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IOWA Poll Stun Dems — Trump Now +7 — GOP Ernst Now in Lead for Senate Seat — GOP Poised to Flip House Seat
TG ^
| 11/1/2020
| Evan
Posted on 11/01/2020 5:40:10 AM PST by wrrock
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LOL - Nate Silver is trying his best to calm a panicked Democratic base.
1
posted on
11/01/2020 5:40:10 AM PST
by
wrrock
To: wrrock
Well that would be awesome. Hopefully the folks in AZ will toss margabby to the curb and keep McSally. What a disgrace that assclown kelly is to the Navy and the ass-tro-naught corps.
2
posted on
11/01/2020 5:42:35 AM PST
by
rktman
( #My2ndAmend! ----- Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?)
To: wrrock
Great news!!!
Still...
Vote like we’re 20 points behind.
3
posted on
11/01/2020 5:45:08 AM PST
by
bayliving
(Hidin' Joe Biden visits the WORLD from his basement in Delaware...)
To: wrrock
4
posted on
11/01/2020 5:46:01 AM PST
by
V_TWIN
(Where's Hunter???)
To: rktman
If Trump is ahead seven in Iowa in a really reliable poll, he ain’t behind nationally by 7-10 points.
5
posted on
11/01/2020 5:48:24 AM PST
by
laconic
To: wrrock
Nate would have made a great captain of the Titanic!
6
posted on
11/01/2020 5:48:40 AM PST
by
cgbg
(Biden n-2020: Criminal enterprise using cokehead as bagman. Pronounced: Bye Done.)
To: wrrock
7
posted on
11/01/2020 5:49:58 AM PST
by
Eric in the Ozarks
(Baseball players, gangsters and musicians are remembered. But journalists are forgotten.)
To: bayliving
Great news!!!
Still...
Vote like we’re 20 points behind.
And don’t forget obiden’z voter fraud brag.
Vote and keep an eye on the democrats
To: wrrock
MAGA2020! GET OUT AND VOTE!!!!!
To: wrrock
The poll shows Trump leading 64 to 28 on those who plan to vote n Election Day.
But up 48-41 overall.
10
posted on
11/01/2020 5:52:40 AM PST
by
HereInTheHeartland
(Leave me alone, I have no incriminating evidence on the Clintons)
To: wrrock
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
The key here folks is that this poll was WRONG in 2016:
it was Trump by 10, not 7.
I don’t put much stock in any polls, but this one is consistent, if consistently low.
Trump 320-340 EVs, pop vote, hold the Senate 52-48, good shot at the House. Need about 5 surprises.
11
posted on
11/01/2020 5:55:55 AM PST
by
LS
("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
To: wrrock
YAY! Haveta say I never believed the early Iowa polls favoring Biden. They appear to have been conducted at the U of I campus in Ames
12
posted on
11/01/2020 5:56:28 AM PST
by
faithhopecharity
(Politicians are not born, they are excreted. Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
To: wrrock
13
posted on
11/01/2020 6:03:15 AM PST
by
bray
(Pray for President Trump)
To: wrrock
Anyone have any concern with North Carolina
14
posted on
11/01/2020 6:05:24 AM PST
by
MagillaX
To: MagillaX
Gopher ran for the house in 84’ Reagans’ reelection. Gopher-the cruise show.
15
posted on
11/01/2020 6:13:09 AM PST
by
DIRTYSECRET
(urope. Why do they put up with this.)
To: wrrock
Remember how in 2016 the Des Moines Register had refused to publish their final poll?
This time they are throwing in the towel.
16
posted on
11/01/2020 6:15:10 AM PST
by
Gideon7
To: wrrock
69
192
1.5K
Nate Silver
“@NateSilver538
·
1h
What I’m getting at here is ... things look pretty locked in. Not the election outcome itself! That ain’t locked in at all! But our final averages may not change much. Especially after adding these polls because they have huge sample sizes and so get a lot of weight in our model.”
Isn’t he totally contradicting himself?
17
posted on
11/01/2020 6:18:36 AM PST
by
CassieL
(Mostly a lurker here since the Blue Dress)
To: CassieL
Yup. He didn’t paint himself into a corner he built all four walls over head high!
18
posted on
11/01/2020 6:25:01 AM PST
by
mad_as_he$$
(Why can't we just get into the running car?)
To: faithhopecharity
U of Iowa = Iowa City
Iowa State = Ames
Some GOP insiders have been saying all along Ernst and Trump likely win by 10.
19
posted on
11/01/2020 6:29:43 AM PST
by
jjotto
(Blessed are You LORD, who crushes enemies and subdues the wicked.)
To: wrrock
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