The obvious self-contradiction in my post should have been a strong signal that it was ironic. You could not have run out of ammo months ago and have a broken logistics train if you are supplying 60,000 artillery rounds a day to the front.
Understood. /salute
“You could not have run out of ammo months ago and have a broken logistics train if you are supplying 60,000 artillery rounds a day to the front.”
Russia is currently only popping about 3,000-5,000 per day on average - a very big reduction from the days before HIMARS. That phase of the war where they concentrated overwhelming Artillery on a narrow front, and then occupied the rubble has passed.
Regular Russian Military Units are redeploying from the Donbas in the East, to Kherson and Zaphoizhia Oblasts in the South, where the battle will be different. Flat open terrain, hundreds of miles of front to defend, without the extensively developed positions that existed in the Donbas.
Russian forces will likely not run out of Artillery shells before the war ends, no matter how it ends (as long as it is within a few years), but their ability to deliver Artillery fires has already been significantly degraded, and in the South they face serious challenges with logistics, loss of critical skills, developing Ukrainian counter battery capability, and the ability to concentrate fires across that much broader front, with less mobile guns.