In short, the Western plan is not working. The sanctions cost the West more, it’s running out of weapons to send and there are signs of softening. If Moscow’s plan was to move slowly and wait them out, then it’s working.
One should not rule out the possibility of a negotiated settlement and it may be that NATO realizes in time that it has painted itself into a corner from which that is the only exit. But it’s hard to see, given all the hyperbole, how the West’s present rulers could admit to such an enormous failure. Electoral replacement, while happening, is too slow. And why would Moscow ever trust anything the West says? A unilateral surrender by Kiev is possible but the only way I could see it is if Zelensky were overthrown. Therefore I rate a negotiated ending as not impossible at the moment but of very low probability. But time is on Russia’s side and October’s improbability may be March’s desperate desire.
More likely to me is, to use a World War II analogy, that now that Kiev’s Operation Citadel in the Kursk Salient is petering out, it’s time for a really powerful mechanized offensive accompanied by strikes deep in the rear with no holding back. One must remember that Putin said they hadn’t really started – I think we’re about to see what he meant. And sooner, I would guess, rather than later. I can’t imagine that anyone in Moscow wants this thing still going on next February.
“In short, the Western plan is not working. “
Ukrainian forces have been steadily advancing on all fronts.
It sure looks like the Western Plan is working.
lol, no.
Russia is losing, badly.
Now, do I support crazy Joe’s probable destruction of the Nord pipeline? No.
Do I think the idiots in DC are risking nuclear war over a fight that they should have steered clear of? Yes.
Do I think the only reason the Democrats care is there is a lot of money for them to make in the Ukraine or from a destabilized Russia? Yes.
But there is zero reason to repeat Russian propaganda. Russia is probably going to collapse as a result of this.
Which is a huge opportunity for China, which is Russia’s real enemy. Stupid Putin screwed Russia.