This tracking site from Johns Hopkins University gives us a more regular update:
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
In China, there are now 8,237 infections reported.
171 have died and 143 have recovered.
Very small number of recovered.
That recovery stat is really worrisome.
Sounds like if we get this, it’s at least a 3 week stay in the hospital.
We’re going to need bigger hospitals if this breaks free in the US.
“...the World Health Organization said most cases reported to date “have been milder, with around 20% of those infected experiencing severe illness.” https://hosted.ap.org/article/a980aeb44b3840341c674a6e67c19da6/deaths-rise-132-china-outbreak-foreigners-leave
this 20% is in China. Not the case around the world where almost all cases have been ‘milder’. No deaths outside of China proper. (except Shanghai)
Jan 21 - first case in USA - still alive
Jan 25 - first cases in France - still alive; also Australia
Jan 26/27 - first cases in Canada - still alive
Jan 27 - Cambodia/Sri Lanka - still alive
Jan 27 - 5th case in Australia - still alive
Jan 28 - all still alive except China: Australia, Cambodia, Canada, China, France, Japan, Malaysia, Nepal, Singapore, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand, the US, Vietnam and Germany.
Why are people dying in China and not outside of China? Maybe the Chinese delayed medical treatment in favor of herbal medicine? Maybe the Chinese treated for flu when they should have treated for pneumonia? What, besides Tamiflu, have the Chinese been using to treat? If China is expecting tens of thousands of cases, why did they build a pop-up hospital that only holds 1500 patients?
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
In China, there are now 8,237 infections reported.
171 have died and 143 have recovered.
At the John Hopkins site, the most interesting information is the graph at the far left bottom corner. Expand it! It shows that there are far fewer than 200 cases worldwide. This number is not subject to the Chinese "lying". It shows that after nearly 2 weeks, the containment has been quite effective.
Far and away, most of these international cases are singletons which can be traced directly back to people leaving China. There just hasn't been much spread of the disease outside of China.
Consider that even if you believe that the Chinese are grossly understating the number of cases (which I tend to believe), that just makes the worldwide numbers look BETTER in terms of containment.
The ratio of deaths to recoveries is bothersome, but that number probably won't be meaningful until three weeks has elapsed due to the weeks it takes to recover. Again, the Chinese deaths may be under-reported. So look at the individual international cases and see that there have currently been very few deaths outside of China.