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The Real Cause Of The U.S. High COVID Death Count: Our Successes
The Revolutionary Act ^ | 10/1/20

Posted on 10/02/2020 11:45:41 AM PDT by Liberty7732

by Julio Gonzalez, M.D., J.D.

One of the many points of contention brought up during Tuesday’s fiery presidential debate was the issue of the United States’ high coronavirus case and death numbers. The allegation of America’s high numbers relative to its population was espoused by former Vice President Joe Biden when he lamented that the United States owned 20 percent of worldwide deaths while possessing only 4 percent of the world’s population. Predictably, he then did his best to pin the responsibility for these stark statistics on President Trump.

Indeed, as of this writing, the United States has approximately 21 percent of the world’s coronavirus deaths and cases, but the reason for this is never reported by the press and has nothing to do with the President’s conduct. In fact, the reason may surprise you.

As part of my book Coronalessons, which Amazon did its best to ban and whose existence it is still trying to suppress, I assembled data regarding the number of per capita cases and deaths of COVID-19 throughout the world. My team performed univariate analyses comparing the effects of a country’s per capita COVID-19 case and death rates with its national healthcare ranking, per capita GDP, physician density, population density, and life expectancy. We selected the countries with the one hundred highest per capita cases of COVID-19 as of May 2, 2020, according to Worldometer.com and employed the demographic data published by the World Bank in our analysis. The nation’s healthcare ranking was obtained from the admittedly dated world rankings published by the United Nations in 2000, the last year it did so.

The results were startling. As the number of physicians per capita improved, the number of cases and deaths from COVID-19 exponentially actually increased! (Figure 1). Relatedly, the better the country’s health care system, the worse it performed. And when we looked at the number of hospitals per capita, the greater the hospital density, the poorer the nation performed. In fact, the mildest correlation we found was a nation’s per capita testing with the number of deaths and cases.

​These results were contrary to our preconceived expectations. But the findings were explainable. Amongst the strongest correlations were those between a country’s life expectancy and its per capita cases and deaths. (Figure 2.)

This correlation was completely expected based the virus’s heightened threat to the elderly. What’s more, for a nation to amass a greater life expectancy and thus a higher elderly population, it requires a robust healthcare system with lots of doctors and a myriad of hospital beds. And what’s required to amass these? Wealth. Indeed, there was a direct, linear relationship between a nation’s per capita GDP and its per capita cases (Figure 3.) and an exponential relationship to per capita deaths. (Figure 4.) In short, the richer the nation, the more likely its citizens were apt to contract the disease and to die from it.

But still the question remains, how is it that the higher number of per capita cases could be explained by a nation’s per capita GDP? Here again, then answer is simple. Travel!

COVID-19 is spread purely through the intermingling of contaminated people with others who would otherwise not have come across the virus. It is to the richer nations that people travel, either due to business or pleasure; particularly early in the pandemic before anyone could do anything about it and before many even knew they were infected.

With these factors in mind, one can almost predict the global course of COVID-19. As we know, the pandemic began in Wuhan, China. From there, the principal locations of its initial spread were to Italy and Iran through contacts related to the Belt and Road Initiative into which each country had entered with China. Recall that even after China knew of the virus’s propensity for inter-human transmission if did nothing to stop international travel from within its country.

True to our predictions, the spread from Iran, a relatively poor and isolated country, did not blossom, but for Italy, the experience was entirely different. In Italy, the government tried, unsuccessfully, to contain the spread in the northern third of the country where the virus had entered via Chinese interaction, but the virus quickly spread south as Italians easily moved throughout the peninsula. In the meantime, a colossal soccer match in the northern Italian city of Atalanta allowed for the intermingling of Italians and Spaniards where the virus spread next. Shortly thereafter, in Madrid, the international women’s march allowed for further spread to take place.

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A related dynamic began occurring in Europe that was also predicted from our correlations: the deaths of massive numbers of elderly patients. In Italy, the dynamics revolved around the sharing of living quarters between the younger generations and the older ones. In Spain, like in France and England, the decimations largely took place in nursing homes.

Additionally, throughout this time, travel was robustly taking place between China, Europe, and the United States. Like a hidden landmine ready to go off, the virus took hold in our population before we even knew it. Ours is the richest country in the world, and perhaps the most heavily visited. It was, predictably, the ultimate destination for SARS-COV-2, and without any means of detecting it, there was nothing the President or any other authority could have done to prevent it. Needless to say, shutting down travel from China on January 31 was logical and helpful, but in the end it was insufficient to keep the virus from reaching our shores, and our nation’s epidemiology behaved exactly as our model would have predicted.

Before closing, one other point is in order. If Biden is going to spuriously accuse the President of doing a poor job merely based on the United States’ relative contribution to the global prevalence and death rates of the virus, he should even more zealously criticize New York, which is singlehandedly responsible for 15% of the nation’s COVID-19 deaths. Governor Andrew Cuomo recklessly ignored the already established pattern of nursing home vulnerabilities by irresponsibly and selfishly insisting that hospitalized elderly patients be transferred there. Under his watch and because of his actions, New York’s nursing homes became a cesspool of death and infection when many of the fatalities could have been prevented.

So what’s the real cause of the SARS-CoV-2’s attack on the United States following China’s disregard for the wellbeing of its neighbors? The answer is the world’s attraction to the United States because of our wealth coupled with the relatively advanced age of our population due to our superior healthcare. But neither the mainstream press nor Biden will ever admit to this because it would decimate their false claims against President Trump. And thus the true cause of our plight with this pandemic remains hidden from the public.

For more findings on the COVID-19 pandemic that are not reported by the press, such as information on hydroxychloroquine, the timeline of the pandemic, China’s and the WHO’s roles in propagating the disease, and the disruption of constitutional constraint by certain governors, please go to Dr. Gonzalez’s store and get your copy of Coronalessons.


TOPICS: Politics
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1 posted on 10/02/2020 11:45:41 AM PDT by Liberty7732
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To: Liberty7732

We have no idea how many died in China and many other countries.


2 posted on 10/02/2020 11:48:08 AM PDT by VA40
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To: VA40

All we know is that some cremating was going on, not to mention people were getting trapped inside their homes.


3 posted on 10/02/2020 11:52:23 AM PDT by Morpheus2009 (If you want me to be afraid, then be consistent in your logic, standards, and your lies!)
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To: Liberty7732

We don’t know how underreported COVID-19 deaths in poorer countries are, and we don’t know how overreported COVID-19 deaths are in advanced countries.


4 posted on 10/02/2020 11:52:41 AM PDT by Yo-Yo ( is the /sarc tag really necessary?)
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To: Liberty7732

>worldometer.com

It is actually https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/


5 posted on 10/02/2020 11:56:38 AM PDT by UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide (Reverse Wickard v Filburn (1942) - and - ISLAM DELENDA EST)
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To: Liberty7732

We do know that we are over-reporting COVID deaths by a wide margin. Perhaps they could remove the financial incentives?


6 posted on 10/02/2020 11:56:48 AM PDT by GMMC0987
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To: VA40

Tag for later


7 posted on 10/02/2020 11:57:51 AM PDT by Ranxerox
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To: Liberty7732
The answer is the world’s attraction to the United States because of our wealth coupled with the relatively advanced age of our population due to our superior healthcare. But neither the mainstream press nor Biden will ever admit to this because it would decimate their false claims against President Trump. And thus the true cause of our plight with this pandemic remains hidden from the public.

And thus Basement-Biden is elected President. Well, effectively, Kamala Harris is elected even though Democrats can't stand her either. That's why, of 30 Democrat primary contenders, she dropped out before the first primary even took place.

I'll paraphrase Woody Harrelson who imitates Biden in SNL debate spoofs, and apply it to Kamala:

Kamala Harris (parody): Democrats have made it clear they don't want me to be President. Republicans and Independents don't want me to be President. Nobody wants me to be President. But I'm confident that when I assume the U.S. Presidency in maybe February or March of 2021, I'll successfully lead Black Lives Matter/Antifa to far greater widespread influence both in the "dismantled" United States and throughout the world. Thank you.

8 posted on 10/02/2020 12:03:16 PM PDT by gw-ington
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To: Liberty7732

America’s Romance, Celtic, Black and Amerindian population is also genetically more susceptible than many others, such as Turks and Germans who migrated from Asia later.


9 posted on 10/02/2020 12:06:26 PM PDT by UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide (Reverse Wickard v Filburn (1942) - and - ISLAM DELENDA EST)
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To: Liberty7732

Fascinating.

No surprise the low IQ deep state trying to hide this.


10 posted on 10/02/2020 12:33:37 PM PDT by reasonisfaith (What are the implications if the Resurrection of Christ is a true event in history?)
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To: VA40

“We have no idea how many died in China and many other countries.”

Of course we don’t. In our society if someone dies in Podunk, Alabama the the data and stats will be recorded just as if they were in Birmingham or New York. I do not find it credible that that is the case in Moldova or Zambia. I also question some of the supposedly advanced countries. The same goes for testing,


11 posted on 10/02/2020 12:36:41 PM PDT by suthener
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To: Liberty7732

I’ll tell you what. If this china manufactured germ wants you it will get you. It’s airborne and worldwide. And not cool worldwide like a ZZTop song:-)


12 posted on 10/02/2020 12:58:41 PM PDT by Harpotoo (Being a socialist is a lot easier than having to WORK like the rest of US:-))
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To: Liberty7732

It hates us for our freedoms


13 posted on 10/02/2020 1:20:06 PM PDT by babble-on
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To: GMMC0987

We do know that we are over-reporting COVID deaths by a wide margin.


If you understood how the numbers are generated, even for non-COVID, you would understand that we are both over and under reporting in large numbers. We are only now really getting a handle on anything like precise numbers for March, and even those are preliminary.

The numbers are also intertwined with those from the COVID-induced shutdown and isolations. The deaths from other things will increase over the next year or so because of proper medical treatment of chronic or long term conditions not being obtained, at the same time, as others who would have died in the next couple of years had their deaths accelerated by COVID.

At first blush, the number 200,000 really means ‘something between 150,000 and 240,000’, even without any chicanery.


14 posted on 10/02/2020 1:20:27 PM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: Liberty7732

bkmk


15 posted on 10/02/2020 2:28:13 PM PDT by Sergio (An object at rest cannot be stopped! - The Evil Midnight Bomber What Bombs at Midnight)
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To: VA40

Or how many of our own deaths were not really Covid deaths...


16 posted on 10/03/2020 2:43:44 AM PDT by trebb (Don't howl about illegal leeches, or Trump in general, while not donating to FR - it's hypocritical.)
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