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Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight currently has Trump at 57.5% to win Presidency
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now ^ | 2 hours ago

Posted on 07/25/2016 7:17:49 AM PDT by profit_guy

And I assume this is before the full effect of the DNC email hack..........


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: 2016dncconvention; 2016polls; trumpbump
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To: Arm_Bears

He missed Brexit and has been on a losing streak. Seen interviews with the guy, a Gen-Xer as*hat replete with the skinny jeans and tie. He’s one of these kids Rush talked about Friday, brought up with Captain Planet, We are the World and other liberal clap-trap. These people are hopeless we just need to outvote them and debate them vociferously in the arena of ideas. Ignore him his a pom pom boy for the Democrats


21 posted on 07/25/2016 7:46:57 AM PDT by pburgh01
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To: profit_guy

This is the official ‘signal’ to activate the unions, thugs, and malcontents for KAINE & UNABLE effort. It usually comes in September/October, but the BERNIE coup is speeding things up a bit.


22 posted on 07/25/2016 7:49:41 AM PDT by stars & stripes forever (WILL)
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To: profit_guy

No, I don’t think it’s even started. This Wiki leak was just the final nail in the “Crooked Hillary” coffin, showing everyone what Trump meant.

Much more to come.


23 posted on 07/25/2016 7:55:59 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: pburgh01

“Nate Silver” is a brand that we are reflexively supposed to respect because he’s regularly thrown in our face. We are to assume he is impartial and accurate since he is a “trusted brand”.

Baloney, as you suggested.


24 posted on 07/25/2016 7:56:57 AM PDT by avenir (I'm pessimistic about man, but I'm optimistic about GOD!)
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To: Arm_Bears

No, Nate Silver is an imbecile period.


25 posted on 07/25/2016 7:58:15 AM PDT by orchestra ((And there were also two other, malefactors, led with him to be put to death.))
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To: profit_guy; newfreep
I'm sticking by my prediction made last week:

electoralmap2016

The gray states could go either way but not enough to help Clinton.

26 posted on 07/25/2016 7:59:25 AM PDT by Jed Eckert (Trump/Pence ***Make America Great Again***)
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To: profit_guy

I don’t care what any pollster or Nate silver thinks, says or polls! We were burned the last time with Mitt leading some of summer polling higher than Ovomit! All I can say is vote!!....go out vote and bring as many people as you can to the voting booth! If we lose this election our country is so freakin cooked!!


27 posted on 07/25/2016 7:59:39 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: RoseofTexas

Remember Mitt self destructed because he did not fight. That is not the issue with Trump he will subject the Democrats to the death by 100,000 cuts and then he will impale them.


28 posted on 07/25/2016 8:05:08 AM PDT by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: profit_guy

Nate Silver: ‘Calm down,’ Donald Trump won’t win the GOP nomination!”


29 posted on 07/25/2016 8:09:45 AM PDT by CodeToad (Islam should be banned and treated as a criminal enterprise!)
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To: Wyatt's Torch

didn’t nate predict Trump wouldn’t win primary?


30 posted on 07/25/2016 8:14:15 AM PDT by 4rcane
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To: Wyatt's Torch

“this is nuts”

Bingo. There is no way in hell that Hilary wins Virginia, Colorado and New Mexico.

Nate is a dumb demoract with a history of mixing wishful thinking with quantitative analysis.


31 posted on 07/25/2016 8:18:24 AM PDT by Helicondelta
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To: Jed Eckert

Just keep fighting to win!


32 posted on 07/25/2016 8:19:25 AM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: 4rcane

No in fact he wrote a very long piece on how his methodology missed the Trump win.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/


33 posted on 07/25/2016 8:19:27 AM PDT by Wyatt's Torch
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To: Eurotwit

No I understand. I’m just surprised he updated his models with the post convention bump polls. Nothing will settle until probably mid-August. Until then it’s just noise.


34 posted on 07/25/2016 8:20:48 AM PDT by Wyatt's Torch
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To: profit_guy
Nate, it is far, far higher than that.

The Democrats will be setting themselves on fire in the streets as this catastrophe that is Hillary unfolds.

The Green Party will have a decent showing this year, at least.

Oh, and more people will vote Republican than ever before.

35 posted on 07/25/2016 8:21:36 AM PDT by ConservativeMind ("Humane" = "Don't pen up pets or eat meat, but allow infanticide, abortion, and euthanasia.")
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To: Wyatt's Torch

“wrote a very long piece on how his methodology missed the Trump win”

LOL. It’s all BS. He admitted that his prediction that Trump wouldn’t win was based on the assumption that the republican establishment would rig the primary against him. He was just thinking like a democrat.


36 posted on 07/25/2016 8:27:57 AM PDT by Helicondelta
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To: 4rcane

Yes he though Trump would lose spectacularly. Maybe little lib Natie learned a new lessen from the Repub primaries.


37 posted on 07/25/2016 8:29:17 AM PDT by Red Steel
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To: newfreep

Nice...


38 posted on 07/25/2016 8:54:24 AM PDT by GOPJ ("Diversity" was never THE goal. Diversity was a byproduct of people coming 'yearning to be free'.)
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To: mware
If Trump wins Pennsylvania it is going to be an early night.

It will take a massive turnout for Trump outside Philly and Pittsburg to overcome the huge black fraud vote
39 posted on 07/25/2016 8:54:40 AM PDT by uncbob
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To: profit_guy

Hillary is winning by +7%, I tell Democrats.

Trump is behind by -3%, I tell Republicans.


40 posted on 07/25/2016 9:31:39 AM PDT by TheNext (Hillary Hurts Children & Women)
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