didn’t nate predict Trump wouldn’t win primary?
No in fact he wrote a very long piece on how his methodology missed the Trump win.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/
Yes he though Trump would lose spectacularly. Maybe little lib Natie learned a new lessen from the Repub primaries.