Germany will not join in any war against Russia, nor will it allow its territory to be used to launch any strikes against Russian targets. Russia is looked upon more favorably in Germany than the U.S. is.
Germany and Russia want to team up against Poland again.
You are very much correct. Also I push comes to shove France will back down, content to defend their country and only their country. Meanwhile the Soviet Union completes its “resurrection” from the dead (it wasn’t really dead, only in hibernation).