"The new US military aid package for Ukraine in the amount of $460 million includes:"
Posted on 02/20/2023 7:44:01 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Small arms, ATGMs, MANPADS, loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles, trailers and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it is not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
“Two days until Putin’s “Victory Concert” in Moscow…”
In line with how the weather has been sharply against Russia in this war, no rain or snow is forecast for Moscow on Wednesday, so they won’t have that convenient excuse to back out of it.
They will likely have to continue to attempt to put a happy face on a very awkward situation - - even if the forecast high that day barely breaks into the double digits (10 F), and it will be breezy. Security will be monitoring faces...
“The US Army on Friday announced the award of a nearly $1 billion contract to increase production of 155 mm artillery rounds... after the army awarded $522 million in orders for the same rounds to two other companies”
We are not the only country in the alliance of free nations that is ramping up defense production.
“the areas Russia has annex will never, ever be part of Ukraine again.”
Didn’t Russia officially announced that they had annexed Kherson, and that it would be Russia forever?
Why yes, yes they did.
It seems that running their mouths far beyond their real capability, is a bad habit of theirs.
“NATO has run out of weapons and ammo to give Ukraine”
Except for a few hundred howitzers and shoulder fired missiles like Stinger and Javelin, Russia has been basically fighting against old Warsaw Pact weapons. NATO tanks and planes have not even shown up yet.
@visegrad24 4h
BREAKING: La Republicca writes that Italy might donate 5 Tornado or AMX fighter jets to Ukraine.
The way it is going with promised or talks about planes the operative word in “might”.
Holding your breath on the arrival of Western planes might not be a good idea.
@DefMon3 1h
"Kupyansk direction: RuAF captured Hryanykivka from which the AFU retreated last week."
Abbott and Costello.
For a job well done in Vuhledar. A round of applause.
“Here he receives his promotion from Shoigu himself. For his superior and extraordinarily good tactics in Vuhledar which have proved extremely effective. “
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1627737520313073664
Is Putin going to dance the Macarena on Wednesday?
The United States has formally determined that Russia has committed crimes against humanity.
The US Vice President publicly announced that at the Munich Security Conference.
It is now the US position, and requires war crimes trials, or at least formal charges, if the perpetrators are not in custody.
@ChuckPfarrer 21h
"BAKHMUT (UPDATE) /2145 UTC 19 FEB/ Bakhmut axis, with air strikes and air defense results updated by 1830 Local UKR General Staff Briefing."
@visegrad24 1h
BREAKING:
“New earthquake measuring 6.4 on the Richter scale strikes Turkey.
Plenty of buildings collapsing.”
The Russian Winter offensive looks like a flop.
Institute for the Study of War, RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, FEBRUARY 19, 2023:
“The major phase of Russian offensive operations in Luhansk Oblast is underway, and Russia likely lacks sufficient uncommitted reserves to dramatically increase the scale or intensity of the offensive this winter.
Russian conventional ground forces are generally deploying and fighting in normal doctrinal formations and units rather than in battalion tactical groups or other ad hoc structures. The observed absence of several critical tank units suggests that the Russian military continues to struggle to replace equipment, especially tanks, lost during previous failed offensive operations.
Russian forces almost certainly still have some reconstituted mechanized units in reserve, but the commitment of these limited reserves to the Luhansk Oblast frontline is unlikely to change the course of the ongoing offensive dramatically.
The Russian offensive will very likely continue for some time and may temporarily gain momentum as the final reserves are committed—if they are—but will very likely culminate well short of its objectives and likely short of achieving operationally significant gains.”
“Where is the massive offensive the you putards have been promising?”
The offensive is so effective that it eliminates all witnesses so there is nobody left to report back on it to the enemy!
Tank losses now seem to be biting away Russia’s fieldable ground combat power. The units are not reconstituting and returning quickly, indicating shortages (likely of many kinds - vehicles, parts, skilled personnel,etc.). That situation is likely to get progressively worse for Russia as tank losses continue to accumulate, in a land bristling with Javelins, mines, and precision Artillery.
Institute for the Study of War, RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, FEBRUARY 19, 2023:
“The absence of several elite and prominent WMD (Western Military District) elements from the Luhansk Oblast line and elsewhere in theater suggests that the Russian military continues to face challenges in reconstituting combat units and specifically tank units.
The WMD commands three army-level maneuver formations—the 6th and 20th Combined Arms Armies (CAA) and the 1st Guards Tank Army (GTA). The 20th CAA is heavily committed along the Svatove-Kreminna line, as noted above. ISW has only observed limited mentions of the 6th CAA and partial mentions of 1st GTA formations in Luhansk Oblast, however, and has not observed these elements anywhere else in theater, suggesting that some of these units and formations have likely not been reconstituted yet.
A delay in the reconstitution of tank units in particular could result from the fact that several critical (and previously elite) Russian tank units and mechanized formations have suffered devastating defeats over the course of the first year of the war.
The 1st GTA, for example, suffered massive losses during its assault in Chernihiv Oblast early in the war and then once again in autumn of 2022 during Ukraine’s counteroffensive in Kharkiv Oblast. The 1st GTA’s 4th Tank Division, specifically its 12th and 13th Guards Tank Regiments, famously lost nearly 100 tanks (a full regiment’s worth) in a few days in September of 2022 (during their rout from Kharkiv Oblast last September).
Russian tank losses have been enormous in this war, amounting to the equivalent of around 16 tank regiments worth, which is likely hindering Russia’s ability to reconstitute its tank units rapidly. Recent intelligence estimates presented by Dutch open-source investigative organization Oryx and the British research institute International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) depict these losses clearly. Oryx verified over 1,000 distinct Russian tank losses and 500 captured tanks on February 9, which likely means that Russia has lost half of its pre-war tank fleet in the first year of the war. IISS similarly noted on February 15 that Russia has lost about 50 percent of its pre-war number of T-72B and T-72B3M main battle tanks.
A single tank regiment requires just short of 100 tanks, so rebuilding two tank regiments from scratch (as the 12th and 13thTank Regiments likely required) would demand 200 tanks, which the Russian armed forces do not appear to have in usable stocks and do not appear able to produce quickly.
Widespread tank losses also impact the capacities of motorized rifle formations to function effectively, but motorized rifle units require fewer tanks in each and can make better use of the large amount of relatively untrained manpower the rushed Russian reserve mobilization has generated. The absence of reconstituted tank regiments and brigades, however, deprives the Russian ground forces of the kind of punch required to make and exploit operationally significant breakthroughs—which may explain why the WMD has so far failed to make any.”
I wonder how much Russia can fund of the war, by pillaging the occupied territories?
ISW reports: “Crimean occupation parliament head Vladimir Konstantinov stated that Crimean occupation officials nationalized tens of billions of rubles (at least 10 million USD) worth of Ukrainian property and plan to use funds from the sale of the property to support Russian forces fighting in Ukraine.”
“Russian tank losses have been enormous in this war, amounting to the equivalent of around 16 tank regiments worth”
The RuZZian boys have made fun of my daily tank loss postings.
Could the numbers be true? Is it possible?
“Could the numbers be true?”
Math will have its day.
The numbers say that Russia loses, as long as the West doesn’t quit.
Looks like there will be another promotion for whoever led yesterday’s Vuhledar assault which was even more of a rout, even to losing a major piece of ground.
ISW reports: "ISW has not observed the commitment of the 2nd Motor Rifle Division (2nd MRD) of the 1st Guards Tank Army to combat even though the unit was reported to have deployed to Luhansk Oblast. (1st Guards Tank Army is generally covering the line from Svatove to Kreminna)... 2nd MRD elements are therefore likely being held in reserve in the rear of Luhansk Oblast and likely could deploy to the frontline in the future... The absence of the 2nd MRD from active engagement suggests that Russian forces are holding most of a division in reserve (roughly equivalent to an American Brigade).
@ChuckPfarrer 17h
"KREMINNA /0250 UTC 20 FEB/ The 19 FEB (1800 local) briefing of the UKR Gen’l Staff did not report any new RU offensive operations in the Kreminna Area of Operations (AO). UKR carries out 20 aviation strike missions."
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