RuZZian Tank losses RunningTotal: 1505
November 2022 – 87
October 2022 – 212
September 2022 - 217
August 2022 – 74
July 2022 – 108
June 2022 – 67
May 2022 – 148
April 2022 – 243
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 350
RuZZian Artillery losses Running Total: 430
November 2022 – 51
October 2022 – 64
September 2022 - 73
August 2022 – 21
July 2022 – 21
June 2022 – 18
May 2022 – 20
April 2022 – 52
Feb 24 - March 2022 – 110
Sounds like Bill Clinton: https://www.c-span.org/video/?c5031955/clinton-feel-pain
“‘We share your pain’: Putin meets with mothers of Russian soldiers”
“President Vladimir Putin met on Friday with the mothers of Russian soldiers fighting in Ukraine, telling them that he and his country shared their pain.
Sitting with the group of women around a table with tea and cake, Putin said he understood that nothing could replace the loss of a son.
“I would like you to know that, that I personally, and the whole leadership of the country, we share your pain,” he said, according to a recorded television clip seen by Reuters.
“We understand that nothing can replace the loss of a son — especially for a mother. We share this pain,” he added.
The clip did not immediately show the mothers’ response to Putin’s comments.
Hundreds of thousands of Russian soldiers have been sent to fight in Ukraine this year, including around 300,000 reservists who were called up in September in a “partial” mobilization.”
Good thing that that Ukrainians are willing to live without heat or electricity for 2 to 3 years...... Somehow that does NOT feel like winning.
This site as now become full propaganda to highest bidder... did you pay for you admin privilege? they now shadow ban people and push Desantis. SAD.
On the face of it you list is bogus...how can russia lose 10 times more tanks than Ukraine(1505 to 153)...yet Ukraine have not taken more territory than Russia? does that make sense? What as become of this place?
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, Nov 24, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••Denotes Transcribed Dialogue. The entirety of the analysis is from a Ukrainian guy named War in Ukraine’s daily video - I only transcribe it. Extras are just that - from other sites, or my comments marked (Edit: .... )
-—> Current to date and past MAPS: <——
https://militaryland.net/
———————————————————————————————————————
Summary:
no major changes.
Key areas:
- Oskil river area: no changes.
- North Donbass area: no changes.
- Central Donbass (Donetsk West): no changes.
- Zaporizhya: no changes.
———————————————————————————————————————
••On the 23rd there was a pretty strong attack on Ukrainian energy distribution system; the result is pretty devastating - it is unclear what’s gonna happen in the future. As a result, the remaining three nuclear power stations were all disconnected from the power grid, because the power grid cannot take the energy that’s being produced by the nuclear power stations which that creates an overload on the power station, so the safety devices shut them down. This happened to many other power generation facilities, and the whole country descended into energy collapse.
In most places there’s no water, and no running water in the cities, and cities are turning into death traps. I would say, they are general death traps, but this is becoming very obvious and very dangerous. For example: the mayor of Kiev called on the inhabitants to leave; the problem is that many of the city dwellers don’t really have places to go. People who are connected have their own houses, they some of the way social and supported for people who are prefer to live in apartments, so this creates a lot of problems for me to be seen what’s going to happen, but country completely paralyzed. You can’t really do any work, only 20% of ATMs work; people are buying bottled water, there’s shortages of well water, shortages of cash, of everything; there are traffic jams on railroads, many trains are delayed by 10-20 hours.
Ukrainian railroads are trying to switch to diesel locomotives where possible. I don’t know exact distribution between diesel locomotives and electrical locomotives, and you cannot replace diesel because you don’t have enough of these diesel ones. There are attempts to use local locomotives - I don’t know how they called, but they not intended for long-haul routes, they just intended for the station to move carriages around the station.
There are attempts to use that, so the situation is extremely difficult & desperate, when the system will be able to restart as one system remains to be seen, but it looks like it is the start of the collapse of the energy distribution system. This makes all cities uninhabitable, because if you don’t have a supply of heat & water, the pipelines will get blown up, and you don’t even have water - this really the situation is extremely difficult.
There might be a significant flow of refugees back to Europe; I mean 1-2 million, but I would not be surprised that the flow of refugees goes back out of Ukraine in the near future, because you really are in a trap; you cannot work to sustain yourself - so that’s the situation.
There is an ammonia pipeline that goes through Ukraine from Talyadi in Russia on the Volga River, and it goes to the Odessa Port Factory, it is a processing facility that processes ammonia for the production of nitrogen fertilizer urea; the plant is near Odessa in a town called Sojyne. There is quite a bit of negotiation going on right now, back and forth between Russia and Ukraine. Russia wants to use it because it produces significant amount of US dollars in Euros for them.
Its very competitive on the international market, and I’ll discuss that later. Russia is almost shut down in terms of export of natural gas, so the ability to switch to the production of fertilizer is becoming vitally critical.
There’s also eastern branch of pipeline that goes to another facility which does similar things: conversion it into urea and additional chemical processing operations. Ukraine is asking in return for reopening this pipeline is return of all Ukrainian POWs prisoners will work, so negotiations are still going on.
Ukraine is completely like wiped out there’s nothing even to discuss there its just a black hole and you probably have seen pictures of of the world in the middle of the night and Ukraine is black. but everything everywhere else is there is light around Ukraine.
POWs:
Russian military command announced that they formed entire a battalion from former Ukrainian POWs that will be serving in the Russian forces, I don’t know if its propaganda or real situation.
Russian economy situation - long discussion, mostly skipped.
Russian Pharmaceuticals industry is dropping suddenly - in October the drop was 8.5% year-on-year in production - before it was growing. Since the beginning of the year industry grew by about 20% because the military needs a lot of pharmaceuticals; the pharmaceutical industry in Russia was buying ingredients from the West, and then combining them to make the generic Western medicine.
Russia cannot buy those ingredients anymore, so the production is going down as well. This probably will lead in 2-3 months to two very severe effects on the Russian Healthcare System, and ability to support wounded on the front line.
There’s huge problems for the Russian infantry, for example: they don’t have tourniquets and use rubber bands and like things from like World War II, that really don’t work well, and there’s a lot there’s a lot of like its its already huge problem and its its just gonna its just gonna turn into even bigger problem.
Pakistan, which is a puppet of China, is now saying it is willing to process Russian crude and then resell it.
Russia and China - mostly skipped.
Russia has only two train lines that connected to to China and they have like totally not enough capacity to export all of the commodities to China so and there’s total bottleneck and Russia’s stopped exporting those commodities because there’s not the takeoff is is not there so what they’re trying to do now they they’re trying to build their railroad bridge between almost the China and Russia to shorten those that rule in in a hope that it will create like a third route or at least it will increase throughput to some extent to alleviate the bottleneck.
Foxconn Factory protests in China I think there’s like 200,000 workers is just part of larger discontent and problems within Chinese society and this is just one of the outlets where people can vent it versus in many other places they cannot, and this social tension is completely arising in China; there’s a complete lockdown in Beijing, the situation is getting really difficult socially in China, and that really may accelerate Chinese desire to attack Taiwan sooner than later; Chinese leadership may have no choice but to do it now.
US Democratic Congressman says the US military is behind the curve, not doing right, things not being prepared for the attack on day one - so looks like, if China attacks Taiwan in the near future, the US military will fail - that’s the message I’m taking away from from this Congressman; he said the Taiwanese military will probably crumble pretty quickly.
Taiwanese society in a way split probably close to 50-50 maybe 40-60 but at least probably 35-40 percent are supporting becoming part of China. There’s a lot of those people in Taiwanese military, it remains to be seen if Taiwanese military will be even putting any stiff resistance, because there’s a lot of hope or thinking that its going to be similar to what’s going on in Ukraine.
Based on what information I have, it doesn’t look like its gonna be similar to Ukraine - its going to be much faster and it looks like Chinese success, and the reason for that is because there is significant portion in Taiwanese military and society at large that supports becoming part of of China; and the US military is completely unprepared to unblock the isolation of Taiwan by Chinese.
Military Situation:
North Luhansk:
Looks like both sides are switching to positional defenses; no major attacks on either side which is pretty quite significant change.
North Donbas:
Russian side is putting Ukrainian forces in extremely difficult situation, specifically Wagner mercenaries, they have continued attacks, putting extremely heavy pressure, and Ukrainian defenders have really hard time defending against Wagner mercenaries.
I have a little bit more information on their tactical approach, so I’m thinking of doing that tomorrow, if that works out, if not then, in a couple next days, but there is interesting information on how they operate, in their tactics.
It will become much more clear from that analysis why is it is slowly but surely winning, and they inflict heavy losses on the Ukrainian side, they also have heavy losses, there’s no question about that, but I’ll do more analysis in a couple days, and you’ll understand better the whole dynamics, and why it is the most dangerous Russian system. There is no match on Ukraine side to that, maybe a Azov could be a match to an extent, but its wiped out, non-existent, so Ukraine doesn’t have anything so that could match that system, but eventually something will crumble on the Ukrainian side.
Central Donbas:
Here its also somewhat active, but less activity, typical attacks, the whole idea is to outflank Ukrainian troops and forces withdrawal - Russia is far from achieving it, but they really slowly, slowly when balancing in the right direction, and then attacks in Marinka, where Russian sources claim they had some advances, especially in the northern part of the town or the large village, but remains to be see if those if those are real; they tend to make overblown achievements, and so on it could be just 50 meters or another quarter that was captured, and is just blown out of proportion, but it doesn’t look like Ukrainian defenses are crumbling.
Is this sources some sort of Ukrainian disinformation site? These numbers are totally wacked and not even reasonably accurate.
Since NATO supplied air defense systems are failing to stop Russia’s relentless missile attack on Ukraine’s electrical and power grid, may be it is time for Volodymyr Zelensky to bring in Tom Bodett. Most U.S. residents know Tom Bodett because of his tag line in a Motel 6 commercial — i.e., “We’ll leave the light on for you.”<> Bodett’s promise to keep a light on stands in stark contrast to the reality facing Kiev and Lviv and other major cities across Ukraine. Ukraine, even with NATO support, is struggling to keep the lights and heat on. It is a grim situation and will only get worse in the coming days as temperatures continue to plummet and Ukriane’s power generating system degenerates. Gonzalo Lira provides a report from the front lines on this reality.
Gonzalo sent me some additional comments that are salient:
So an electrical outage might be two hours or forever—you cannot find out while you’re waiting. This uncertainty is what I think will drive a HUGE number of people to lose their nerve and flee to the West. Which is why I think a second migration wave this winter is definitely coming to Europe, from Ukraine. And since this wave will not be by rail—obviously, because no electricity means no rail system—then it’s going to be by car. Which will be chaotic, disorganized, completely clogging up the roads as whatever vehicle is available will be used by civilians to get out. And of course, many of these vehicles will run out of gas in this parking lot, creating even more havoc.
There’s another factor: Heating cars. Most people keep their cars in heated garages during the winter. Car batteries die very quickly when it’s 15 below 0. If there’s no electricity, there’ll be no heat—so cars might not run, once winter fully sets in. That might factor into people’s decisions whether to leave or stay, or whether they CAN leave or stay. If your car battery is dead and there’s no electricity to charge it, your car becomes a tchotchke.
Bottom line, it’s going to get supremely ugly, if the power is permanently cut in Ukraine. Because it is not possible to survive in this winter climate without heat and water, and the entire infrastructure to deliver both is dependent on electricity, with no substitutes or practical large-scale workarounds.
The war in Ukraine has exposed the fact that United States and NATO do not have a viable anti-missile defense system that can shoot down Russian hyper sonic missiles. Russia enjoys a clear technological edge over the West, not just with viable hyper sonic missiles but with an integrated air defense system that is designed to shoot down hyper sonics that the West does not yet have in its inventory of weapons systems.
I had planned to write more on this but Andrei Martyanov beat me to the punch with his piece, Hypersonic Ad Nauseam On Thanksgiving. He writes:
There is some constant media “movement” and hassle around the US program of development of hypersonic weapons, which even a few short years ago, especially before March 2018, very many in the US in general, and Pentagon in particular, counted as a gimmick and boutique weapon systems. Boy, did they miscalculate. Now, suddenly, the United States are into hypersonics big time primarily into what could be defined as medium-range glide body for CPS (Conventional Prompt Strike). . . .
And here is the point of which we can now start talking confidently. As I write non-stop and ad nauseam–NO weapons system, even the most advanced exists in the technological and operational vacuum, the thing which Pentagon still didn’t learn. Real integration comes with REAL, that is making operational sense and impact, integration of weapon system into the network of other weapons and systems which operate as unified organism. And here is the point: the United States now is involved in a life and death struggle with Russia, trying to preserve its increasingly untenable (and grossly exaggerated) status of a hegemon. But! But, if Russian hypersonic weapons created a revolution in military affairs, American ones will fail to do so. Here is an interesting explanation from Colonel (Ret.) Knutov, who today is a Director of Russia’s Air Defense Forces museum. This is how he assesses the US program and the state of the affairs.
I encourage you to read the entire piece. One of the other major consequences of Russia’s campaign to turn off the electrical power in Ukraine is the psychological damage inflicted on the population. Gonzalo mentions this in his video above. The modern generation, whether in Ukraine or the United States, is accustomed to having information in real time and readily available. Very few in modern industrial nations know what it is like to be cut off from news about world events. That knowledge or information plays a key role in shaping public attitudes. I lived in rural Honduras in 1978. We only had electricity, thanks to a generator, two hours a night. If I was lucky I was able to pick up a BBC broadcast and get some idea of what is going on in the world.
What we will see in the coming weeks from Ukrainians who remain in darkened, electricity starved cities are people cut off from their political leadership and filled with a genuine feeling of being abandoned. This is not an imaginary condition. People will be compelled by the cold, the lack of heat and dead batteries to come up with some sort of survival strategy. This will erode dramatically Ukraine’s ability to maintain a viable army in the field. Soldiers who, until now, have been able to phone home and chat with loved ones will no longer have that lifeline to the outside world.
Have you ever been in a situation where you were separated from a loved one and could not communicate with them for more than 24 hours, especially when you do not know if they are alive or dead? During World War I, soldiers in the trenches in France had no expectation of any immediate communication. They depended on letters from home for news and those communications were delayed by days and even weeks. But we live in a different era and there is now an expectation of immediacy. Once expectations are set at a high level and a gap emerges where reality falls far short of the expectations, that is a recipe for unrest and even revolt.
Can you imagine the withdrawal the 20 and 30 year olds in Ukraine will experience when their phones and computers are dead and they can no longer text or call a friend? I am not sure the intelligence communities of various nations have even taken time to cogitate on the implications of such a development. The most likely outcome is that people will vote with their feet and go to where they can charge their phones and make a call. This means mass emigration into neighboring countries with viable power girds.
@DarthPutinKGB
If ever you think your job is completely pointless, just remember the Kremlin pays someone to be a “human rights commissioner”
” As of November 25, we were able to confirm information about 9311 dead soldiers and officers.”
‘Hundreds of mobilized, officers and airborne forces: what is known about Russia’s losses in Ukraine during the nine months of the war’
https://www.bbc.com/russian/features-63755790
.
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‘Russian casualties corroborated by publicly available data as of November 18 - 9001’
https://en.zona.media/article/2022/05/20/casualties_eng
Russia expert Gordon M. Hahn looks at the upcoming Russian Winter Offensive. Only with a ceasefire can Ukraine and its sponsors avert the upcoming catastrophe. This for three reasons:
First, the Russian hammer is about to fall on Ukraine. The gloves are coming off; electric energy stations, bridges, and even ‘decision centers’ such as central Kiev’s government buildings are being targeted. ... What will the sociopolitical situation be like when these critical infrastructures are in complete collapse and temperatures are 20 degrees colder? Russia will be moving closer to the strategy of ‘shock and awe’, fully destroying all infrastructure – military or otherwise – as the US did in Serbia and Iraq and will likely take less care now to avoid civilian casualties.
After the infrastructures are completely destroyed or incapacitated, Russia’s reinforcements of 380,000 regular and newly mobilized troops will have been fully added into Russia’s forces across southeastern Ukraine. ... A winter offensive by some half a million troops will make substantial gains on those three fronts and multiply Ukrainian losses in personnel and materiel`, which are already high. This could lead easily to a collapse of Ukrainian forces on one or more front. On the backs of such a success Russian President Putin might also make another attempt to threaten Kiev ...
Second, the West is suffering from Ukraine fatigue. NATO countries’ arms supplies have been depleted beyond what is tolerable, and social cohesion is collapsing in the face of double-digit inflation and economic recession. All this makes Russia the winner on the strategic level and is forcing Washington and Brussels to seek at least a breathing spell by way of a ceasefire.
...
Third, Ukraine’s greatest political asset – Zelenskiy himself – just got devalued, putting at even greater risk Ukraine’s political stability. ... For now, in order to keep the West on board, Zelenskiy is rumored to be pushing Ukrainian armed forces commander Viktor Zalyuzhniy to start a last pre-winter offensive in northern Donetsk (Svatovo and Severodonetsk) or Zaporozhe in order to put a stop to the West’s ceasefire murmurs and reboost support. At the same time there is talk of continuing Zelenskiy-Zalyuzhniy tensions over the latter’s good press and star status in the West. ... On the background of the deteriorating battlefield and international strategic situation, such civil-military tensions are fraught with the potential for a coup. ...
...
We may be reaching the watershed moment in the Ukrainian war. No electricity, no army, no society.
@wartranslated 18h
Day 274, November 24th. Summary of Arestovych and Feygin daily broadcast:
“🔥Russian military & state officials fleeing the sinking ship
CIA is reportedly recruiting Russian military & state officials that are reaching the Intelligence services in masse and offering their services.
The military failure (for which the Army will be a scapegoat) and increasing economic disaster in Russia will incentivize many military officers & state officials to sell state secrets (to CIA, SBU, etc) in exchange for money or safety guarantees.
This situation is not very different from the systematic cooperation of ex-soviet citizens with the Western intelligence services after the fall of the USSR and disarray in Russia.”
Russia is offering the Ukrainian HIMARs how-to classes....
https://twitter.com/TheHumanFund5/status/1596208571016187904