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Watch Australia closely (a highly vaccinated population with little preexisting natural immunity)
substack ^ | 1/17/2022 | Alex Berenson

Posted on 01/17/2022 11:22:50 AM PST by Mount Athos

Australia now averages more than 100,000 new Covid cases per day - equal to about 1.5 million in the United States. One fine day last week, it reported 175,000, the equivalent of about 2.5 million, maybe the highest per-capita total any country has ever reported.

Australia is among the world’s most Covid vaccinated counties.

Its policy of open coercion and discrimination against the unvaccinated has “succeeded” - more than 95 percent of Australians 16 and over have received at least one vaccine dose, and 93 percent two doses. Those figures effectively represent full vaccination - many of the people left are probably simply too frail to tolerate Covid vaccines.

Deaths are still relatively low by American standards. But they have risen sixfold in the last two weeks and are now at their highest level ever, equal to almost 700 deaths in the United States a day.

The trend adds to other worrisome signs about Omicron in highly vaccinated countries.

At this point two facts about Omicron are near-certain:

1: Vaccinated people are at HIGHER risk of being infected with Omicron than the unvaccinated (and whatever protection boosters offer does not last). In Scotland, another highly vaccinated country, vaccinated people are more than twice as likely to be infected as the unvaccinated - and people who have received a booster are 30 percent more likely.

SOURCE: https://publichealthscotland.scot/media/11089/22-01-12-covid19-winter_publication_report.pdf

2: Omicron is less dangerous than earlier variants.

But how much less dangerous is not entirely clear, because infections have risen so fast that hospitalizations and deaths are still catching up. In South Africa, the first country to see an Omicron spike, deaths from Omicron didn’t peak until Jan. 11 - almost four weeks after infections peaked. In Britain, infections peaked 10 days ago, but deaths are still soaring; they have tripled since late December.

Unfortunately, at this point we still do not know how those two facts interact.

In other words, if you are vaccinated and infected with Omicron, will your risk of being hospitalized or dying the same, higher, or lower than someone who is infected but unvaccinated? Remember, because their risk of infection is higher, a vaccinated person will need to have substantial post-infection protection to have an overall lower risk of serious outcomes.

In other words, vaccinations will only help and not hurt against hospitalization or death from Omicron if they somehow substantially reduce the risk of getting very sick even though they substantially increase the risk of infection.

Is that tightrope even biologically possible? Sure, it’s possible. The vaccine advocates have lately been writing stories about T-cell protection. But possible doesn’t mean plausible. In reality the vaccines do little to drive broad B- or T-cell responses - and that fact was known before Omicron.

Further, the British data (which is far better and more honest than American data) make clear that throughout the fall, vaccinated people made up the vast majority of deaths from the Delta variant in the United Kingdom. That’s the truth, despite the efforts to “age-adjust” (but not comorbidity adjust) it away.

Australia is now offering similar numbers. Its most populated province just reported that in the week ended Jan. 1, 12 people who died of Covid were fully vaccinated, compared to only four who were unvaccinated (four others were partially vaccinated or had an undetermined status).

SOURCE: health.nsw.gov.au/Infectious/covid-19/Documents/covid-19-surveillance-report-20220113.pdf

Again, we are too new to Omicron to know for sure whether vaccine protection against serious disease has gone negative. The question will be very complicated epidemiologically (good news for the vaccine companies) and most scientists will not want to touch it (even better news for them).

But it will be very hard to hide the reality in Australia, with a nearly totally vaccinated population that has no preexisting immunity.

Deporting the world’s best tennis player will do nothing to change that fact.


TOPICS: Health/Medicine
KEYWORDS: covidcoven; flunkedbiology; flunkedmath
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Bonus extra news:

New results out of Israel today show a fourth dose provides minimal protection (and this is just after it’s given, at the peak) Which may explain why the Israeli finance minister got Omicron FIVE DAYS after his (second) booster.

1 posted on 01/17/2022 11:22:50 AM PST by Mount Athos
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To: Mount Athos

Ah... But you know what they always say... It takes 14 days to become ‘effective’. There’s always an excuse of some sort to explain away vaccinated people being infected with Covid.


2 posted on 01/17/2022 11:26:31 AM PST by jerod (Nazi's were essentially Socialist in Hugo Boss uniforms... Get over it!)
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To: Mount Athos

He, vaccinated, got Omicron 5 days after receiving a booster? Take a look at this:

A.) New South Wales COVID-19 Critical Intelligence Unit data: New South Wales is now seeing *more fully vaccinated patients hospitalised with COVID-19 compared to the number of unvaccinated patients as the Omicron outbreak continues to edge toward its peak.*

As of Jan. 9, 68.9 percent of COVID-19 patients aged 12 and over in hospitals had two doses of the vaccine, with 28.8 percent unvaccinated.

The number of double-dose vaccinated patients in intensive care units (ICUs) also surpassed those of the unvaccinated, with 50.3 percent of the vaccinated presenting to ICU with COVID-19, more than the 49.1 percent who are unvaccinated.

B.) Wall Street Journal, 1/9/2022: “...data from Denmark and the Canadian province of Ontario indicate that vaccinated people have higher rates of Omicron infection than unvaccinated people.”

“There is no evidence so far that vaccines are reducing infections from the fast-spreading variant. ... there have been mass Omicron outbreaks in heavily vaccinated populations, scientists are highly uncertain the existing vaccines can stop it from spreading. ... there should be sufficient evidence that the vaccine is efficacious in preventing serious infection and/or transmission. For Omicron, there is as yet no such evidence.”

“Confirming this negative efficacy finding, data from Denmark and the Canadian province of Ontario indicate that vaccinated people have higher rates of Omicron infection than unvaccinated people.”


3 posted on 01/17/2022 11:28:05 AM PST by Its All Over Except ...
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To: Mount Athos

A whole continent being managed just the way the authoritarians want it.

Does that look like a desirable future to anyone who doesn’t regard The State as supreme over the The People?

Be glad for your Second Amendment right!


4 posted on 01/17/2022 11:29:59 AM PST by BradyLS (DO NOT FEED THE BEARS!)
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To: Mount Athos

Good article that meanders off with nonsensical claims.

Eg

“1: Vaccinated people are at HIGHER risk of being infected with Omicron than the unvaccinated ...”

This just distracted from the focus.


5 posted on 01/17/2022 11:31:19 AM PST by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: Mount Athos

My oldest daughter had a terrible headache after her booster three weeks ago. She said it felt like someone was pounding on her head with a hammer. I told her it probably would have killed me. There is a history of stroke on my mom’s side of the family, and I think something like that would have happened to me.


6 posted on 01/17/2022 11:36:03 AM PST by Steve_Seattle
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To: Mount Athos

7 posted on 01/17/2022 11:36:38 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum ("Communism is not love. Communism is a hammer which we use to crush the enemy." ― Mao Zedong [FJB])
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To: ifinnegan
Good article that meanders off with nonsensical claims.

Eg

“1: Vaccinated people are at HIGHER risk of being infected with Omicron than the unvaccinated ...”

This just distracted from the focus.

Thank Goodness we have experts such as you are letting us know how much the “vaccines” are still helping. Uninformed observers might conclude otherwise from the raw data and all the vaccinated people we know who have come down with Omicron.

8 posted on 01/17/2022 11:37:18 AM PST by fireman15
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To: Steve_Seattle

I have a history of stokes in my family (starting at age 40). My doctor said that was a reason in favor of getting vaccinated. I didn’t believe him.


9 posted on 01/17/2022 11:40:49 AM PST by alternatives? (The only reason to have an army is to defend your borders.)
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To: Mount Athos

What? It does not work? Tell me it aint so!


10 posted on 01/17/2022 11:43:01 AM PST by crz
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Interesting chart. And that’s “per 100,000” for each line, which is an apples to apples comparison and destructive of the typical “well it’s just because most of that country is vaxxed now” red herring. Nice work, as more people are finally starting to at least take a look, at whatever the long term truth may end up being.


11 posted on 01/17/2022 11:43:03 AM PST by Golden Eagle (What's in YOUR injection?)
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To: Its All Over Except ...
”The number of double-dose vaccinated patients in intensive care units (ICUs) also surpassed those of the unvaccinated, with 50.3 percent of the vaccinated presenting to ICU with COVID-19, more than the 49.1 percent who are unvaccinated.”

Math is hard.

If 93% of Australia is vaccinated and only 7% unvaccinated, then the above numbers indicate that the vaccinated are about 14 times less likely to end up in an ICU. This data point is not an argument against vaccines.

12 posted on 01/17/2022 11:43:56 AM PST by William Tell
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To: Mount Athos
Berenson doesn't adjust his data to reflect the percentage of vaccinated vs unvaccinated who become sick or die. He just reports the percentages based on the total raw numbers. The PERCENTAGE of unvaccinated who get sick or die is still much higher than the PERCENTAGE of the vaccinated who get sick and die, BUT that doesn't change the fact that tens of thousands of the vaccinated are getting sick and some are dying. The vaccines are no magic bullet.

If 95% are vaccinated, and - say - 70% of new cases are among the vaccinated, then the 5% unvaccinated are accounting for 30% of the new cases. And if 50% of the deaths are among the vaccinated, then 50% of the deaths are among the 5% who are unvaccinated. So vaccination improves your chances in the short term, but who knows what will happen down the road.
13 posted on 01/17/2022 11:48:40 AM PST by Steve_Seattle
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

What country is that chart from?


14 posted on 01/17/2022 11:50:01 AM PST by Steve_Seattle
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To: Steve_Seattle

click on the chart and it will take you to the article.


15 posted on 01/17/2022 11:52:09 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum ("Communism is not love. Communism is a hammer which we use to crush the enemy." ― Mao Zedong [FJB])
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To: ifinnegan

It’s not nonsensical, there is plenty of evidence to support it now from multiple countries. The protection jabs provide collapses month by month, eventually going negative so that the vaccinated are more likely than unvaccinated to get symptomatic infection. The UK has particularly clear support for this.

With the idea of perpetual boosters collapsing, that means month by month it may become more evident that the vaccinated are more vulnerable, and perhaps not only to covid.


16 posted on 01/17/2022 11:57:27 AM PST by Mount Athos
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To: Mount Athos
The CCP needs Lebensraum.
17 posted on 01/17/2022 12:06:58 PM PST by rfp1234 (Comitia asinorum et rhinocerum delenda sunt.)
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To: Mount Athos

True, this is like so many of those garbage drugs pushed by big pharma where they appear to help in one particular area by inhibiting your immune system, leaving you vulnerable to a whole legion of other bad characters.

“Your skin blemish will reduce by up to 30%. Side effects may include heart attack, stroke, liver damage, kidney damage, loss of eyesite, spontaneous amputation of limbs, assorted cancers, ...”


18 posted on 01/17/2022 12:07:15 PM PST by BiglyCommentary
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To: William Tell
This data point is not an argument against vaccines.

Ya, the vax works miracles. Lets force everyone to get one.
19 posted on 01/17/2022 12:13:21 PM PST by JoSixChip (2020: The year of unreported truths; 2021: My main take away from this year? Trust no one.)
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To: Mount Athos
Australia, Welcome to the wonderful world of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome!

Compliments of the New World Order
20 posted on 01/17/2022 12:35:49 PM PST by Jan_Sobieski (Sanctification)
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