You’re welcome. I’ll be honest. Having read your posts for a while now, I have to say you analyse polls and data far better than I ever will. I’ll just have to hope you can get to the bottom of that excellent question. It would be fascinating to see it unpacked.
Well, thanks. Are you a writer? I have a friend, Mike, in Texas, who has just sold a fantasy series for a decent price. I have another friend, Bill, who had a #1 bestseller thriller (not fantasy, but apocalyptic kind of stuff).
The key in analyzing all this stuff-—that I think the GOPe blogger types actually know, but don’t want to admit-—is that Trump’s “negatives” are NOT the same kinds of “negatives” that attach to Hillary, for example. He’s primarily NOT viewed as a political figure but as a celebrity, so like other celebrities (J. R. Ewing/Larry Hagman; Richard Petty; the Undertaker; Charlie Sheen) he can have high “unfavorables” that pertain to his “persona” or character and have nothing to do with whether people vote for him or buy the action toy (Undertaker) or go to his races (Petty) or watch the shows (Hagman, Sneen).
Sorting that out is one of the keys to this election. Now, I could be wrong. We’ll see. But so far the votes (yes, they are primaries, but still . . ..) do NOT support this view.