Posted on 03/23/2020 7:21:32 AM PDT by Its All Over Except ...
Update: The Worldometer later moved back their total US coronavirus cases to 32,356 which puts the rate at 1.25% still much lower than the 3.4% rate estimated by the WHO.
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The US coronavirus mortality rate dipped to 1.25% on Sunday using deaths (396) divided by confirmed cases (38,167).
That number is actually SIGNIFICANTLY lower if you factor in ALL OF THE CASES that are not being reported, where people are not feeling sick enough to be tested. That number could be 6-7 times higher than the current number of 38,167.
The mortality rate for the coronavirus in the US continues to fall as more and more Americans are able to be tested.
12 days ago the US coronavirus mortality rate was 4.06 Today the mortality rate is down to 1.25%! 4.06% March 8 (22 deaths of 541 cases) 3.69% March 9 (26 of 704) 3.01% March 10 (30 of 994) 2.95% March 11 (38 of 1,295) 2.52% March 12 (42 of 1,695) 2.27% March 13 (49 of 2,247) 1.93% March 14 (57 of 2,954) 1.84% March 15 (68 of 3,680) 1.6% March 17 (116 of 7,301) 1.4% March 19 (161 of 11,329) 1.25% March 20 (237 of 18,845) 01.0% March 22 (396 of 38,167
Yossi Getetner posted a list earlier in the week.
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(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...
I wonder if the ad hom, attack the source and not the stats crowd at FR will accept Uber conservative Gateway Pundit or continue to wring their hands in all hope is lost and slam then as being poorly and unprofessional?
Accountable on the 12th of never.
Last one for a while.
A question: Is that what others are wondering, if WHO is reliable?
Another question: How can we sacrifice the economy and fight this, too?
What a shock! Who could have predicted it? All this fu for all for nothing.
But we have already burned down the first floor of the house, what should we do, try to put the fire out now?
The rate could drop to under 1% soon with the serious ramp-up on testing kits available, especially in New York state, California and Washington state, where many of the kits are now headed to.
Oops. 3/22/20 is the date of this article from TGP.
Maybe by the end of the week? I’m not a betting man but ...
https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
ping
WHO? Baseball?
The virus itself is an insidious and powerful hunter of morons and many who allow themselves to be influenced by morons.
As testing increases, the number of those found to be infected will increase. This changes the ratio significantly and will by pure matematics, lower the mortality rate.
I think what people are at now is WHO reliable?
The new testing systems that can identify carriers of COVID-19 in only four hours are rolling out fast. That will result in a major spike in reported cases compared to reported deaths.
By the end of this week I suspect we will know that the quinine meds work.
That happens and the hysterians will need another panic to grab onto.
Where we live in East King County, WA this thing was brought back here gratis by the huge number of recent Chinese immigrants who had gone back home for Chinese New Year. Over 10,000 came back with no health screening at all after the travel ban by flying into Vancouver International instead of SeaTac. Thank you Canada for completely undermining our President.
But I digress, this thing has been going around our community for 3 months. People here do not wonder if they are going to get it; they wonder if they already had it. Because most of us experienced probably have. I do not believe the death rate is any worse than a typical flu, but the transmission rate is probably a little higher. Only 10% of people tested here are coming back positive, but that maybe because people tested are still having residual issues after beating the virus. So even if we had the resources to test everyone... we still might not get an accurate picture.
Celebrating that the death rate is falling while the new deaths are doubling is a bit premature.
What the heck does that matter?! What do I care whether 100,000 get infected, and only 1,000 die (= 1%), or one million get infect, and only 1,000 die (= 0.1%)? A thousand people still die!
Unless you are assuming that, eventually, we will all be infected.
Regards,
The death rate will definitely go lower when they begin testing more. But, that's only because they will be discovering more infected people. The statistic to pay attention to that nobody wants to talk about is the rate of spread of the virus. As of Saturday, depending upon what state you live in, the number of cases doubles every 62 to 68 hours. And, it will continue to do this until something changes to affect the spread.
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