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To: Reaganite Republican

Al the propaganda in the world can’t overcome the mathematics of the situation

Delegates
1237 needed for nomination
943 still available

Trump
736 won
501 needed (53% of remaining delegates)

Cruz
463 won
774 needed (82% of remaining delegates)


32 posted on 03/31/2016 4:22:00 AM PDT by Flick Lives (One should not attend even the end of the world without a good breakfast. -- Heinlein)
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To: Flick Lives

The numbers don’t lie. They are what they are.

Does Cruz have a mathematical chance? Absolutely.

What’s the likelihood of Cruz getting 774 out of the 943 still available? Perhaps not so good. For me, I’m having a hard time thinking Cruz will get the lion’s share of delegates in CA, NJ and NY - I think Trump gets those.

Now could it be possible that Cruz can close the delegate gap with Trump such that both of them are almost even but less than 1,237? Yes. That’s the GOPe plan, imo.

Then the GOPe stuffs in some kind of a Walker/Ryan/Jeb!/Perry/Haley/Martinez combo and tells the Cruz and Trump supporters to take what we give you or you get a Democrat.


58 posted on 03/31/2016 5:04:52 AM PDT by HombreSecreto (The life of a repo man is always intense)
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