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Real time update on equipment losses from both sides based on videos/photos. The invaders lost 1 additional tanks in the past 24 hours for a total of 671. US estimated 1200 total tanks at the onset of war.

Running total
5/14 - 671
5/13 - 670
5/12 - 664
5/11 - 664
5/10 - 645
5/9 - 643
5/8 - 631
5/7 - 625
5/6 - 622
5.5 - 607
5/4 - 605
5/3 - 600
5/2 – 599
5/1 – 595
4/30 – 593
4/29 – 587
4/28 – 580
4/27 – 571
4/26 – 562
4/25 – 553
4/24 – 543
4/23 – 531
4/22 – 531
4/21 – 528
4/20 – 523
4/19 – 519
4/18 – 510
4/17 – 505
4/16 – 508
4/15 – 507
4/14 - 505
4/13 - 499
4/12 – 479
4/11 - 471
4/10 - 462
4/9 - 450
4/8 - 449
4/7 - 450
4/6 - 440
4/5 - 425
4/4 - 422
4/3 - 401
4/2 - 389
4/1 - 362
3/31 - 350
3/30 - 342
3/29 - 331
3/28 - 316
3/27 - 307
3/26 - 297
3/25 - 289
3/24 - 280
3/23 - 275
3/22 - 270
3/21 - 263
3/20 - 257
3/19 - 251
3/18 - 244
3/17 - 235
3/16 - 229
3/15 - 217
3/14 - 209
3/13 - 204
3/12 - 193
3/11 - 187
3/10 - 164
3/9 - 156
3/8 - 149
3/7 - 140
3/6 - 120
3/5 - 108

As noted on the website: "This list only includes destroyed vehicles and equipment of which photo or videographic evidence is available. Therefore, the amount of equipment destroyed is significantly higher than recorded here.

1 posted on 05/14/2022 6:50:13 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
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To: SpeedyInTexas

You need a hobby.


2 posted on 05/14/2022 6:51:19 PM PDT by WMarshal (Neocons and leftists are the same species of vicious rat.)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Flew Istanbul to Houston today. Lady sitting next to me: From Russia. Only talked abit about the war. She said older people get news from state media and generally support Little Pukin. Younger people generally against the war.


3 posted on 05/14/2022 6:52:19 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas (Whenever a Russian soldier is killed, an Angel gets its wings)
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To: SpeedyInTexas; WMarshal; All

We entered abandoned Ukrainian bases in Mariupol – here’s what we found
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=emK0hQZ0_74


5 posted on 05/14/2022 6:56:14 PM PDT by BenLurkin ((The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion, or satire. Or both.))
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Speedy, Texas is being invaded. Please focus on America’s problems.


6 posted on 05/14/2022 6:57:17 PM PDT by JonPreston (Q: Never have so many, been so wrong, so often)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Somewhere in there should be the bridge attempt at donetsk, Russians lost dozens of vehicles with photographic evidence.


13 posted on 05/14/2022 7:13:51 PM PDT by Kevmo (Give back Ukes their Nukes https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4044080/posts)
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To: SpeedyInTexas
#1. Checking the internet archive for Oryx, there is an increase of Russian vehicles losses from 3,623 yesterday to 3,675 today, a jump of 52 vehicles in on day. Yet according to posters on this thread, the losses on the Donets River are just Ukrainian propaganda. I guess that means the efforts of Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) to go over public information and geolocate losses to confirm what is happening, is not be happening. < /s >
16 posted on 05/14/2022 8:40:00 PM PDT by Widget Jr
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To: SpeedyInTexas

Bump


19 posted on 05/14/2022 9:43:52 PM PDT by GonzoII ("If the new crime be, to believe in God, let us all be criminals" -Sheen )
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To: SpeedyInTexas; DoughtyOne; PIF; libh8er; Kevmo; rrrod; BiglyCommentary; All

“Real time update on equipment losses from both sides based on videos/photos.”

I thought we would be seeing data on the equipment losses of each of the 2 sides in this conflict. It is not labeled, but this appears to be a list of Russian loses only.


27 posted on 05/15/2022 12:27:20 AM PDT by gleeaikin (Question authority!)
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To: SpeedyInTexas
Attack On Europe: Documenting Equipment Losses During The 2022 Russian Invasion Of Ukraine

"On the northern part of the island, a barge with a heavy-lift crane is positioned close to a sunken Serna-class landing craft that had recently been struck, reportedly by Ukrainian drones," just off the coast of Snake Island on May 12, 2022.


31 posted on 05/15/2022 4:28:51 AM PDT by tlozo (Trump-the Russian invasion of Ukraine is " truly a crime against humanity")
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To: SpeedyInTexas

I posted 05/13 elsewhere because it was late & I went to bed.

———————————————————————————————————————
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, May 13, 2022
(’Orc ‘is associated with the various hoards of Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)

War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos

**denotes transcribed dialogue

———————————————————————————————————————
Bonus:
Ukraine Military intelligence chief, Major General Kyrylo Budanov: told Sky News defeat in Ukraine would lead to the removal of Russia’s leader and the country’s disintegration.
“It will eventually lead to the change of leadership of the Russian Federation. This process has already been launched and they are moving into that way.”
Does that mean a coup is under way?
“Yes,” he responded.
“They are moving in this way and it is impossible to stop it.”
He claimed Mr Putin is in a “very bad psychological and physical condition and he is very sick”.
The Russian leader has cancer and other illnesses, he says.
He dismissed suggestions he was spreading propaganda as part of the information war and was certain of his claims.
“It’s my job, it’s my work, if not me who will know this?”
https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-war-military-intelligence-chief-optimistic-of-russian-defeat-saying-war-will-be-over-by-end-of-year-12612320

Other links to same story:
Kremlin coup rumours growing in Moscow: Disgruntled generals join FSB (‘Siloviki’) looking to oust Putin and end Ukraine war
https://www.cityam.com/kremlin-on-high-alert-as-coup-rumours-grow-in-moscow-disgruntled-generals-join-fsb-looking-to-oust-putin-and-end-ukraine-war/

———————————————————————————————————————
****Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).

**Finland:
Orcs cut supply of electricity and likely natural gas. Elect Consumption = 80TWHR Orcs supply 16TWHR or 20%. Orcs supply NG about 6%. Total loss is 26% of Finland’s energy supply. Failing to get external replacement supply, will mean a significant drop in its GDP.

**Ukraine Economy:
Full disaster with government tax collection at only 60% of normal revenues. Translates into GDP drop of 40%. Projected May revenues is 40-45%. Everything is paralyzed because of the self-imposed fuel price controls. Price control means economic shut down because no one sells at a loss.

Government does not see their policy as a problem, so this state of affairs will continue and worsen. By June- July, revenues could fall to 10-20%; Ukraine will be totally dependent on foreign aid. They will need about US$5 billon a month at current expenditure.

Has pledge of US$30 billion from G7, and US$40 billion from US (this has been blocked). Estimated to be enough for 14 months, unless revenue hits US$0.00. (Unclear if the 14 months includes US contribution or not).

Country will end its economic existence by end of July. War excelerates the problem, but inept and incompetent government hugely, hugely worsens and magnifies the problem. They do not try to solve it by removing bureaucratic obstacles that create huge incentives for corruption. This is the root cause and will become very problematic as the war turns into a war of attrition.

**Ukraine Army Numbers:
They have officially about a total of 500,000 personnel available. And have plan the raise it in a couple of months to one million.

>200,000 troops on front line now. The problem with the extra 300K is that there are not enough weapons, ammo, and kit. Hope is that the UA will receive enough weapons through the US Lend-Lease program to allow Ukraine to have army up to one million.

What is the path for Russia?
Best guess on the numbers is that both sides started with 200,000 troops. (On the Orc side, often commanders have no idea how many troops they command.) Guess numbers based on numbers seen of dead, wounded, plus other anecdotal sources extrapolated - nothing firm or terribly reliable, but is in the general area.

150,000 troops remaining of original amount on both sides. ~50-60,000 troop losses of all sorts on both sides. Orcs have replenished ~25,000. UA likely filled all 50,000 of their losses. So looks like the UA, at the front, is slightly outnumbering the Orcs, but they have less training, weapons and ammo. (In some cases, new UA troops are given weapons without any instruction on how to use them and told to figure it out.)

This leaves 175,000 Orcs potentially facing an army of 900,000. So their options are: full mobilization, nukes, or withdraw, actively destroying bridges across the Dnieper River.

Meanwhile, Ukraine wants the return of all of its territory, including Crimea. Orcs refuse return of Crimea. So no room for negotiations. So leaved only battlefield solution, with intensified fighting. However, it is clear that the Orc army has totally lost its momentum and is about to stop and go on defensive. That is probably a politically untenable position inside Russia. Something has to happen and likely relatively soon.

Summary:
Key areas:
- Izyum bridgehead
- Russian troops captured village Dovgenke.
- Russian troops are slowly mopping up corner between Oskil and Siverskiy Donets rivers controlled by Ukrainian side before. No changes today or yesterday.
- Bilogorivka bridgehead: Russian bridgehead was destroyed with heavy losses to Russian troops

(Printed material - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
1. Kharkiv: Ukrainian troops are slowly pushing Russian side out
No changes today.

2. Izyum bridgehead: Russian side captured village Dovgenke. It is extremely dangerous penetration by Russian troops that potentially could lead to large pocket for Ukrainian troops west of Donetsk.

**UA 14th Brigade moved from Mykolayiv area to Izyum bridgehead. Also brigades present are 81st (which has M777s), 93rd, ?/25th 95, 79th.

**Orc (fresh troops): 38th, 23rd, 39th, 21st, with 30th, 24th sfB, 7th TD / 90th TD present. Also degraded or absent or mixed up units - ? / 144th D, ? / 76th AD, 6th TB / 47th TD, 3rd mD, 4th TD, ? / 106th AD. (? / means some unidentified element of a parent unit)

3. Lyman bridgehead.
No changes today.

Severodonetsk Salient:
4. Popasna, Rubizhne and Severodonetsk. Russian troops captured all of Rubizhne. Russian mercenaries - Wagner Group operates in Popasna, also Russian 57 brigade operates there as well. Confirmed capture of Popasna by Russian troops.
Russian troops advanced north of Popasna to village Komyshevakha.
No new advances today.
**Heavy losses of equipment means significant loss of power in salient. Orc chances of encirclement dwindled significantly.
**Popasna: Orcs made a lot of progress yesterday (5/13). UA 24th suffered heavy losses in Popasna battle - are exhausted; UA 17th TB may move down.

5. West of Donetsk: Avidyivka and Maryinka. Avdiyivaka - never ending attempts of the Russian side to break-through there. Small advance (500-700 meters) by Russian troops towards Novobahmutivaka.

6. Vugledar is in Ukrainian hands. Ukrainian side lost village Pavlivka south-west of Vugledar.
**Situation getting worse for UA

7. Velyka Novosilka - Gulyapole stretch of frontline. Ukrainian strongholds are towns of Gulyaypole and village of Velyka Novosilka.
Russian 19D is operating there. Russian troops are consolidating their gains. Also, 42D has been spotted in the area.

Russian troops caputred village Vremivka attached to Velyka Novosilka from west and separate by small river. The most northern group of Russian troops has been stopped before village of Vilne Pole.

Ukranian side brought its 128 brigade and regiment Azov Kyiv to stop Russian advance there.
No Russian progress here today.
**Looks like a tactical win for Orcs.

8. Mariupol: opportunity to do a breakout attempt by the Ukrainian forces might have been lost as density of Russian troops increased due to smaller perimeter. Based on other sources, opportunity to break out is still viable.

9. Kherson bridgehead: unconfirmed information about renewed fighting for village Oleksandrivka near town Stanislav.
**UA 14th brigade moved out. Fewer USA troops.
Ukraine: military situation update with maps, May 13, 2022
(’Orc ‘is associated with the various hoards of Mongol invaders, as well as LOTR evil villains)

War in Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCP2QApi8G2TKc8NZmeDWSUg/videos

**denotes transcribed dialogue

———————————————————————————————————————
Bonus:
Ukraine Military intelligence chief, Major General Kyrylo Budanov: told Sky News defeat in Ukraine would lead to the removal of Russia’s leader and the country’s disintegration.
“It will eventually lead to the change of leadership of the Russian Federation. This process has already been launched and they are moving into that way.”
Does that mean a coup is under way?
“Yes,” he responded.
“They are moving in this way and it is impossible to stop it.”
He claimed Mr Putin is in a “very bad psychological and physical condition and he is very sick”.
The Russian leader has cancer and other illnesses, he says.
He dismissed suggestions he was spreading propaganda as part of the information war and was certain of his claims.
“It’s my job, it’s my work, if not me who will know this?”
https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-war-military-intelligence-chief-optimistic-of-russian-defeat-saying-war-will-be-over-by-end-of-year-12612320

Other links to same story:
Kremlin coup rumours growing in Moscow: Disgruntled generals join FSB (‘Siloviki’) looking to oust Putin and end Ukraine war
https://www.cityam.com/kremlin-on-high-alert-as-coup-rumours-grow-in-moscow-disgruntled-generals-join-fsb-looking-to-oust-putin-and-end-ukraine-war/

———————————————————————————————————————
****Artillery (key to success in this war), Fuller explanation of Orc military structure, Other Bonus articles - see previous postings in “Attack on Europe” (FR title search).

**Finland:
Orcs cut supply of electricity and likely natural gas. Elect Consumption = 80TWHR Orcs supply 16TWHR or 20%. Orcs supply NG about 6%. Total loss is 26% of Finland’s energy supply. Failing to get external replacement supply, will mean a significant drop in its GDP.

**Ukraine Economy:
Full disaster with government tax collection at only 60% of normal revenues. Translates into GDP drop of 40%. Projected May revenues is 40-45%. Everything is paralyzed because of the self-imposed fuel price controls. Price control means economic shut down because no one sells at a loss.

Government does not see their policy as a problem, so this state of affairs will continue and worsen. By June- July, revenues could fall to 10-20%; Ukraine will be totally dependent on foreign aid. They will need about US$5 billon a month at current expenditure.

Has pledge of US$30 billion from G7, and US$40 billion from US (this has been blocked). Estimated to be enough for 14 months, unless revenue hits US$0.00. (Unclear if the 14 months includes US contribution or not).

Country will end its economic existence by end of July. War excelerates the problem, but inept and incompetent government hugely, hugely worsens and magnifies the problem. They do not try to solve it by removing bureaucratic obstacles that create huge incentives for corruption. This is the root cause and will become very problematic as the war turns into a war of attrition.

**Ukraine Army Numbers:
They have officially about a total of 500,000 personnel available. And have plan the raise it in a couple of months to one million.

>200,000 troops on front line now. The problem with the extra 300K is that there are not enough weapons, ammo, and kit. Hope is that the UA will receive enough weapons through the US Lend-Lease program to allow Ukraine to have army up to one million.

What is the path for Russia?
Best guess on the numbers is that both sides started with 200,000 troops. (On the Orc side, often commanders have no idea how many troops they command.) Guess numbers based on numbers seen of dead, wounded, plus other anecdotal sources extrapolated - nothing firm or terribly reliable, but is in the general area.

150,000 troops remaining of original amount on both sides. ~50-60,000 troop losses of all sorts on both sides. Orcs have replenished ~25,000. UA likely filled all 50,000 of their losses. So looks like the UA, at the front, is slightly outnumbering the Orcs, but they have less training, weapons and ammo. (In some cases, new UA troops are given weapons without any instruction on how to use them and told to figure it out.)

This leaves 175,000 Orcs potentially facing an army of 900,000. So their options are: full mobilization, nukes, or withdraw, actively destroying bridges across the Dnieper River.

Meanwhile, Ukraine wants the return of all of its territory, including Crimea. Orcs refuse return of Crimea. So no room for negotiations. So leaved only battlefield solution, with intensified fighting. However, it is clear that the Orc army has totally lost its momentum and is about to stop and go on defensive. That is probably a politically untenable position inside Russia. Something has to happen and likely relatively soon.

Summary:
Key areas:
- Izyum bridgehead
- Russian troops captured village Dovgenke.
- Russian troops are slowly mopping up corner between Oskil and Siverskiy Donets rivers controlled by Ukrainian side before. No changes today or yesterday.
- Bilogorivka bridgehead: Russian bridgehead was destroyed with heavy losses to Russian troops

(Printed material - Some of the items below may be out of date, and not updated yet)
1. Kharkiv: Ukrainian troops are slowly pushing Russian side out
No changes today.

2. Izyum bridgehead: Russian side captured village Dovgenke. It is extremely dangerous penetration by Russian troops that potentially could lead to large pocket for Ukrainian troops west of Donetsk.

**UA 14th Brigade moved from Mykolayiv area to Izyum bridgehead. Also brigades present are 81st (which has M777s), 93rd, ?/25th 95, 79th.

**Orc (fresh troops): 38th, 23rd, 39th, 21st, with 30th, 24th sfB, 7th TD / 90th TD present. Also degraded or absent or mixed up units - ? / 144th D, ? / 76th AD, 6th TB / 47th TD, 3rd mD, 4th TD, ? / 106th AD. (? / means some unidentified element of a parent unit)

3. Lyman bridgehead.
No changes today.

Severodonetsk Salient:
4. Popasna, Rubizhne and Severodonetsk. Russian troops captured all of Rubizhne. Russian mercenaries - Wagner Group operates in Popasna, also Russian 57 brigade operates there as well. Confirmed capture of Popasna by Russian troops.
Russian troops advanced north of Popasna to village Komyshevakha.
No new advances today.
**Heavy losses of equipment means significant loss of power in salient. Orc chances of encirclement dwindled significantly.
**Popasna: Orcs made a lot of progress yesterday (5/13). UA 24th suffered heavy losses in Popasna battle - are exhausted; UA 17th TB may move down.

5. West of Donetsk: Avidyivka and Maryinka. Avdiyivaka - never ending attempts of the Russian side to break-through there. Small advance (500-700 meters) by Russian troops towards Novobahmutivaka.

6. Vugledar is in Ukrainian hands. Ukrainian side lost village Pavlivka south-west of Vugledar.
**Situation getting worse for UA

7. Velyka Novosilka - Gulyapole stretch of frontline. Ukrainian strongholds are towns of Gulyaypole and village of Velyka Novosilka.
Russian 19D is operating there. Russian troops are consolidating their gains. Also, 42D has been spotted in the area.

Russian troops caputred village Vremivka attached to Velyka Novosilka from west and separate by small river. The most northern group of Russian troops has been stopped before village of Vilne Pole.

Ukranian side brought its 128 brigade and regiment Azov Kyiv to stop Russian advance there.
No Russian progress here today.
**Looks like a tactical win for Orcs.

8. Mariupol: opportunity to do a breakout attempt by the Ukrainian forces might have been lost as density of Russian troops increased due to smaller perimeter. Based on other sources, opportunity to break out is still viable.

9. Kherson bridgehead: unconfirmed information about renewed fighting for village Oleksandrivka near town Stanislav.
**UA 14th brigade moved out. Fewer USA troops.


36 posted on 05/15/2022 4:44:38 AM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: SpeedyInTexas

bkmk


40 posted on 05/15/2022 8:39:49 AM PDT by sauropod ("We put all our politicians in prison as soon as they are elected. Don’t you?" Why? "It saves time.”)
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