“You ask a good question, since this article relies on a poll from mid-July. There are, in fact, New York polls from Aug. 11 and Aug. 15, and they are better for Hillary than the Q poll cited . ....” Yes that IS true but neither new poll shows her getting near the support Obama got in both election averaging about 26 point wins. Qpoll showing Trump +12 in upstate needs to be moved to 18 and his =1 in suburbs needs to be pushed to +10 and she needs to be held to 65 in New York City. All are doable.
True, but the August 15th poll also asked this question and got some rather interesting results:
America is Great Now, 49% vs. Its Time to Make It Great Again, 44%;
Hillary’s support is soft.
I’d like to see more recent numbers with her national collapse.
If I had to make a bet now, NY should be in play.