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Whoops! Nate Silver now HEDGING his ‘blue wave’ bet for Democrats
The National Sentinel ^ | 11/5/18 | USA Features

Posted on 11/05/2018 10:40:26 AM PST by SleeperCatcher

click here to read article


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To: TakebackGOP

Scott is term limited, that’s why. desantis is a freedom caucus guy and big trump supporter.


21 posted on 11/05/2018 11:04:36 AM PST by pghbjugop
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To: SleeperCatcher

Well - I’ve done what I can to put my money where my mouth is.

Opened a predictit account and put in $10 against increases in Pub house and senate, trump approval rating, and Sherrod Brown losing in Ohio.

Bought into the market in a big way over the past two weeks on the dips.

My call is minor increase in house seats, and moderate (3-7 seats) increase in senate. Market takes off Wed/Thur and I do a bit more than ok.

If not then I’ll have to figure out if I just hold or anticipate a downtrend...but my money is where I think we’re headed. Now it’s just a matter of VOTING - Get out there and Vote folks! (I know I’m talking to an echo chamber here...but...)


22 posted on 11/05/2018 11:04:59 AM PST by reed13k
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To: SleeperCatcher

All the Democrat angst, mobs, calls for action, voter sign ups, Souls to the Polls, women against Trump, made up accusations, media hate and here we are at the end of Early Voting, and the Republican turn out is 2% over the RAT turn out.


23 posted on 11/05/2018 11:06:31 AM PST by 11th_VA ("When passions are most inflamed, fairness is most in jeopardy." - Susan Collins)
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To: BRL

I was feeling a lot more optimistic this morning than l do now. It seems like tidal wave of bad polling outlook today. it is not looking good my friends. Florida will be a disaster, 3 new Rat State SC Judges.


24 posted on 11/05/2018 11:07:06 AM PST by gibsonguy
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Oh ok, got it


25 posted on 11/05/2018 11:07:16 AM PST by TakebackGOP
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To: reed13k

GOP +26 Seats in the House!


26 posted on 11/05/2018 11:07:57 AM PST by Blue House Sue
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To: cowboyusa

I second that, pray for DeSantis to beat the communist Gillum.


27 posted on 11/05/2018 11:10:51 AM PST by CharlesMartelsGhost
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To: Blue House Sue

God I hope you are right!!


28 posted on 11/05/2018 11:12:48 AM PST by Sarah Barracuda
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To: bigbob
Like Patches O'Houlihan...


29 posted on 11/05/2018 11:12:58 AM PST by EEGator
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To: SleeperCatcher

Nate’s a left wing pundit who pretends he uses math to justify his advocacy, nothing more.


30 posted on 11/05/2018 11:13:24 AM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: 11th_VA

Florida early voting results:

Numbers released Monday morning by the state’s Division of Elections show a total of over 5.1 million people had either taken part in early voting or had mailed in their absentee ballots. Another 1.1 million absentee ballots that were requested had not been submitted as of this weekend.

Nearly 13.2 million people are registered to vote in the state of Florida according to the Division of Elections as of September 30th.

Democrats have cast 2.06 million ballots. Republicans have cast 2.04 million. More than 948,000 voters with no party affiliation have also voted.

This year’s totals far exceed those of 2014 midterms, but are still short of the 6.6 million who voted ahead of Election Day in 2016.

Link: https://www.nbcmiami.com/news/local/Nearly-5-Million-Florida-Voters-Cast-Ballots-Ahead-of-2018-Elections-499628201.html
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31 posted on 11/05/2018 11:15:36 AM PST by CharlesMartelsGhost
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To: Sarah Barracuda

And it gets better!

We will get to see Democrats cry when they lose
.

They will cry on TV, on the radio, in newspapers and all over the internet!

And we get to see those losers crying!


32 posted on 11/05/2018 11:15:45 AM PST by Blue House Sue
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To: Blue House Sue

I hope to see Dems cry I really do. Im nervous, on the fence, could go either way. Not really scared about the Senate I think we keep that, but the House, I think could go either way 50/50 chance..I just hope that enough Republicans show up at the polls tomorrow. I know for early voting Republicans are winning that and for Florida Dems took the lead today, don’t know what the fuss is about in that, did people think Dems would stay home LOL. We won in 2016 and I think Dems had a commanding lead in early voting am I right


33 posted on 11/05/2018 11:22:38 AM PST by Sarah Barracuda
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To: pghbjugop

DeSantis has run a weak campaign and let Gillum run circles around him. The only ads that went after Gillum for being a radical and corrupt were done by a Repub. PAC not DeSantis. DeSantis has contsantly run milk toast ads about him being a vet, a Harvard grad. and family man, which is all swell for Parents Day at the elementary school but not in politics. He’s running like someone afraid of being called a racist, when Gillum has handed him so much material he could use to destroy Gillum.

Gillum should be nowhere near DeSantis, but here we are. Hoping for Repub. surge tomorrow and that those not voting for DeSantis split their votes among the 4 no party affiliated candidates, instead of the commie.


34 posted on 11/05/2018 11:22:40 AM PST by CharlesMartelsGhost
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I'm freaking out!!!!!!!!!!!



35 posted on 11/05/2018 11:25:27 AM PST by KavMan
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To: TakebackGOP

Scott is term limited.


36 posted on 11/05/2018 11:26:57 AM PST by tellw (ed)
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To: CharlesMartelsGhost

So we totally lost our lead yesterday as I feared because of the souls to the polls thing no doubt. Damn things were really looking up but now l sense more then a little gloom.


37 posted on 11/05/2018 11:29:39 AM PST by gibsonguy
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To: KavMan

I don’t understand LS tweet so is Scott going to win OR Gillian I am confused!!


38 posted on 11/05/2018 11:30:34 AM PST by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: SleeperCatcher

He is still at 85% odds the Dems win. When he says there’s been no movement toward the Dems, he means no additional movement in the last few days.

This keeps getting run as him changing his “call” but he didn’t.


39 posted on 11/05/2018 11:30:58 AM PST by babble-on
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To: Sarah Barracuda

I see no need to worry.

It’s a GOP Landslide!

Trust me, we will be laughing at the crying Democrats.


40 posted on 11/05/2018 11:31:56 AM PST by Blue House Sue
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