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More From Murray's "Facing Reality"
Manhattan Contrarian ^ | 25 Aug, 2021 | Francis Menton

Posted on 08/25/2021 4:27:00 AM PDT by MtnClimber

I’ve now finished Charles Murray’s “Facing Reality.” It’s not a long book — 125 pages pre-footnotes. There are extensive references to online data archives and scholarly articles that you can review if you are so inclined; but as far as text goes, that’s it.

The core of the book is a summary of readily-available statistical data as to differences between and among racial groups in the U.S. The two areas of statistics on which Murray focuses are those relating to “cognitive ability” and “violent crime.” The racial categories that he uses are the ones generally used by government statisticians, including the Census, although he has adopted somewhat different nomenclature — European, African, Latin and Asian.

The group differences found in the statistics are not small. The largest differences are between Africans on the one hand and Europeans and Asians on the other. Many readers may be familiar with some of these statistics in a general way, but not with many of the details; so let me give a few examples.

With regard to “cognitive ability,” Murray notes that results of tests designed to asses this metric — such as IQ tests or SATs — are characterized by what are called “normal” probability distributions, familiar to most as the iconic bell curves. Normal distributions can be described by two key measurements: the mean (half of people score above, and half below); and the “standard deviation.,” which is a measure of how many people score how much above or below the mean. As to standard deviations, roughly two-thirds of people score within one standard deviation of the mean, 95% within two standard deviations, and 99.7% within three standard deviations.

For an IQ test, the mean is set at 100, and the standard deviation at 15. But each racial group has a different mean. There are substantial differences between the means for the different racial groups. A chart on page 40 shows that the mean for Europeans is slightly above the 100, for Africans is about 87, and for Asians is about 110. The same chart shows that there are very substantial overlaps between the distribution curves for the various groups. From page 39:

[This figure] shows how much overlap exists in the distributions. It is not a threatening picture. Yes, differences exist, but it is also true that millions of Africans and Latins have higher cognitive ability than millions of Europeans and Asians.

But the crux of the matter concerns not the overlapping centers of the distributions, but rather the tails, and particularly the high-end tails where are found candidates for elite jobs like corporate CEOs, investment bankers, college professors, and high-end doctors and lawyers. This is the place where attention is regularly focused to see what racial progress is being made. On page 82 Murray looks at the pool of potential candidates for an employer in one of these categories who is seeking to hire an “exceptionally intelligent” young adult (aged 25-29), with “exceptionally intelligent” defined as IQ of 135 or above (that is, more than 2 standard deviations above the mean, but well less than three):

Employers [in 2019] seeking these exceptionally intelligent young adults were choosing from a pool that contained only about 2,800 Africans and 9,500 Latins compared to 50,700 Asians and 160,100 Europeans.

In other words, Africans constituted only about 1.3% of this potential hiring pool, and Latins 4.3%. This is an issue that no amount of “affirmative action” can change. Two hundred major law firms can all announce that they are going to hire simultaneously 13% Africans among their classes of new associates, but there aren’t nearly that many qualified candidates to go around.

Murray’s book contains some substantial information on the history of attempting to move these statistics by government policies. At the time the statistical differences were identified, Africans had been subject to many decades of inferior schooling, and there was great optimism that better-funded schools would quickly reduce and even eliminate the gap. From the 1970s to 90s, the gap actually shrank somewhat, but since then, not much if any at all. The government funding that has gone into trying to move the needle is measured in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Murray particularly focuses on No Child Left Behind, from the early 2000s.

I won’t go into Murray’s violent crime statistics in any detail, but they are quite stark. Only a few cities publish granular data as to race of perpetrators as it relates to arrests or victim or witness identifications; but the handful that do include the largest cities of New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, and Washington. According to a chart on page 51, an African is 11.6 times as likely to get arrested for a violent crime in New York as a European, 9.0 times in Los Angeles, 14.5 times in Chicago, and 19.9 times in Washington. For Latins, the ratios are 4.1 times in New York, 2.4 in Los Angeles, 2.8 in Chicago, and 6.4 in Washington. If you think that those statistics might be driven by police racism, Murray points out that the ratios for victim and witness identifications of perpetrators are even higher than those for arrests.

Murray’s conclusion (from page 7)::

[M]ean differences between groups are a reality and will be with us indefinitely.

As for a prescription going forward, here is Murray from page 122:

Eliminate all forms of government-sponsored preferential treatment by race. It is not within any government’s power to force racial harmony on its citizens, but it is within the government’s power to strip away the legal and administrative incentives and requirements for preferential treatment according to race.

For myself, I’m not quite as ready as Murray to give up on changes in K-12 education as a way of reducing racial differences in test scores. So far, almost all of the government billions have gone to failed unionized government schools to keep doing exactly what they were doing before and get paid more for the effort. Expansion of school competition could well help minority children achieve more of their potential. But there’s no getting around that even this is not a “solution,” but rather a slow and at best partial amelioration.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Education; Society
KEYWORDS: race

1 posted on 08/25/2021 4:27:00 AM PDT by MtnClimber
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To: MtnClimber

And the democRATs are importing their new dependent voter base.


2 posted on 08/25/2021 4:27:12 AM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of Colorado scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: MtnClimber

“the mean (half of people score above, and half below)”

That is the median. The mean is the average. While generally close in a sample of good size, they are not the same thing.


3 posted on 08/25/2021 4:46:54 AM PDT by cdcdawg (Blame Biden and pray for his downfall.)
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To: MtnClimber
I'm a retired high school teacher. The range of cognitive ability in a typical high school class can be dramatic. Once you add in the effects of learning disabilities and attention deficits, it can pose a lot of challenges to teaching and learning. In my experience it helps a lot to separate students by ability (tracking) and maintain small class sizes, especially for the lowest tracks. It does these students no favors to put them in a class with higher-ability students and pretending that they are just as academically strong. Weak students need more individualized attention, and many of them are disruptive due to lack of self discipline and attention to task. There aren't enough corners to separate the disruptive students if you have 30+ in a classroom.

Unfortunately, it is difficult politically to maintain academic tracking in a school system because you end up with disproportionate representation by ethnic background at the upper and lower levels. It is social dynamite with no easy solutions in today's environment. I'm glad I'm out of it.

4 posted on 08/25/2021 5:07:35 AM PDT by Think free or die
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To: MtnClimber

To believe that all groups are identical is absurd. Look at the under-representation of whites and Asians in the NBA and NFL.


5 posted on 08/25/2021 5:42:12 AM PDT by Renkluaf
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To: Renkluaf

Is that because blacks have benefited from slavery as Jimmy the Greek noted or that whites and asians have quit trying to play the game?


6 posted on 08/25/2021 5:49:21 AM PDT by ealgeone
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To: Think free or die

I have two family members working as teachers in public education. Both would very likely written the same or similar response as yours.
In person, their language and word choice would have been more “colorful”.


7 posted on 08/25/2021 5:50:43 AM PDT by sjmjax
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To: Think free or die
it helps a lot to separate students by ability (tracking)

Of course it does, which is why it is prohibited.

8 posted on 08/25/2021 5:55:12 AM PDT by 1Old Pro (Let's make crime illegal again!)
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To: MtnClimber

The government funding that has gone into trying to move the needle is measured in the hundreds of billions of dollars. Murray particularly focuses on No Child Left Behind, from the early 2000s.


NCLB was never about, especially officially, improving the education for those already getting a good education, or even a mediocre one - but about identifying those schools which were doing abysmally and addressing them. Giving children at the bottom end of the tier, at least equal opportunity to learn. Then, even that meager (albeit expensive) effort was undermined. By the end of the Obama Administration most of the effects had been neutered, if not neutralized, while the spending remained.


9 posted on 08/25/2021 5:57:45 AM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: MtnClimber

I won’t go into Murray’s violent crime statistics in any detail, but they are quite stark. Only a few cities publish granular data as to race of perpetrators as it relates to arrests or victim or witness identifications; but the handful that do include the largest cities of New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, and Washington. According to a chart on page 51, an African is 11.6 times as likely to get arrested for a violent crime in New York as a European, 9.0 times in Los Angeles, 14.5 times in Chicago, and 19.9 times in Washington. For Latins, the ratios are 4.1 times in New York, 2.4 in Los Angeles, 2.8 in Chicago, and 6.4 in Washington. If you think that those statistics might be driven by police racism, Murray points out that the ratios for victim and witness identifications of perpetrators are even higher than those for arrests.


Now what are the ratios of victims?


10 posted on 08/25/2021 6:00:41 AM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: ealgeone

Is that because blacks have benefited from slavery as Jimmy the Greek noted or that whites and asians have quit trying to play the game?
****************
Neither. It is quite simply that blacks are genetically superior athletes.


11 posted on 08/25/2021 6:32:02 AM PDT by sunny bonobo
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To: sunny bonobo

” blacks are genetically superior athletes.”

If that is true and one avoids the cultural differences (i.e., avenues of opportunity) then would it not be possible that blacks are cognitively inferior?


12 posted on 08/25/2021 6:56:17 AM PDT by No Party Affiliation
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To: 1Old Pro

It seems that the left realizes that the only way to make outcomes equal is to drag the bright students down to the level of the lowest achievers.


13 posted on 08/25/2021 7:03:36 AM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of Colorado scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: MtnClimber
It would be useful to tie these data with the findings on the centuries-old movement to deprecate curricula to neutralize social out-groups' threat to financial captialists' accumulation of investment monies as detailed by 1989-1991 NY Teacher of the year John Taylor Gatto at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IZBdv2yznmI&t=4176s. (Mr. Gatto found much less practical difference between various ethnic groups' performance once the deliberate-failure ethos of schooling was overcome.) And it would be useful to consider the implications of the Kissinger Report: NSSM-200 Implications of Worldwide Population Growth for U.S. Security Interests declassified in 1989 upon the once rising but now moribund movement to found firm educational institutions in Africa. What a different world it could have been, if schooling had been for the purpose of education instead of social control. But the corporate consumerist and human resources management stakes in deliberately dumbed-down schooling have the effect that if children were ever to be taught self-reliance, autonomy and free thinking, if young people were ever to attain independence from the constant requirement of being taught what to think and minute oversight of what they do at all times, in schooling and employment, there would be a terrible crash in the existing, dependency-based economy.


14 posted on 08/25/2021 8:36:20 AM PDT by CharlesOConnell (CharlesOConnell)
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To: CharlesOConnell

Why not take it 1 step further and note that Jews score higher than all other groups than Asians. They were self-selecting, sending those without motivation, who were content to be farmers rather than scholars, out of the group, promoting and genetically self-selecting those who did have the motivation to work towards intellectual life-callings. If these same standards are applied to the former, Northern European, American majority, non-Jewish and non-Asian white people would also be taken out with the trash. Oh, wait, a minute, they already have been, they’re now out at the curb, where the cats are scrounging for dead fish bones among the social trash cans.


15 posted on 08/25/2021 8:42:07 AM PDT by CharlesOConnell (CharlesOConnell)
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To: No Party Affiliation

” blacks are genetically superior athletes.”

“If that is true and one avoids the cultural differences (i.e., avenues of opportunity) then would it not be possible that blacks are cognitively inferior?”

No, it doesn’t work that because shut up.


16 posted on 08/25/2021 9:43:27 AM PDT by suthener ( )
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To: MtnClimber

“It seems that the left realizes that the only way to make outcomes equal is to drag the bright students down to the level of the lowest achievers.”

That is, and always has been, their ultimate goal, not just for education but for society as a whole.


17 posted on 08/25/2021 9:45:11 AM PDT by suthener ( )
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To: sunny bonobo

If that were the case Africa would dominate sports. I see areas with former slavery with stronger athletes.


18 posted on 08/25/2021 12:47:49 PM PDT by ealgeone
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