If I were a public official and I REALLY believed in the efficacy and the safety of the vaccines for ALL ages....
I would make sure we kept an up-to-date and precisely accurate public accounting of all Covid illnesses, deaths, hospital stays, etc... by age along with the same metrics for those who got the vaccine.
There is no way that you can describe the current Covid tracker and the VAERS systems the way I described above.
Let’s say I were a 25 year old and saw that I had a 10% of catching Covid, an 5% chance of becoming ill, a 2.5% chance of becoming extremely ill, a 1% chance of being hospitalized and a .2% chance of dying from Covid.
Then lets say I saw that if I took the vaccine, I had a 50% chance of becoming ill from the vaccine and a 1% chance from becoming ill from Covid and a 3% chance of becoming extremely ill from the vaccine and a .5% chance of becoming extremely ill from Covid and .5% chance of being hospitalized from the vaccine and a .25% chance of being hospitalized from Covid, and a .01% chance of dying from the vaccine and a .005% chance of dying from Covid.
And then let’s say they had an offset/multiplier for BMI, Vit D level, A1C level, history of cancer, average blood pressure, etc...to move those percentages up or down depending on co-morbidities.
And then let’s say that ALL of these numbers were being update weekly to reflect the latest information....I would have to balance those 2 sets of data and feel that I was making the best informed decision that I could make. It is 2021. If we wanted to provide this level of visibility into the data, we could do so. I wonder why they don’t want to provide this level of visibility?
(all of those numbers were made up off the top of my head so don’t bitch about their accuracy)
As Shakespeare said; "ay, there's the rub!"
For the first two or three months my county health dept. posted pretty complete information on cases, places, age and sex, hospitalizations and deaths. Then, following the FedMob's example (or possibly their orders), they reduced it all to case numbers and deaths.
You are absolutely correct.
There are all sorts of “What If” scenario calculators out there or stock purchases, mortgages, life insurance, etc.
By now, some enterprising wonky, Azberger’s person could put together a website on ‘rona scenario calculations based on probabilities from numbers that are already out there.
He could make a killing.
Of course, he site would be quickly cyber attacked.