When I said that overseeing the Mueller investigation and issues of Russian Collusion, I meant that the president will lose is power if he loses the House, loses the Senate, or loses a second term. If he loses the Senate, you can kiss all judicial appointments goodbye.
So reforming immigration is in fact a really important thing, but if Trump loses his power or loses the 2020 election, then he will be limited in what he can accomplish.
The president’s means of power in Washington come first, or he won’t be able to weild it long enough to build the wall, get infrastruction going, or get more potential SCOTUS appointments.
That is a response based on a certain logic, thanks for that.
I respectfully disagree, though, that The Don, as things stand today, is likely to lose any of those things.
We have our biggest margin in the House. And, anecdotally at least, many people I know including life long moderate Dems, are loving several things Trump has done to include signing the House-driven tax bill - though I personally had hoped for much better.
In the Senate we have a smaller margin, but the '18 situation strongly favors Republican gains. Simply because an unusually high percentage of the seats up for election this cycle are Dem seats. Several of those in Trump country. To this point those particular candidates have not faced the extremely rough and effective Trump campaign style. But it will be coming straight at them this year. If nothing else, it will be interesting to see how some of them react. I'm not wise enough or bold enough to predict the vastly empowering magic 60 in the Senate, but I do think it will be a net gain.
Regarding Trump's own fate in 2020, at this point I would bet both mine and the neighbor's much bigger farm on him winning bigly. People increasingly like the tax bill, their growing 401Ks, the much needed shift to America-first thinking. He's finally accomplished what the pathetic establishment crowd never could, actually worked against: turn the R's into the party of the working class. If this NK thing works out at all well, then I believe he'll be unstoppable.
On the more subjective guess angle, I still think the whole Trump / Sessions friction is actually just more Trump strategic fiction. He loves Jeff. How could he not? Besides the great political cover he provides by being his uncommonly honest self, DOJeff is Trump's absolute best campaign promise keeper. And people love positive action much more than perceived political protection. I think Trump is being Trump and Sessions is being Session. Jeff is winning, as usual, on legal and policy fronts. And Trump is attempting to take credit for it by pressuring Sessions publicly. Don't get me wrong, Trump does get valid credit either way because he was wise enough to pick Sessions, a guy who historically could NOT care less about public abuse as long as he wins for Truth and Justice behind the scenes.
Also, I don't want to be personally critical or anything in this regard, but I have always hated the establish thinking which says we have to be defensive this cycle so that we hold numbers for next cycle. That crowd has campaigned and fund-raised of that fear-based strategy for too dang many cycles now. Trump beat their asses by using a more Patton-like forward-leaning offense.
Anyway, I strongly believe at this point that you and I will both be drinking Champagne littered with confetti in both '18 and 2020.