Replies

Running short on time today, so a little shorter than usual.

Globalism / Great Reset -

(FO) In its 2023 Global Risks Report, the World Economic Forum (WEF) uses the word “polycrisis” to describe the array of threats and risks facing the world in 2023. “This is the year of the polycrisis, where risks are more interdependent and reciprocally damaging than ever,”
The WEF sees inflation, natural disasters, geoeconomic confrontation, climate change, and the “erosion of social cohesion and societal polarization” (leading to state collapse) as the world’s top five threats over the next two years, especially as the world decouples into eastern and western spheres of influences.
The key takeaways from the five areas of this report –

1. Inflation and the Cost of Living Crisis: Disruptions to food and energy markets will drive political and social unrest.
2. Natural Disasters: Natural disasters are expected to become more severe and frequent, putting stress on governments and increasing environmental and social risks.
3. Geoeconomic Confrontation: Conflict between nations over economic matters and “the weaponization of economic policy,” such as sanctions, export controls, and trade wars, “risk widespread spillovers” in the global economy. This will push nations to become more self-sufficient and less interconnected, accelerating deglobalization and further fracturing.
4. Climate Change: The top climate change risks, according to the WEF, center on the failure to mitigate climate change and the failure to adapt to it.
5. Societal Polarization: Social disintegration is a rising risk due to many factors, including the four mentioned above. The report talks about a values gap and inequality as being the two leading factors currently polarizing populations.
6. Societal Polarization: Polarization and social disintegration leading to violent social movements and state collapse.

OBSERVATION - Report is rather gloomy and is interesting as such. The GGR/WEF folks look to this level of social/economic upheaval to usher in its “Great Reset” agenda and world governance. Many of these issues appear to be driven behind the scenes by the WEF and affiliated govts and agencies. They are creating the problem in order to drive the world into accepting their “solution”.

Wuhan virus –

Pfizer was required by the U.S. and Food and Drug Administration (FDA) to conduct multiple studies on its vaccine after the FDA approved the shot in August 2021 because regulators determined that without the studies, there would not be sufficient data to assess the “known serious risks of myocarditis and pericarditis,” or heart inflammation and a related condition.
Regulators were also concerned about the potential risk of subclinical myocarditis, or heart inflammation without typical symptoms.
The FDA told Pfizer to carry out six studies, with various deadlines for completion and reporting final results to the agency. The first final deadline arrived on Dec. 31, 2022.

Pfizer was required to submit a report on the study, which was to assess the incidence of subclinical myocarditis following administration of a third dose of Pfizer’s vaccine, or a booster shot, in people aged 16 to 30.
It’s unclear whether Pfizer met the deadline. The company and the FDA did not respond to requests for comment, and neither have issued any information about the study or its results since the deadline passed.

The FDA added a warning about myocarditis following Pfizer and Moderna vaccination to patient and health care provider fact sheets in June 2021. Both vaccines utilize messenger RNA (mRNA) technology. Prospective vaccine recipients were told the risk of myocarditis was increased after vaccination, particularly after the second dose of the two-dose primary series.

OBSERVATION – Pfizer committed fraud and both they and the FDA know it. Seems FDA positioning itself to pin blame on Pfizer, knowing the swamp will protect it’s corrupted basis for approval.

Economy –

Led by lower energy costs, acceleration in U.S. inflation eased in December for the sixth consecutive month. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose at an annualized rate of 6.5% in December, down from 7.1% in November and well below the 9.1% peak in June.

OBSERVATION – Inflation isn’t dead by a long shot. Prices outside of energy have continued under strong inflationary rates - Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rose 0.3 percent for the month. Core prices were up 5.7 percent compared with a year ago.

And the relief from energy costs are only expected to be short lived as gasoline prices are expected to rebound to $4+ range by early summer.

As the US edges closer to a potential crisis on the debt ceiling, various elements are coming up with plans to circumvent any delay in the rise. Some conservatives are wanting to play hardball with concessions while the banking sector is warning of economic catastrophe for debt default. IMHO, the US has few options anymore given the uncontrolled spending and current economic shakiness and impending recession. Raising the ceiling is a damned if you do, damned if you don’t scenario that plays right into the lefts hands either way.

Sky high electrical and natural gas prices are beginning to cause steel and aluminum plants to slow down and in some ways, shut down. This in turn is affecting the economy with layoffs and more supply shortages with higher prices. Decisions to shut down operations are of last resort, since shut down procedures are long and tedious and restarting takes another six to nine months. For this reason, owners don’t halt operations unless they’ve exhausted all other options.

OBSERVATION – Growing up, the Pacific NW had a bunch of Aluminum smelting plants because of the abundant supply of cheep electricity from hydro and coal plants. Over the years as population has grown and electrical supply has dropped these plants have largely shut down and disappeared. Now that business has been transferred to China – and we all know how that has been going.

Invasion of Illegals –

Department of Homeland Security (DHS) is extending temporary amnesty status to thousands of Somali nationals living in the United States who would otherwise be eligible for deportation.
On Thursday, DHS Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas announced that the Biden administration is extending and redesignating Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for 18 months, which will allow more than 2,600 Somali nationals to remain living and working in the U.S.

OBSERVATION - They have not been the best model ‘citizens’ in Minnesota

Biden / Harris watch –

Peter Doocy on new batch of classified documents found in Biden’s garage: “Classified material next to your Corvette! What were you thinking?”

Biden responds: “My Corvette is in a locked garage, OK? So it’s not like they’re sitting out on the street”
Doocy: “So, the material was in a locked garage?”
“Yes,” said Biden, “as well as my Corvette.
“But as I said earlier this week, people know I take classified documents and classified material seriously,” Biden said.

Now a third discovery has been announced. The finding came at Biden’s personal residence in Wilmington, Delaware, and follows two other classified batches from his vice presidential days that were flagged last year, Attorney General Merrick Garland revealed Thursday.
...
So far, there have been at least three distinct classified document discoveries. The first came on Nov. 2 of last year, while a Biden lawyer was clearing out a closet in the president’s old office space at the Penn Biden Center for Diplomacy and Global Engagement, a foreign policy-focused think tank. Biden “periodically used this space from mid-2017 until the start of the 2020 campaign,” according to White House counsel Richard Sauber.

OBSERVATION - As noted under politics, this could be the start of a move to keep biden off the 2024 ticket.

But we can rest assured that biden takes security of his Corvette more seriously than the boxes of highly classified document in his possession.

Anyone notice that harris has dropped off the radar for the past several months – perhaps in part is her continued demonstrated incompetence on full display at a recent press conference where she tossed some whopper word salads –

Kamala: “It is the Caribbean nations, island nations in the Western hemisphere. That is where the Caribbean is. We are also in the Western Hemisphere. They are our neighbors.”

Harris: “I think of this moment as a moment that is about great momentum, inspired by, yes, optimism… but also inspired by also our collective ability to see what can be unburdened by what has been.”

Harris: “Always think about complex issues through the frame of a Venn diagram.”

CW2/Domestic violence –

The U.S. Department of Education has launched an investigation based on the American Civil Liberties Union’s (ACLU) complaint against Granbury Independent School District (GISD) and Superintendent Jeremy Glenn which centers on the removal of controversial books as well as related comments made by Glenn.

RELATED: Cross-dressing Book for Pre-K Students Crossed the Line
ACLU alleges GISD exhibited anti-LGBT discrimination and violated Title IX, the federal civil rights law prohibiting sex-based discrimination, but reinterpreted by the Biden administration to include sexual orientation and gender identity.

OBSERVATION – A different kind of incident for the CW2 topic, but I see this as just one of the many stressors that are increasing the cultural split in his country that may well end up in a violent split of the country. Here the biden regime is trying to force by ‘law’ radical LGBT agenda on the children.

POLITICAL FRONT –

Attorney General Merrick Garland has just announced that he is appointing a special counsel to investigate whether Biden mishandled classified information during his time in private life. The DoJ named Robert Hur, a partner at Gibson Dunn, as the special prosecutor.

OBSERVATION – Some are wondering if this is the next step in preventing a second biden run for the presidency, given how the MSM is largely not providing cover for him on this scandal.

RELATED - Robert Hur is the man who served as the DOJ point man to Robert Mueller’s special counsel investigation looking into Donald Trump’s alleged side hustle as a Russian secret agent — Double 45.
He is the same guy who vetted retired British spy Christopher Steele, a disgraced (sensing a pattern here?) spy who was fired by the FBI (and then used on the QT by his cutout Bruce Ohr) and hired actual Russian spies on behalf of Hillary Clinton’s campaign to make up information on Trump.

Strategic Activity / Deployments –

Pending further confirmation but reports that a large number of U.S. army tanks and military vehicles began arriving at the Dutch port of Vlissingen on Wednesday (January 11), ahead of their transport to Poland and Lithuania later this year as part of moves to strengthen NATO’s eastern flank. The equipment includes large numbers of M-1 Abrams tanks and Bradley Fighting Vehicles from the 2nd Brigade Combat Team, 1st Cavalry Division, of Fort Hood, Texas. Dutch armed forces are helping with marine security and guarding the port area where the vehicles will be housed before they continue East.

OBSERVATION – I’ve not seen any announcements of this level of deployment, though could have been overwhelmed by other news.

China –

WAR WATCH – I am still monitoring for indicators that indicated that China may initiate a more coercive plan to force Taiwan into submission with a potential start of a potential blockade of the island during the Chinese New Years timeframe. Chinese New Year celebrations begin 22 January, after which they would have 60 days until a break in seasonally rough weather conditions in the Taiwan Strait.

China’s exports reportedly shrank by 9.9% year-on-year in December, following an 8.7% contraction in November. “The outlook for exports remains weak, given the combination of slowing global growth and ongoing consumer shift from goods towards services.

OBSERVATION – This is reflected globally via supply shortages and the drive to relocate production to other nations or back to the home countries. This is going to make China’s global plans a lot harder to follow through on.

Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia’s “three days to conquer Ukraine” war continues since fighting starting on Feb 24th.

CURRENT ASSESSMENT
Russia is currently working to (re)assemble a military force capable of resuming the offensive in the Donbas while at the same time trying to make defensive preparations for an expected Ukrainian offensive as well. Suspected goal for the start of offensive operations is latter half of January at the earliest.

At present, it is capable of very local offensive actions as in the ongoing fighting around Bakhmut and Donetsk.

Russia is also capable of launching more cruise/ballistic missile attacks directed against Ukrainian infrastructure -primarily its power grid, but massively reduced inventories of such missiles means these barrages will be further apart.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.

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Ukraine -
WEATHER FORECAST – Rain and snow letting up with increasing number of days that are below freezing and for much of eastern Ukraine, a multi-day episode of sub-freezing temperatures on the way.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Russian Ministry of Defense claimed full control over Soledar since last night, however there are unconfirmed reports of a Ukraine counter attack on going. Information has been mixed, but it is likely Russia has made more gains in the town.

Continued Russian attacks against Bahkmut and outskirts of Donetsk. Most of the Russian artillery strikes were reported along the line from Svatove south to the Donetsk region. Widely scattered elsewhere.

OUTLOOK ——
I expect that barring a surprise, Russia will start consolidating Soledar and try to pivot for an encirclement of Ukrainian forces in nearby Bakhmut. The key issue is does Russia have the forces left to exploit this in any meaningful manner. They have put tremendous residual resources in this fight that will be necessary if Ukraine kicks off a winter offensive.

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Europe / NATO General –

NATO said Friday that it would deploy its fleet of E-3 Airborne Warning and Control System surveillance aircraft (AWACS) to Romania in order to perform reconnaissance of Russian military movements in Ukraine. The aircraft will reportedly operate out of a military airbase near the capital of Bucharest.

OBSERVATION – Monitor any potential Russian winter offensive

Iran –

There were no reported protests in Iran for the second consecutive day on January 12, 2023.

OBSERVATION – I noted a few posts ago that the protests are shifting to an underground movement in the face of ever violent govt suppression.

No post tomorrow as I’m taking a day off.

Globalism / Great Reset -

Many are looking into the tea leaves trying to figure what will come out of Davos next week. Here’s my 2 cents –
I expect that a dramatic, almost tyrannical push to get the climate change ‘reset’ back on track. The Ukraine threw those efforts off, but as warmer months approach you can expect the party line will be brought back. With the “crisis” over, countries may even begin to implement the climate change “emergency” orders similar to those issued for wuhan.
Second, I think there will be maneuvering to bring on the global economic collapse. The bipolar nature of the expectations for a global recession will be on line in a few months. Combined with national debts the season will be ripe for their ‘solution’ to the problem they have created.
Finally, a more aggressive push for CBDC and digital IDs (with increasing push for the addition of ESG data).

RELATED - Kalifornia is acting as a beta test for digitial identification. The project is aimed at creating a single digital identifier that can be used to provide proof of identity and obtain access to state services.
The California Department of Motor Vehicles said the rollout to pilot a secure mobile driver’s license or mDL, could come as early as late spring for a limited number of participants. The DMV said it is working with popular mobile wallet providers, including Apple and Android, to place the mDLs into their devices.
The DMV is also developing an open-source app to test alongside the mDLs. All of these pilot products will utilize the security capabilities already built into smartphones, including biometric readings or a PIN code...

Just like the test run by many banks of the Fed inspired CBDC that was started late last year, these many smaller rollouts are designed to fly under the radar as much as possible while working out the bugs for usability and deployability.

The increasing control of peoples lives are highlighted in the recent push for the “15 Minute City” concept. Fifteen-minute cities are popping up everywhere, and the World Economic Forum is wildly enthusiastic about them. Last year it was announced that Paris, France, would become a 15-minute city, and now the British city of Oxford is next.

The “15-minute city” concept is crucial in the United Nations Agenda 2030 and their Net Zero green agenda. The World Economic Forum is also pushing this new concept. Oxford, which has declared a ‘climate emergency,’ is hoping their 15-minute cities will help achieve the Council’s ‘Net Zero carbon Oxford’ vision by 2040.”

As early as 2024, Oxford plans to impose “climate lockdowns” on residents to help achieve the Council’s ‘Net Zero carbon Oxford’ vision by 2040.” The “15-minute city” concept is also crucial for the United Nations Agenda 2030. And not surprisingly, the World Economic Forum is also pushing the idea.

Oxford will be divided into six zones ‘to save the planet’ from “global warming.” Electronic fences are placed on access roads to ensure residents remain within their own zone.

Residents are allowed to leave their 15-minute city a maximum of 100 times a year, but then they must first register their car, which is tracked throughout the city via smart cameras.

OBSERVATION – I’ve touched on this in earlier posts. This dystopic plan would in the Before Years be considered totally unreasonable and controlling. Today it is becoming a reality. The globalists believe that they can achieve this because of the overwhelming success they had with the wuhan ‘emergency’ and all the restrictive actions they got away with.

RELATED - In an article published in the Guardian, Rebecca Solnit wrote –

To change our relationship to the physical world – to end an era of profligate consumption by the few that has consequences for the many – means changing how we think about pretty much everyting: wealth, power, joy, time, space, nature, value, what constitutes a good life, what matters, how change itself happens. …”

OBSERVATION – Again, using climate change as a lever to force economic change.

Many are tracking the actions of the WHO as they draft changes to the global treaty that would empower them to dictate ‘health’ standard to all member nations, changes that would avoid the treaty having to come back to the US for Senater approval. These changes were slammed last year when they first came out and the WHO publicly walked them back, but apparently the work has continued behind closed doors.
Given the reported gelatinous nature of the amendments, they could declare just about anything as a public health threat – and use that to go after the 2d Amendment rights of Americans, trumping the constitution. These changes are reportedly set to be presented later this year at its meeting of member states.

Wuhan virus –

See China for their report of wuhan deaths below.

The CDC just put out a safety warning about the Pfizer COVID bivalent booster. It appears that it may be causing strokes.

OBSERVATION – IDK if this is due to the incoming Republican investigations into the CDC and its response to the wuhan plandemic or not. But it seem warnings about the jabs are coming out more frequently – possibly in an effort to separate their collusion with Pfizer/Moderna.

Economy –

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told Congress Friday that the nation would reach the statutory debt limit in January 19th – requiring ‘extraordinary measures’ that can only last for a finite period with a political clash looming this summer.

‘Once the limit is reached, Treasury will need to start taking certain extraordinary measures to prevent the United States from defaulting on its obligations,’ Yellen said in a letter to congressional leaders.
‘While Treasury is not currently able to provide an estimate of how long extraordinary measures will enable us to continue to pay the government’s obligations, it is unlikely that cash and extraordinary measures will be exhausted before early June,’ she wrote.

Battlelines are being drawn up in Congress. Members of the conservative House Freedom Caucus have said that spending cuts should match the amount of any debt limit increase.

Democrats are advocating a clean debt limit increase before the deadline, setting up a showdown between the parties.
“Congress must act on legislation to prevent a disastrous default, meet our obligations and protect the full faith and credit of the United States,” Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries said in a statement on Friday. “A default forced by extreme MAGA Republicans could plunge the country into a deep recession and lead to even higher costs for America’s working families on everything from mortgages and car loans to credit card interest rates.

The White House says that it will not participate in any negotiations, but back the ‘clean’ increase plan.

OBSERVATION – One elephant in the room that I haven’t addressed much is the incredibly massive amount of debt this country currently has. One day it will have to account for it. The debt limit was at one time the tool used to reign in spending, now it is all too easy just to raise the limit.

Enter stage right the WEF and the Global Reset – a nearly every other country in the world is facing similar, massive debt.

Invasion of Illegals –

Townhall reports - The Department of Homeland Security announced new measures that would help illegal migrants avoid deportation if they agree to report U.S. labor violations.
The DHS claimed that using deferred action, the notion of protecting noncitizens from the threat of being deported, will make it easier for the agency to investigate violations of labor laws put in place by “exploitive employers.”
“Unscrupulous employers who prey on the vulnerability of noncitizen workers harm all workers and disadvantage businesses who play by the rules,” DHS Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas said. “We will hold these predatory actors accountable by encouraging all workers to assert their rights, report violations they have suffered or observed, and cooperate in labor standards investigations.”

OBSERVATION – Use of illegals for labor is one of the sore spots in our economy, and one that attempts have been made to counter over the years. Now govt is rewarding illegals for ratting on employers. I wonder just how long these employers will continue to have illegals in their work pools and facing potential blackmail for their employment matters.

CW2/Domestic violence –

Victor Davis Hanson has a hands down excellent review of the current racial divides in the nation today. Rwanda example is being played out in our cities today.

https://amgreatness.com/2023/01/08/a-rendezvous-with-rwanda/

SEE WHO above under Globalism / Great Reset above. If the reported efforts to modify the WHO treaty, some are saying that there will be major resistance to any declaration to supersede constitutional rights starting on a state by state basis.

Strategic Activity / Deployments –

The Nimitz Carrier Strike Group began operating in the South China Sea on Thursday, the Navy announced, amid heightened tensions with Beijing, which claims much of the body of water as its sovereign territory.
Two Chinese ships are already tailing the US group, a defense official told CNN, which consists of an aircraft carrier, a guided missile cruiser, and three guided missile destroyers.
The Nimitz CSG, entered the South China Sea for the first time as part of its current deployment.

OBSERVATION – China has been operating its carrier in ways that expose how it could threaten US/Japanese ability to counter strike in the event of a Taiwan invasion. This is just a reminder to the Chinese that we have a bigger club.

China –

China on Saturday reported nearly 60,000 deaths in people who had COVID-19 since early December following complaints the government was failing to release data about the status of the pandemic.
The death toll included 5,503 deaths due to respiratory failure caused by COVID-19 and 54,435 fatalities from other ailments combined with COVID-19. The National Health Commission said those deaths occurred in hospitals, which left open the possibility more people also might have died at home.

OBSERVATION – As always, one must hold China’s reported information at arms length. Interesting distinction made here between cause solely by wuhan and those with other ailments. Dispite the numbers, there seems to be little here to permit the branch covidians in the US to reinstitute their tyranny – though they’ve been trying. However the primary effect has been to further the industrial production chaos the previous lockdown and now apparently much wider spread infections have caused.
One thought – this has occurred following China’s relaxation of the zero-covid tyranny. One would think the Chinese hierarchy is allowing this to punish the population for its rejections of the policy and create a base for a resumption of the strict restrictions.

Russia -
WAR WATCH - Russia’s “three days to conquer Ukraine” war continues since fighting starting on Feb 24th.

At present, it is capable of very local offensive actions as in the ongoing fighting around Bakhmut and Donetsk.

While Russia has nuclear capability, the probability is low that any will be used in the near future.

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RUMINT-
Western intelligence indicates that Putin could announce a fresh mobilization soon. If a decision is taken within weeks, as many as 500,000 extra Russians could be trained and sent to the front by April
NOTE - These new mobilization plans have been bouncing around for many weeks now. Some of these conscripts could see the front within week of mobilization – as did many of the last mobilization. The question is – will Russia continue the human wave / cannon fodder attacks or actually provide more training that will be necessary for a successful offensive operation.

24 HOUR ROUND UP –
Overnight Russia launched a very large, ballistic missile attacks Kyiv as well as other major cities. It appears that they are following this attack up with cruise missile barrage(s). This follows a pause of nearly two weeks since the last such attack and is the first using significant numbers of ballistic missiles in an even longer period. Ukraine air defense is being hampered by fog in many locations.

The extensive use of ballistic missiles – many thought to have been launched from Belarus - raises a couple questions.
1) Were these missiles recently produced (Iskanders) or
2) do they represent the first of ballistic missiles Russia has been working to procure from Iran.

Many of these missiles struck residential and other civilian areas.
Contrary to Russian announcements, Soledar is still not under Russian control and fighting continues to be fierce in the town. Russia has also increased operations south of Bakhmut to try to form a pincer in that direction.
Meanwhile, Ukrainian forces have reached the edge of Kreminna and are pushing Russian forces back.
Russian artillery was active along the LOC from the border area north of Kharkiv southward towards Donetsk.

OUTLOOK ——
One outcome of the recent missile attacks on apartments and other civilian targets is growing pressure to supply longer range weapons systems. Ukraine’s drone attacks on Russian strategic bomber bases resulted in Russia pulling bombers further east out of range. Those redeployed bombers were involved in the overnight attacks – it just took them longer to reach their designated cruise missile launching areas.

It has become hard for Russia to hide the preparations for these attacks. As noted in a recent post, Russia deployed many missile capable subs and surface vessels in days prior and SIGNINT announced the bombers in route over established HF strategic comms networks. As long as Russia can strike Ukraine with these weapons, the balance of power will be on their side as they prepare for their ‘offensive’. Thus the pressure to arm Ukraine with ATACAMS and similar long range systems.

NEAR TERM assessment is that Russia will once again pause to assemble the missiles necessary for the next barrage – one to two weeks max. If Russia is able to get their hands on Iranian ballistic missiles things will get ugly as Russian has shown no restraint in targeting apartments, markets, power grid and other civilian areas with these weapons.

Belarus -

Observers in Belarus note that there has been decrease in the intensity of movements of the Russian Armed Forces by rail may potentially indicating the completion of rotation of part of the Russian contingent, which was trained at the training grounds of the Belarusian Armed Forces. The rotation of the Russian military indicates that in the near future we should not expect an offensive by the Russian Armed Forces from the territory of Belarus. The function of Belarus in this case is to serve as a training base for the mobilized Russians.

OBSERVATION – Though these are the reports from covert observers in Belarus and relaying in party by Ukrainian intelligence one must still be vigilant. Yet no solid indicators of an impending Russian or Russian/Belarus invasion are present.

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Europe / NATO General –

Increased push to get modern, western tanks and APC/IFVs into Ukraine as soon as possible for both their offensive as well as countering the expected Russian offensive.

Iran –

UK imposes sanctions on Iran prosecutor general over the execution of former deputy Defense Minister Akbari. Akbari held dual British/Iranian citizenship.

Black Swans -

A severe weather outbreak in the Southeast United States on Thursday, January 12, 2023, has left at least seven people dead, several injured, and extensive damage in its wake. A series of tornadoes in central Alabama killed at least six people and in Georgia, a passenger in a vehicle was killed when a tree fell on the car during a severe storm.

OBSERVATION – The nation has been hit with almost generational level storms, starting with the Christmas time blast of arctic air and snow that hit the northern plains and buried Buffalo under record snow. Now the almost non-stop deluge of Kalifornia combined with the breakout of tornados as those storms progress to the east. Tornados in December/January time frame are rare because the combination of warm moist air colliding with cold air masses doesn’t usually exist in the winter.

For being the third La Nina winter – things haven’t acted out as usual or as they have the previous two winters.

I’ve also followed extreme weather events hitting other parts of the planet. In many of those cases it is simply information bias that interjects. OTOH, rare rain/hail/snow events in parts of the world that haven’t seen these storms in over a generation do poke above the noise.

As I’ve noted in many previous posts, one cannot predict weather related disasters, but can estimate their effects on the current global economy/food chain. At this stage, my gut is that on a basis of weather, we will continue to see near biblical levels of major storms. How and where they will hit remains to be seen.