Posted on 07/28/2022 6:40:45 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here. Small arms, ATGMs, MANPADS, loitering munitions, drones used as unmanned bait, civilian vehicles, trailers and derelict equipment are not included in this list. All possible effort has gone into avoiding duplicate entries and discerning the status of equipment between captured or abandoned. Many of the entries listed as 'abandoned' will likely end up captured or destroyed. Similarly, some of the captured equipment might be destroyed if it can't be recovered. When the origin of a piece of equipment can't be established, it is not included in the list. The Soviet flag is used when the equipment in question was produced prior to 1991. This list is constantly updated as additional footage becomes available.
(Excerpt) Read more at oryxspioenkop.com ...
Total Losses:
Russia - 4966, of which: destroyed: 3158, damaged: 102, abandoned: 322, captured: 1384
Ukraine - 1374, of which: destroyed: 722, damaged: 30, abandoned: 36, captured: 586
Wonder if it can be repaired?
“A Russian T-80U pattern tank was destroyed in the East by Ukrainian forces- not much is left.”
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1552405685387812875
“The Philippine government has scrapped a deal to purchase 16 Russian Mi-17 helicopters due to fears of possible U.S. sanctions, Philippine officials said.”
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1552446976721035264
I think over 100k, but I’ll take 75k.
““We were briefed that over 75,000 Russians have either been killed or wounded [in Ukraine], which is huge...over 80% of their land forces are bogged down, and they’re tired,” @RepSlotkin told @MZanona re: classified briefing House members just got from Biden admin officials.”
https://twitter.com/NatashaBertrand/status/1552399068722257920
“Just in: New batch of statistics on the Russian economy in June 2022! Output in June 22 compared to June 21:
Cars: -89% (a few more than in May)
Trucks: -40%
Washing machines: -58.4%
Fridges/freezers: -52.3%”
Wait, your celebrating a decline in the Russian economy when both Europe and the US are going into serious economic recession and Ukraine has no economy worth noting?
Go eat your Borschit, Dirty RuZZian
Puntin didn’t think his clever plan through; figured two weeks tops. Now he’s in another Afghanistan.
Yep. Its all (not) going strictly according to plan.
Speedy, thank you for posting this.
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, July 27, 2022
(’Orc’ is associated with the various hoards of 13th century Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)
War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos
Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).
(Numbered printed material below - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
••denotes transcribed dialogue.
———————————————————————————————————————
Extras:
F-22 Raptors Are Heading To Poland
The F-22 is making its first appearance in the European theater since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine began over five months ago.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/f-22-raptors-are-heading-to-poland
Are There Enough Guided Rockets For HIMARS To Keep Up With Ukraine War Demand?
Ukraine is burning through guided artillery rockets to great effect, but even with tens of thousands stockpiled, the U.S. could find its supply under pressure.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/are-there-enough-guided-rockets-for-himars-to-keep-up-with-ukraine-war-demand
Excerpt:
While it is unknown how many rockets the Ukrainians have fired from the HIMARS it already has, Hertling estimated that 16 such systems - which are pre-loaded with six-round pods - each firing a full volley just twice a day would burn through about 5,800 rockets a month.
... So in essence, at a pace suggested by Hertling, Ukraine’s GMLRS monthly burn rate would equal about 29% of the entire planned U.S. procurement for the next five years, not withstanding production rates of the ER GMLRS which have yet to be set.
... “The limitation on HIMARS is the number of rockets available, not the number of launchers,” Cancian reiterated.
Ukraine Situation Report: Strategic Russian-Held Bridge Out Of Action From HIMARS Strike
A vital bridge used to support the Russian war effort in the south of Ukraine came under HIMARS barrage overnight.
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ukraine-situation-report-strategic-russian-held-bridge-out-of-action-from-himars-strike
Excerpt:
Reports from Germany, so far yet to be substantiated by officials there, suggest that the country may now have approved the transfer to Ukraine of 100 examples of the Panzerhaubitze 2000, or PzH 2000, a 155mm self-propelled howitzer.
———————————————————————————————————————
••Ukrainian economy:
It is getting worse by day, and it’s really getting extremely bad.
There are a few of these really huge steel mills and iron ore production facilities near Kryvyi Rih that are getting idled. Some of them already got idled about a week ago, some of them two weeks ago, but the remaining one is getting idled at the end of the month.
For the reference Ukraine was a big exporter of steel and also iron ore, so this remaining stream of cash flow stream of value added for the economy at this point is cut off and dead.
The only remaining ability to generate any kind of positive cash flow for the country and foreign exchange is agriculture Not much really left that competitive internationally, and it’s not being affected by the war at this point.
The effect is the iron ore extraction facilities and the steel mill were big revenue producers for the government, as well for the tax revenues for the government; this really gonna hit hard the Ukrainian government’s ability to to do anything - probably in about two months or the end of September.
Ukraine government is probably going to get into really desperate situation, and the situation was on the foreign reserves of foreign currency is going to be terrible at the same time.
There probably will be another round of devaluation of their Ukrainian currency which already had been devalued; it started the war started at 29 now it’s a 41 to 1 US dollar just just for the reference. It’s probably going to as low as 50-60, probably more 60, and even could be even worse. This puts the population in an extremely difficult situation.
Ukrainian government probably will have difficulty just paying all kinds of social and welfare payments that it has responsibility to pay. This is gonna get very very difficult in about a two month period for Ukraine, in terms of economy and survivability.
Not to mention all of the problems with Naftogaz and its ability to get through the winter because of the natural gas situation and so on.
Plus, Wagner mercenaries captured the Vuglegirsk power plant, one of the largest power plants in Ukraine, after the nuclear power plant in Enerhodar which by itself also largest, I think, nuclear power plant in Europe.
I didn’t look up actually exact percentage of those two plant’s energy regeneration, but they are a significant portion of energy generation in Ukraine, wouldn’t be surprised if it’s together 30 percent of power generation in Ukraine.
This means things are getting economy-wise in in difficult situation. The pain is going to be really, real pain in in few months.
••Internal Situation in Ukraine:
Population feelings about the peace agreement and territorial concessions to Russia.
A poll was taken with 84% of those polled (considered statistically representative of the general population) does not accept any kind of territorial concessions to Russia. That’s more or less consistent with previous months. Ukrainian people do not want to do any territorial concessions to to Russian to Russia now so let’s switch oh an .
There was report about Ukrainian banking system as a whole at this point is money losing enterprise; the majority of the banks are losing money.
Banks are mirror of the economy. If economy is not doing well then the banks are not doing well. Potentially this could lead to some financial crisis sometime in the October-November time frame.
••NG
The natural gas supply to Europe so we mentioned yesterday that Nordstream-1 supplies was cut off to bare minimum by Russia so the specific number is actually 20% and prices for natural gas on the sport market in Europe went as high as US$2,500 per 1000 cubic meters of natural gas. No industry can survive that cost.
Now if you have to pay US$2,500 on the Spot Market, it means the majority of industry cannot afford to pay that price, including Germany and pretty much anywhere in Europe.
The same would be true for the US, except the US has much better prices, but they’re going there up as well, because a lot of natural gas is getting exported from the US to Europe.
The situation in Europe definitely sort of critical and difficult for industry. For that reason, German government is starting restarting nuclear power plants that were idle at the end of last year.
It’s just a question of how much damage is going to get done to the German and European economies.
••Military Equipment:
Ukraine is probably going to get 11 MiG-29 fighters from Slovakia and that was still not a firm commitment. It looks like 95% firm commitment.
Ukraine got extra 3 self-propelled howitzers from Germany PhZ-2000. The total number in Ukrainian hands right now is 18, which are an excellent tool. They’re really great. This is what Ukraine needs; the only question is using them is effectively and efficiently.
At this point Ukraine clearly has advantage in this precise long-distance heavy artillery calibers over Russia. Ukraine has mobile artillery like Russia - which has a lot of stationary cannons that can be easily relatively easily destroyed in counter battery fire.
Self-propelled howitzers are essentially unbeatable, and if you have a UAV that supports it, then it’s really easy to pick up stationary artillery that mostly Russia uses. Ukraine has now 18 PhZ-2000 - probably the best self-propelled howitzer in the world.
Ukraine also has at least 28 Polish Krabs self-propelled howitzers and probably 36. They are also excellent, pretty much on par with PhZ-2000; so that’s a pretty strong artillery group.
Plus there is also 18 Caesars - they are excellent a little, but with some disadvantages because they are wheeled. Nevertheless, they still outperform Russian equivalent.
Germany agreed to sell 100 units of PhZ-2000 to Ukraine for US$1.7B or Euros. But that’s probably gonna take really long time because apparently German industry has problems, but it is not very clear what sort of problems are plaguing German industry, in terms of ability to produce.
Even Poland decided to switch from Germany as a main provider of heavy weapons to South Korea. Poland is buying close to a 1,000 South Korean K-9 medium tanks which is pretty good.
They are also buying 600 of self-propelled howitzer similar to Krabs, except they are South Korean made - again excellent equipment. The Polish army is going to be really very well equipped as a result.
••General Strategic Military Situation:
The Antonivskyy bridge was hit again, essentially unusable, more or less. Its still not completely destroyed as cast concrete is is really hard to destroy; and probably gonna be slow motion thousand cuts affair that will take some time before its completely destroyed.
There was there is railroad bridge south of the Antonivskyy bridge five kilometers that was also damaged with at least two rockets. Unfortunately, there’s no video evidence, but it’s probably more damaged because steel is easier to damage, but generally the situation of supply is gonna get more and more difficult for Russian troops, as time passes by.
••Pontoon bridges:
Consider that pontoon bridges are much, much easier to destroy, just one or two rockets are gonna completely destroy it. That’s the first thing.
The second thing is the throughput of the pontoon bridges which is much smaller, essentially one lane versus probably six lanes or something or three lanes in one direction; now you down only to one lane, so the throughput is much lower. Not to mention that its really easy to destroy the pontoon bridge, and its really excellent target.
Russia doesn’t have unlimited supply of pontoon bridges as well. The supply is pretty limited, not something that’s produced in abundance; generally, because its not considered an essential.
The river is long - its probably at least 300 meters wide, so you really need a lot of them and to support all of this you need to replace again. The demand for those sections of the pontoon bridge is going to be high. You cannot support the amount of Russian troops there, the way it is right now.
They are living there on the border, on the border of time essentially, and is probably going to take some time, months could be more than a month for Ukrainian troops to be able to really push out, squeeze out very slowly, Russian troops from the bridgehead.
but that’s probably what’s in the cards
••Straight West of the Donetsk:
A very, very heavy Russian artillery fire on Ukrainian positions. Apparently in preparation for the major attack or major offensive, at least that’s what Russian sources claim which in our opinion that attack against well-prepared Ukrainian positions will be extremely suicidal to extend that will lead to extremely high losses, knowing that this is a Soviet General, they really don’t care.
At the same time, Russia is constrained by not enough manpower, trying to attack in a frontal attack against a pretty well engineered positions, will lead to extremely high losses. That really can suffocate Russian forces in Ukraine even sooner from any ability to continue anything in Ukraine. This remains to be seen if this is true or not.
There was extremely heavy artillery fire which again goes to the destruction of the ammunition depots will probably not gonna lead to any long-term lasting effect, and Russia still will be able to find a strategy to address that.
That’s probably the answer to that question that attacking ammunition depots is helpful, but it’s not really helpful.
What you really need to target is Russian artillery piece. That’s probably the best answer to how you can overcome Russian artillery. HIMARS systems are excellent for that purpose - all of those self-propelled howitzers are excellent, so that’s something that needs to be used.
The only missing link is those UAVs equivalents of Orlon-10 in enough quantity.
———————————————————————————————————————
Summary: No changes.
HIMARS attack again against Antonivskyy bridge in Kherson yesterday added more damage, but did not destroy the bridge.
Key areas:
- Izyum bridgehead: no changes
- North Donbass area: no changes
- Donetsk West: no changes
- Kherson bridgehead: no changes.
1. Kharkiv: No changes.
2. Izyum bridgehead. No changes.
3. North Donbass: No changes.
••Some indication that UA are crumbling not going well
4. West of Donetsk: Avdiyivka and Maryinka. No changes.
• •Where major Orc offensive is expected.
••Avdiyivka took the heavy artillery barrage .
5. Vugledar: No changes.
6. Velyka Novosilka - Gulyapole stretch of frontline. No changes.
7. Kherson bridgehead: No changes.
Thanks for the daily situation updates. I know they are time consuming to put together!
“German government is starting restarting nuclear power plants that were idle at the end of last year.”
The Greenies want to stop all Germany nuclear plants by the end of the year. That is fantasyland.
Got monkeypox yet, Speedy? You’re a risk of getting it.
Go eat your Borschit, Dirty RuZZian.
Especially when words are only decipherable while listing to the transcript - like: “self propelled habits, at least 28 uh polish craft self-propelled hobbits or crabs and probably more like 36 as”
““self propelled habits, at least 28 uh polish craft self-propelled hobbits or crabs and probably more like 36 as””
Hobbits, Orcs. Where’s Frodo?
Type away all that you want but the Ukraine is done.
Hobbits, Orcs. Where’s Frodo?
—
Frodo is busy running the auto-scripter.
RuZzians are dying by the thousands every month. Celebrate, be happy!
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