Posted on 07/09/2020 7:37:00 AM PDT by C19fan
This election is looking more like a Democratic tsunami than simply a Blue wave. President Trump, mired in some of the lowest job approval ratings of his presidency, is trailing Biden by significant margins in key battleground states like Pennsylvania (8 points), Michigan (9 points), and Wisconsin (9 points). He’s even running behind Biden in his firewall states of Florida and North Carolina.
(Excerpt) Read more at cookpolitical.com ...
And in 2016?
Cook Political Report, are you serious? Have they ever seen anything less than a Blue Wave around election time?
This post is incorrectly titled
Watch the stock market carefully for signs of changing political winds. And even more carefully if you have any personal investments. It can all turn suddenly.
I feel this is Bull as far as Trump is concerned but as far as Congress? It’s theirs to lose.
Good motto.
My experience from people i run into, and at my wife’s family gathrtings in the southetn NH and north shore Mass area is ... if you ever wisper Trump’s name they become unhinged.
I fine very few Trump supporters unfortunatly.
I remember being in a group talking with a senior Republican congressman who was asked a question about a dire Charlie Cook prediction. His response was that Charlie Cook is never right, and he’s a hack from having worked on a Democratic House staff. I wouldn’t put too much of a bet on his tsunami nonsense.
I feel this is Bull as far as Trump is concerned but as far as Congress? It’s theirs to lose.
************
Even when Republicans win they let the Dems run the show.
In this climate, who is answering the polls honestly telling them they are voting for Trump
I will not be discouraged for getting out on election day and casting my vote for President Trump and Republicans on the ballot. I could never vote for a Democrat, ever.
I think Cook is a Leftist hack, but he did get it right in 2010. I recall sometime during that summer, he warned the Dems “the air raid sirens are sounding off” and the GOP B-52 bombers were approaching their target. Loved the analogy.
This will be an obliteration of the GOP in November if these polls hold.
According to the poll conducted by the Washington based thinktank the Democracy Institute, President Trump is neck and neck with his rival Joe Biden on 47 percent. However, Mr Trump would win in the electoral college system by 309 to 229 delegates because he is on course to win the crucial swing states including Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin where he outpolls Vice President Biden by 48 percent to 44 percent.
With Biden’s promised tax hikes, the market will drop like a stone if it feels he will win.
I am a little confused about one thing. This time of year, historically, politics is not a major concern of people. People are tired of BLM and ANTIFA and they have lost their impact. SO are people really paying attention right now especially in States like WI that is out of lock down. Here in NC Cooper claims to be up in the polls but the man is despised. Does anything we see in polls right now matter?
not a chance of PDJT losing (at least not right now with all the DNC-SorozNazi street gangsters like Burgle, Loot, and Murder running free in our streets)
On the day of the election, FiveThirtyEight gave Senate candidate Katie McGinty a 61.7 percent chance of victory over Republican incumbent Pat Toomey in Pennsylvania, and it gave Senate candidate Russ Feingold an 81.7 percent chance of victory over Republican incumbent Ron Johnson in Wisconsin—both states that Clinton was also strongly favored to win. Overall, according to the Cook Political Report, Democrats would pick up five to seven Senate seats, and Clinton would likely turn at least a couple of red states blue in the presidential race. At one point this summer, there was even speculation that states as deep red as Texas and Arizona could go blue.
In the end, Trump flipped six states that Obama had won (Clinton flipped none); McGinty and Feingold were both defeated (Democrats picked up only two seats nationwide); and the Republicans retained their majorities in both the Senate and the House
https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/12/the-worst-political-predictions-of-2016-214555
The Whig Party disappeared when they went wobbly on the greatest issue of their day and the Republican Party formed. I would be just as glad to kick the current Republican Party to the curb given half an alternative.
Cook’s reporting is worthless.
Their evaluation, November 7, 2016:
Elector college, Hilary 278, Trump 214, 46 a toss up.
Election called for Hillary.
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