:
https://www.youtube.com/@RFU
Via Telegram: He was wounded in the leg and was evacuated from the front.
••Day 390: March 20
The freshest reports suggest that Russians immediately started moving in multiple directions at once, namely towards Novokalynove and Berdychi. In order to maintain the momentum of advancement and expand their bridgehead as fast as possible, Russian forces deployed a lot of tanks and armored vehicles to facilitate further movement of their infantry.
Simultaneously, after retreating from Krasnohorivka, Ukrainian forces urgently engaged additional units to stabilize the front line. The extensive use of tanks by Russians has been noted already during the battles east of Krasnohorivka, so Ukrainians have deployed more mobile irregular formations to mitigate this problem.
One of the irregular units operating in the Donetsk direction is a unit of special operators, White Wolves. Two days before Russians launched another wave of assaults, White Wolves released a video showing how they destroyed 10 Russian tanks during the night in order to undermine the ability of Russians to penetrate Ukrainian defenses.
As a result, the Ukrainian General Staff reported that the Russian attack on Novokalynove was repelled. If we look at the topographic map, we can see that Russians control two important hills north of Krasnohorivka, while Ukrainians are located in the lowlands, so Russians have a tactical advantage in this regard. However, because of the scattered farmland facilities, small lakes, and ravines, breaking through Ukrainian defenses here proved to be too difficult.
Russian forces also increased the intensity of their attacks to the south of Avdiivka. Here, Russian forces have been struggling for a long time to breach the Ukrainian defense in front of Vodiane. Geolocated footage shows that recently Russian tanks tried to move around and assault Ukrainians from the flanks. Ukrainian 35th Marine Brigade timely spotted the attackers and destroyed several Russian tanks and armored vehicles.
Ukrainian 53rd Mechanized Brigaded also reported about Russian advances to the south of Avdiivka, more specifically from Opytne. This time Russian forces were more successful, and despite the best Ukrainian efforts, managed to breach Ukrainian defenses and got closer to the city itself.
However, it seems like the engagement of so much armor in the south was just to immobilize Ukrainian troops before their main attack. After Russian forces in the south successfully drew Ukrainian attention to this region and in some places like Opytne managed to entangle Ukrainians in positional fights, Russian forces in Krasnohorivka made another push and achieved the most significant results in the most unexpected area.
Today it was reported that Russian forces conducted a heavy mechanized assault on Stepove. Some sources reported that Russians managed to cross the railways and establish partial control over the village. Right now, Ukrainians are urgently relocating troops to Berdychi. Some Russian sources have already confirmed that one Ukrainian tank unit has already arrived in Stepove to push Russians out.
If we look at the topographic map, we can see that Ukrainians are controlling an artificial hill, which should give them a lot of control over the surrounding area. The fact that Russians have to maintain positions on the other side of the railway embankment complicates the situation for Russians even more and makes it extremely unstable. This means that Russians will either shortly make an even bigger mechanized assault with the goal of taking not only Stepove but also Berdychi, or they will be completely destroyed.
Overall, substantial reinforcements of the Russian forces in the Adviivka direction allowed Russians to open multiple lines of attack along the whole front line, fix Ukrainian troops in low-priority directions and generate a breakthrough to the north of Avdiivka. So far, Ukrainians seem to be doing everything they can - they mine the areas of advance, and they engage a lot of drones, artillery, and aviation.
The number of tanks and armored vehicles engaged over the last week reminds us of what we saw in Vuhledar. Russians are trying to encircle Avdiivka as fast as possible, so if Ukrainians manage to slow them down enough, then Russians may once again run out of armor and troops before they secure crucial gains.
Some claim that the China-made drone Mugin-5 Pro 5000mm Carbon Fiber UAV was used in the attack. Its range would take it close to Moscow and has room to be upgraded with more fuel, but engine could be swapped out for a more powerful one.
Ukraine is building its own Shahid-like drone to carry 100kg payload but lacks resources to do it large scale.
==
Leopard 2A4 tanks delivery will be even more than promised by allies - Denys got this info from his buddies at Antonov and other airlines.
==
Germany delivers 14 Marder IFVs - continuously upgraded since introduction in 1970s. Being phased out in German service.
==
Xi-Puttin Meeting:
China is building its economy on the cheap resources from Russia: oil, gas, gold, etc.
Xi Panda looks directly at Putin’s eyes, sits upright, relaxed. Putin looks mostly at the ground, looks uncomfortable, slouches in his chair. A pity to watch Putin’s face.
Putin insulted the Panda by sending Minister of Tourism to greet him at the airport. But the Panda will likely push Putin to withdraw his army from Ukraine because that is in China’s best interests.
Chinese stock market declined a few percent with the meeting. A sign that the Panda is not doing a great job with the aspect of Putin’s war crimes.
==
Bakhmut:
Minor changes. PMC troops exhausted. PMC needs RGF support. UA supply lines still working. PMC says UA is only using minor forces to hold the city, saving the majority for the spring counterattack. All counterattack info comes from PMC and Russian mil-bloggers. Russian MoD is calm and does not care.
==
Adiviika:
Most of the forces south of the city are militias from Donetsk area. Russian forces are exhausted. All of the men from the region have been conscripted from nearby towns and villages and they are also exhausted.
==
Counterattack?
Polohy 10km incursion by the UA determined the positions and dispositions of RGF troops and could serve as the point of a counterattack towards Berdansk a main Russian entry port.
But with rapid-deploying, Western bridging equipment, it is possible that the attack could cross the Dniepr River in the area of Nova Kakhovka. [Which makes more sense than the drive to Berdansk or Mariupol which would create a two front battle.]
This is where the Western Riverine boats would play a large part in getting troops across the Dniepr rapidly. [An attack here is closer to the goal of taking the Crimea than the other scenario, plus gives full control over the Crimean water supply. I’m going with this bet on the actual counter attack.]
Denys thinks there will be two secondary attacks: one in Bakhmut and the other in Adiviika.
PMC and mil-bloggers are saying the UA may encircle Belgorod and use it to trade for another city or area.
I know you must get tired eating the same old left over laughable Western disinfo. For your dining pleasure, here’s some Brand X disinfo.
MOSCOW, March 21. /TASS/. Russian forces destroyed three US-made counter-battery radars of the Ukrainian army over the past day during the special military operation in Ukraine, Defense Ministry Spokesman Lieutenant-General Igor Konashenkov reported on Tuesday.
“Three US-manufactured AN/TPQ-37 counter-battery radars were obliterated in areas near the settlements of Shandrigolovo in the Donetsk People’s Republic, Orekhov in the Zaporozhye Region and Belozyorka in the Kherson Region,” the spokesman said.
In the past 24 hours, operational/tactical and army aviation aircraft, missile troops and artillery of the Russian group of forces struck 95 Ukrainian artillery units at firing positions, manpower and equipment in 107 areas, the general specified.
Battles in Kupyansk direction
Russian forces struck Ukrainian manpower and equipment in the Kupyansk area, eliminating 80 enemy troops over the past day, Konashenkov reported.
“In the Kupyansk direction, units and artillery of the western battlegroup struck the enemy manpower and equipment in areas near the settlements of Dvurechnaya and Timkovka in the Kharkov Region, Novosyolovskoye and Stelmakhovka in the Lugansk People’s Republic in their active operations,” the spokesman said.
Russian forces eliminated as many as 80 Ukrainian personnel, three armored combat vehicles and a D-20 howitzer in that area in the past 24 hours, the general specified.
Battles in Krasny Liman direction
Russian artillery and heavy flamethrower systems struck Ukrainian army units in the Krasny Liman area, eliminating roughly 95 enemy troops over the past day, Konashenkov reported.
“In the Krasny Liman direction, artillery and heavy flamethrower systems of the battlegroup Center struck the Ukrainian army units near the settlements of Nevskoye in the Lugansk People’s Republic, Yampolovka and Grigorovka in the Donetsk People’s Republic,” the spokesman said.
The strikes eliminated as many as 95 Ukrainian personnel, two armored combat vehicles, and also D-20 and D-30 howitzers, the general specified.
Battles in Donetsk direction
Russian forces destroyed roughly 160 Ukrainian troops in their advance in the Donetsk area over the past day, Konashenkov reported.
“In the Donetsk direction, as many as 160 Ukrainian personnel, three armored combat vehicles, four motor vehicles and a D-20 howitzer were destroyed as a result of active operations by units of the southern battlegroup, air strikes and artillery fire,” the spokesman said.
Battles in southern Donetsk, Zaporozhye directions
Russian forces destroyed about 30 Ukrainian troops in the southern Donetsk and Zaporozhye areas over the past day, Konashenkov reported.
In the southern Donetsk and Zaporozhye directions, operational/tactical and army aviation aircraft and artillery of the battlegroup East inflicted damage on the Ukrainian army units in areas near the settlements of Ugledar and Novomikhailovka in the Donetsk People’s Republic and Preobrazhenka in the Zaporozhye Region, the spokesman specified.
“The enemy’s losses amounted to over 30 Ukrainian personnel, two pickup trucks and also a D-30 howitzer,” the general said.
Battles in Kherson direction
Russian forces destroyed over 40 Ukrainian troops, two Akatsiya self-propelled howitzers and a US-made M777 artillery gun in the Kherson area in the past day, Konashenkov reported.
“In the Kherson direction, over 40 Ukrainian personnel, three motor vehicles, two Akatsiya self-propelled howitzers, and also a US-manufactured M777 artillery system were destroyed as a result of damage inflicted on the enemy by firepower,” the spokesman said.
Russia’s Aerospace Forces down Ukrainian Su-25 attack plane
Russian combat aircraft shot down a Ukrainian Su-25 ground attack plane in an aerial battle in the Donetsk People’s Republic over the past day, Konashenkov reported.
“Fighter aircraft of the Russian Aerospace Forces shot down a Ukrainian Air Force Su-25 plane near the community of Nikanorovka in the Donetsk People’s Republic,” the spokesman said.
Russian air defenses intercept three US-made HIMARS rockets
Russian air defense forces destroyed 31 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles and intercepted three rockets of the US-made HIMARS multiple launch rocket system over the past day, Konashenkov reported.
“In the past 24 hours, air defense capabilities destroyed 31 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles in areas near the settlements of Tokarevka in the Kharkov Region, Krasnorechenskoye, Chervonopopovka, Novovodyanoye, Kremennaya, Ploshchanka, Voyevodovka, Rubezhnoye and Baranikovka in the Lugansk People’s Republic, Zelyony Gai, Urozhainoye, Blagodatnoye, Vladimirovka, Yevgenovka and Staromlinovka in the Donetsk People’s Republic, Ulyanovka and Pologi in the Zaporozhye Region, Novaya Zburyevka and Krynki in the Kherson Region,” the spokesman said.
In addition, Russian air defense systems “intercepted three rockets of the HIMARS multiple launch rocket system,” the general said.
Russian forces destroy over 3,500 military drones in Ukraine operation
Russian forces have destroyed over 3,500 Ukrainian combat drones since the start of the special military operation in Ukraine, Konashenkov reported.
“In all, the following targets have been destroyed since the beginning of the special military operation: 403 aircraft, 223 helicopters, 3,502 unmanned aerial vehicles, 414 surface-to-air missile systems, 8,363 tanks and other armored combat vehicles, 1,070 multiple rocket launchers, 4,403 field artillery guns and mortars and 9,039 special military motor vehicles,” the general specified.
TAGS
Military operation in Ukraine
Thanks for the continued daily reports!
Ask the residents of Kherson if they would have preferred to live under the Russian pigs and apes or if they appreciate the liberation that the Ukrainian Army achieved. My friends in the Donbas anxiously await liberation from the Russian and Mohammedan occupiers.
As evil as globohomopedo leader Zelenski? Not close.
In the end, after he has sacrificed the totality of Ukraine independence, Zelensky will be airlifted out of Kiev to one of his mansions.
And my Ukrainian family members say the opposite, so... there's that.
I'm glad Ukrainians believe in fighting for their freedom and country, a concept that sadly seems alien to some FReepers.
You call them “Ukrainian” so why would they want Mohammedan occupiers and criminal Russian administrators? I guess they are traitors.
RuZZian Boy!
Little Pukin is an indicted war criminal.
Can’t get more evil than that.
Yet, Eukraine is still loosing.
Make no mistake, China and RuZZia are our enemies.
/////
The sad thing about this war is that it is turning russia into a client state of the chinese.
If the war goes too far —it will break up russia—and the siberian sections of russia will be taken by the chinese.
I don’t think this is the best outcome.
RuZZians are dying by the thousands every month.
Celebrate. Sing and Dance!
And the survey says:
“The end of this Fed monetary policy cycle is near
As the Fed weighs whether a pause is warranted, the Fed survey finds that whatever the FOMC does this week, the central bank is nearing the end of its interest rate hiking cycle.
The peak rate will still reach over 5% (5.2%, according to the survey), but 86% of respondents think the Fed will start cutting rates, or at least pause, by its July meeting. This expectation is a little more hawkish than the Fed futures market, which is pricing in a peak rate of 4.93%, and expects rates to begin a retreat in October and be down by almost 70 basis points by the end of the year.”
“Tense situation as the Azerbaijani Ministry of Defense released the footage of a Russian Peacekeeping BTR-82A armoured personnel carrier entering the Karabakh region via Armenia using an alternative route with 3 Armenian URAL military trucks and a KamAZ fuel truck.”
https://twitter.com/Caucasuswar/status/1638199002943422466
“Armenia’s military and political leadership is fully responsible for the tension that may arise in the region.
-Ministry of Defense of Azerbaijan”
https://twitter.com/Caucasuswar/status/1638196208895180800
“Accumulation of Armenian troops in the Karabakh region as armed units are entering the Lachin corridor through Armenia. The Azerbaijani Ministry of Defense is infuriated against the Russian Peacekeepers as a Russian patrol vehicle is seen passing by the reinforcement/regroupment.”
https://twitter.com/Caucasuswar/status/1638194995353079809
ICC has become a virtue signaling organization, not even recognized by the USA during our wars...
I referred to them as Ukrainian because grew up in Ukraine. Simple as that.
“India was able to repel a Chinese military incursion in contested border territory in the Himalayas late last year due to unprecedented intelligence-sharing with the US military, US News has learned “
https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/1638005058456494083
Oh RuZZian Boy, Oh RuZZian Boy, don’t you cry for me.
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