And yet most polls still have Trump with a double digit lead, winning most remaining states.
We all cherry pick and promote the polls favorable to our candidate (Cruz and Trump supporters). Today, polls are used more to shape opinion than to measure voter sentiment.
From RealClearPolitics:
| Poll | Date | Sample |
Trump
|
Cruz
|
Kasich
|
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 3/16 - 3/22 | -- | 43.0 | 30.3 | 19.1 | Trump +12.7 |
| FOX NewsFOX News | 3/20 - 3/22 | 388 LV | 41 | 38 | 17 | Trump +3 |
| BloombergBloomberg | 3/19 - 3/22 | 366 LV | 40 | 31 | 25 | Trump +9 |
| QuinnipiacQuinnipiac | 3/16 - 3/21 | 652 RV | 43 | 29 | 16 | Trump +14 |
| MonmouthMonmouth | 3/17 - 3/20 | 353 RV | 41 | 29 | 18 | Trump +12 |
| CBS News/NY TimesCBS/NYT | 3/17 - 3/20 | 362 LV | 46 | 26 | 20 | Trump +20 |
| CNN/ORCCNN/ORC | 3/17 - 3/20 | 397 RV | 47 | 31 | 17 | Trump +16 |
| Rasmussen ReportsRasmussen | 3/16 - 3/17 | 719 LV | 43 | 28 | 21 | Trump +15 |