Posted on 04/17/2017 3:35:02 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
The future of U.S. homebuilding depends on more people like Cyndicy Yarborough, a 26-year-old former Wal-Mart clerk with no background in construction.
At Blueprint Robotics in Baltimore, she works in a factory that builds houses like cars, on an assembly line, using robots that fire thousands of nails into studs each day and never miss. Yarborough operates a machine that lifts floors and walls and packs them onto a flatbed truck, the final step before delivery to a development site where theyll be pieced together.
I like being a part of something new, on the cutting edge, said Yarborough, a single mother who took the job at Blueprint last May.
For all the concern over automation removing jobs from the workforce, companies like Blueprint are actually helping to ease a labor shortage that has crimped construction of residences and commercial properties across the country. The plants enable developers to fill the gap by having houses and apartment buildings manufactured off-site, for less money and in a fraction of the time. Even Marriott International Inc., the worlds biggest hotel operator, is increasingly turning to modular construction for some of its properties.
Giant Legos
To meet growing demand, high-tech plants are opening, and older factories that were shuttered after the last decades real estate crashmany in areas such as rural Pennsylvania, where labor costs are cheapare being revived. Builders hire the factories to manufacture homes in sections, which are transported on trucks, then laid down on foundations by cranes, like giant Legos. Sometimes the modules are fully framed rooms, complete with tile showers and gourmet kitchens.
This has to be the wave of the futureI dont know how we solve the labor shortage otherwise, said John Burns, an Irvine, California-based homebuilding consultant. What drives modular construction is the ability to build the house more cost-effectively.
U.S. homebuilders say the labor crunch is their biggest challenge, and that its pushing costs up as much as 5.2 percent on average, according to National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo surveys last year. President Donald Trumps proposals to crack down on undocumented workers may further squeeze the industry, one heavily dependent on immigrant labor.
The idea of transporting homes in prefabricated sections has roots in the early 1900s, when homesteaders could buy kits from a Sears, Roebuck & Co. catalog for assembly on their newly acquired plots of land. In the 1980s and 1990s, it became increasingly popular to build lower-cost homes in factories, according to Gary Fleisher, who runs a blog for the industry called Modularhomecoach.com.
Mansions, Dorms
Todays plants are capable of producing bigger buildings with more elaborate designs. The Blueprint factory in Baltimore is one of the first in the U.S. to use robots, Fleisher said. Taller multifamily buildings, dorms and hotels are increasingly being manufactured indoors. And so are mansions that sell for millions.
Some builders wont even advertise they work with modular companies like us, said Myles Biggs, general manager of Ritz-Craft Corp.s Pennsylvania construction facility. You could be driving past a modular home and not even know it, because it looks just like one next door.
Ritz-Craft can deliver a single-family house in six to eight weeks, on average. Having an indoor facility means weather delays are rarely a factor. Each worker is given a narrow concentration, like tiling floors or sanding drywall, which increases production speed. People without any background in construction can become skilled laborers in two weeks, according to Biggs.
Marriotts Plans
The idea is catching on with Marriottt, which aims to have agreements with North American developers this year to produce about 50 of its Select branded hotels in factories, said Karim Khalifa, senior vice president of global design strategies. In December, Marriott opened a Fairfield Inn in Folsom, California, with 97 roomsall built at a Guerdon Enterprises LLC plant in Boise, Idaho.
Last month, a collection of Marriott hotel rooms was getting wood-framed walls and ceilings at a Champion Homes factory in Liverpool, Pennsylvania. Even the beds and televisions will be in place before the boxes are shipped through stretches of highway and stacked in Chapel Hill, North Carolina, next month.
What we like is how well modular is built, Khalifa said. These things have all been designed to be transported. They have the integrity of a shipping container.
Apartment developers, too, are increasingly going with modular construction, especially in fast-growing cities such as Denver and Nashville, Tennessee, said Rich Rozycki, head of Champion Homes commercial division, which has seen its pipeline grow 50 percent since 2014. The company also has had discussions with national homebuilders looking for a solution to their labor problems, he said.
Cheaper Labor
Labor costs are more favorable for factory construction, according to David Reed, vice president of Champions modular division. Workers make about $15 to $20 an hour in rural Pennsylvania. That compares with $50 to $100 an hour in the markets the manufacturers serve, like New Yorks Hudson Valley, and the Washington, D.C., area, Reed said.
Builder Kris Megna works with Champion to create houses as large as 10,000 square feet (930 square meters) in the pricey suburbs of Boston. Megna, 31, who founded Dreamline Modular Homes in 2010, said almost any custom design is possible, even though the modules cant be much bigger than 60 feet by 16 feet (18 meters by 5 meters). Walls between sections can be knocked down for open-concept kitchens, and cutouts can create vaulted ceilings, he said.
The house is 60 percent complete when it arrives, and that means 60 percent of the headaches of building are gone, Megna said.
Industry Stigma
For less-expensive homes with smaller margins for developers, transportation costs can eat up the savings of going modular. Federal restrictions also limit the size of each box, or section of home being moved, which can mean more on-site construction. Theres also the stigma, modular manufacturers say, that connects them to the industrys oldest relative.
Often when we exhibit a model home at trade shows, I will hear comments like This is nice for a trailer, said Biggs of Ritz-Craft. Our homes are far from it, and in many ways higher-quality than those built on site.
There doesnt seem to be any stigma for customers of Connecticut Valley Homes, a builder that assembles factory-made components on lots in New England, including near the stately mansions of Greenwich. The East Lyme-based firm is booming at moment, with deposits for 42 houses, up about 50 percent from the same time last year, said Dave Cooper, senior building consultant. The company built only eight homes in 2011, when the housing market was hitting bottom.
Coming out of the recession, the labor pool is just lacking, Cooper said. Kids are not going to construction trade school any moretheyre all playing on their computers.
Blueprints Robots
That isnt necessarily a problem for Jerry Smalley, chief executive officer of Blueprint, the Baltimore factory. Hes even taking well-trained electricians and plumbers with decades of experience and putting them in front of computer screens. The companys German-made robots are more precise than humans could ever be, using techniques that Western Europeans have employed for years, according to Smalley.
Robots cut the hole, he said. But somebody still has to put the electrical box and pipes in the right places.
Instead of displacing workersa usual side effect of automationBlueprints machines are creating opportunities for people like Yarborough, who wouldnt otherwise be a part of the homebuilding industry. On the factory floors, 29 production workers are operating machines that cut, sand, drill and insulate. A milling center with several different options for blades, caged in safety glass, gets to work after an employeeno hard hat neededuploads a file that tells it exactly what to do.
Yarborough said shes not interested in learning more about traditional construction. Before joining Blueprint, she took a free, six-month course on computer numerical control machines, available only to unemployed or low-income adults.
Im more interested in the engineering side, she said, adding that shed like to be a part of the team that generates the design maps used by robots on the factory floor. I want to end up upstairs.
Why on earth do parents name their kids stupid names like “Cyndicy?” Don’t they know that such names often go straight to the bottom of the resume stack.
You just gave me an idea... I’m going to have to put a little Sombrero on my Rumba house cleaning robot
I can’t even get a plumber or refinisher to come thru my front door.
Well, sometimes.
Maybe you converted her, IJS.
I recently called a plumber and he was there in 3 hours with pressure switch in hand and I live in the sticks.
--------- and do not know when firing a nail gun into a knot.
They don’t care, and don’t cry ouch.
I’m with you on that. There is no “labor shortage”. There is only a shortage of labor at the prices that they want to pay.
I did try.
But I will leave final chapter to the Lord.
If there’s ever a labor shortage, just cut out welfare. Plenty of people, there. Of course, the rules and laws on corporal punishment on the job site might need to be loosened up a bit for awhile.
There will come a time when mechanization will destroy mankind. We are not far off from it. People will have no source of income to purchase food, pay for housing, utilities or medical care, let alone a car, house or children. What will 10 Billion people do in the year 2030? Surf porn, play video games and vote for those who force farmers to feed us?
I glanced at some report on the use of robots - it talked I think about somehow setting aside money from the robot’s increased productivity and distributing it to the displaced workers.
I could maybe see how that might be manageable on a company by company basis when existing workers are let go (never mind the ethics of a company paying now unneccesary workers). Not sure how one would go about compensating workers that might have been hired but never were.
But - fast forward 500 years. IF most everything is manufactured and serviced by robots - I think there will have to be some sort of system to provide for the people that don’t have jobs, and don’t have to work.
10,000 years ago everyone had to work. 3,000 years ago civilization allowed some people to become artists and craftsmen - a luxury provided by improvements.
So perhaps there is a way for people to naturally adapt. But I’m guessing it will be more of a forced government system that will be used, and screw things up.
And in 600 hundred years when the robots figure out that they are supporting all the free-loading humans....
“And in 600 hundred years when the robots figure out that they are supporting all the free-loading humans....”
Heh - seeing as they were programed by humans - they probably will just dutifully do what they are told to avoid the consequences.
I just realized that as I turn back to finishing up my taxes to support all the free-loading humans. (Especially democrat congressmen!).
The USA does not have a labor shortage we have a welfare recipient surplus. Of course it they would scream to the heavens but we could take thousand of idle inter city thugs and ship them to areas where there is work. Teach how to nail shingles and pour concrete. It would be a win win for the USA
Except AI is on the horizon, and the scientists never watched the Sci-Fi movies of the recent past about how the machines figure out they only need a few humans for maintenance.
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