Posted on 08/07/2022 7:14:24 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
How Ukraine War Will Likely Go Rest of 2022, or, Kherson: The Beginning of the End for Russia
August 3, 2022 Brian E. Frydenborg
https://realcontextnews.com/how-ukraine-war-will-likely-go-rest-of-2022-or-kherson-the-beginning-of-the-end-for-russia/
As we all know from the Trump years, CBS would never spread Russian propaganda.
“You gotta keep those reply counts up any way”
You are boosting the reply count, dummy.
“100,000 North Koreans”
Did we already use up the 100,000 Syrians and 100,000 Libyans?
Oh PIFfy, here are my 6 made up “MSM facts” for the morning honey!
HA HA HA HA HA HA
Interesting read.
One point I think hasn’t gotten much consideration: RuZZia’s mass mobilization opportunity decreases over time. (FYI: I’m no military expert by FAR).
As RuZZia loses its armor over time (at least 1/3 of tanks gone), a mass mobilization in RuZZia means men without equipment. RuZZia could draft 1 million, 2 million men etc, but they won’t have APCs, Tanks, equipment to support them. Time is on Ukraines side in this respect.
Keep thinking such, yo. You like others within FR who also believe in fairy tales and the like too. If your beliefs are based upon reading and listening to the likes of Speedy, Marcus, PIF, FreshPrince, RevMom, and the Western/US/EU/NATO propaganda media, all which parrot the same pro-Ukrainian propaganda day after day after day, then of course you will arrive at such conclusions....conclusions that do NOT reflect the reality on the ground in Ukraine.
Good vid for you and those others linked below, because you know, parrots got to stick together on those ‘Russia losing’, ‘Russia out of ammo’, ‘Russia whatever’ false narratives and talking points.....
‘Anchors at Sinclair-owned local news station parrot a script pushing Trump talking points and “the troubling trend of irresponsible, one sided news stories plaguing our country.”’
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_fHfgU8oMSo
“ I would appoint Lindsay Graham a Maj General commanding US auxiliaries in aid to a free and democratic Ukraine”
He retired from the Air Force Reserves a few years ago. I believe he was a full Colonel.
He did a lot of Reserve duty in short stints in the war zones during his time in the Senate - several trips per year in uniform, pretty much whenever the Senate was out of session.
I had about a 20 minute chat with him in Baghdad once. He was a lawyer, working on criminal and war crime cases of former Ba’ath Party officials. He seemed serious about his job, and finding out the ground truth of how things were going. He attended a few of the daily Battlefield Update Briefings with GEN Petraeus and his staff, around that time.
Apparently, the Ukrainian army may have received American AGM-88 anti-radar missiles - fragments were reportedly found at Russian positions.
Earlier, the Minister of Defense of Ukraine reported that the army would receive unnamed anti-radar missiles.
“ It is still mysterious, why the experience did not encourage the UAF to switch to mobile warfare”
My theory is that their assessment was that it risked Strategic defeat, if outnumbered Ukrainian Forces collapsed during high intensity maneuver warfare. A rout and political collapse might occur, if Russian forces came poring through some gap or another. They had to overcome that widespread expectation, or Western Governments would still be hedging their bets, for future relations with Russia afterward (cough, Germany, cough).
I think the Strategic decision was to rope a dope the Russian forces, bleeding them gradually, while buying time for sanctions and Western aid to improve the balance. They had to buy time.
“ the Ukrainian army may have received American AGM-88 anti-radar missiles”
Anti-radiation missiles are in high demand in the early phases of offensive operations, to suppress enemy air defenses, and disrupt their command, control, communications and intelligence.
Another indication of a planned counter-offensive occurring.
Your post # 30 and 31:
THANK YOU!
Finally(!), some real information rather than Putin-puffing Ruzzian versus Globohomo Soros penispianoplayer insults...
“ 100,000 North Koreans”
“Did we already use up the 100,000 Syrians and 100,000 Libyans?”
Touché.
Thanks for the laugh.
Sadly though, if you include all the wounded, we seem headed to 100,000 Russians being used up.
I saw an analyst speculating on the Internet (for what it’s worth), trying to guess how many HIMARS rockets the Ukraine is getting. (The number is not released, likely classified, as it should be)
His view was that it is likely now ramping up to well over a thousand per month - maybe 10,000 by year’s end.
That could support a serious counter offensive.
Four full loads of twelve rockets per night, would be around 1,500 per month. Given good targeting Intel and the accuracy of these weapons (almost one shot, one kill), that would be powerful ability to shape the battlefield, attrit and disrupt Russian forces.
They could back up maneuver forces in a clinch, but that mission would likely fall to tube Artillery.
The obvious self-contradiction in my post should have been a strong signal that it was ironic. You could not have run out of ammo months ago and have a broken logistics train if you are supplying 60,000 artillery rounds a day to the front.
Understood. /salute
“You could not have run out of ammo months ago and have a broken logistics train if you are supplying 60,000 artillery rounds a day to the front.”
Russia is currently only popping about 3,000-5,000 per day on average - a very big reduction from the days before HIMARS. That phase of the war where they concentrated overwhelming Artillery on a narrow front, and then occupied the rubble has passed.
Regular Russian Military Units are redeploying from the Donbas in the East, to Kherson and Zaphoizhia Oblasts in the South, where the battle will be different. Flat open terrain, hundreds of miles of front to defend, without the extensively developed positions that existed in the Donbas.
Russian forces will likely not run out of Artillery shells before the war ends, no matter how it ends (as long as it is within a few years), but their ability to deliver Artillery fires has already been significantly degraded, and in the South they face serious challenges with logistics, loss of critical skills, developing Ukrainian counter battery capability, and the ability to concentrate fires across that much broader front, with less mobile guns.
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