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New Michigan Poll: Ted Cruz Ceiling 19%, Marco Rubio Ceiling 18%, Donald Trump Winning
The Conservative Treehouse ^ | 3-3-2016 | sundance

Posted on 03/03/2016 1:15:29 PM PST by smoothsailing

It’s time to start flipping the opposition narratives onto their own candidates.

81% of Michigan republican voters do not support Ted Cruz; and 82% of Michigan republican voters do not support Marco Rubio. Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio have almost identical “ceilings” at 19% and 18% respectively. (link)

See how that works? It’s all in the presentation:

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton greets a supporter following her address at the 18th Annual David N. Dinkins Leadership and Public Policy Forum at Columbia University in New York

MICHIGAN – […] If the Michigan GOP Presidential primary were held today, Trump would win with 29% of the vote compared to Cruz with 19% and Rubio right on his heals with 18%. Ohio Governor John Kasich and neurosurgeon Ben Carson are currently polling at 8% each. Eighteen percent are still undecided.

Bernie Porn, president of the Lansing polling firm that surveyed 400 likely Republican voters said, “Trump is well positioned to win Michigan on Tuesday, March 8, but Rubio is likely to overtake Cruz in Michigan. Nevertheless, as it now stands, Trump is the odds on favorite to win the GOP nomination in Cleveland.”

michigan poll 3-3-16

What’s fascinating about this year’s high interest presidential contest is that the candidate Michiganders like the most is at the bottom of the polls. Detroit native Ben Carson has a 72% favorability rating, followed by Rubio at 64%, Cruz – 57%, Kasich – 54% and Trump at 48%.

But Trump’s strength with the voters rests in what Bernie Porn says is “his attitude and image as a fighter which is stronger than where he stands on the issues.”

When the voters were asked about Trump’s statement that he would ban all Muslims from entering the U.S. until America got a better handle on combating terrorism, 61% of Republican voters agreed, 32% disagreed. (read more)

trump rally michigan 2

trump rally michigan

Trump Rally Michigan



TOPICS: Politics
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To: smoothsailing
And the race is on.............

Michigan Polling Data

Poll Date Sample MoE
Trump
Rubio
Cruz
Kasich
Carson
Spread
RCP Average 2/22 - 3/1 -- -- 33.7 18.3 17.0 10.0 8.3 Trump +15.4
FOX 2 Detroit/MitchellFOX 2 3/1 - 3/1 679 LV 3.8 39 19 14 12 9 Trump +20
EPIC-MRAEPIC-MRA 2/27 - 2/29 400 LV 4.9 29 18 19 8 7 Trump +10
MRGMRG 2/22 - 2/27 217 LV -- 33 18 18 10 9 Trump +15
FOX 2 Detroit/MitchellFOX 2 2/23 - 2/23 459 LV 4.6 41 19 16 11 7 Trump +22
Target InsyghtTarget Insyght 2/22 - 2/24 400 LV 5.0 41 17 14 12 8 Trump +24
ARGARG 2/19 - 2/20 400 LV 5.0 35 12 12 17 9 Trump +18
Detroit News/WDIV-TVDetroit News 2/14 - 2/16 600 LV 4.0 25 12 15 11 9 Trump +10
FOX 2 Detroit/MitchellFOX 2 2/15 - 2/15 394 LV 4.9 41 10 11 11 7

21 posted on 03/03/2016 1:48:28 PM PST by deport
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To: deport

59 delegates with 15% threshold. Looks like Trump will get 30 of them as things stand now, Cruz 15 and Rubio 14


22 posted on 03/03/2016 1:59:02 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: manc

A REVOLUTION IS NOT NEGOTIABLE.

Only GOD is in charge of America’s future.

TRUMP is His door kicker.

I love ya, manc! We are going to need more political muskets on board the TRUMP train to hope to blow up the Establishment.


23 posted on 03/03/2016 2:00:04 PM PST by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: manc

Good to hear.

I think what Romney did was sleazy and cheap.

I had little respect for Romney before today, now I have none.


24 posted on 03/03/2016 2:09:50 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: RitaOK

damn right I am now on board, so is my family and my oldest boy can vote for the first time will be doing what I am


25 posted on 03/03/2016 2:16:44 PM PST by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: smoothsailing

what they did today was the most disgusting thing I have ever seen.
Tonight the crowd will be all establishment and he will be attacked like we have never seen.
Then there is Kelly, PPFFTT


26 posted on 03/03/2016 2:17:45 PM PST by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: smoothsailing

Except that Trump has consistently underperformed his polling numbers, hasn’t he?

If we are being honest... which on these threads, Trumpettes never are.


27 posted on 03/03/2016 2:33:21 PM PST by bolobaby
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To: bolobaby
Except that Trump has consistently underperformed his polling numbers, hasn’t he?

A win is a win. He's won 10 out of 15 primaries. How's that for honesty? How many primaries has your candidate won? Would you say he's under-performing or just getting his hat handed to him?

28 posted on 03/03/2016 2:55:19 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: bolobaby
Except that Trump has consistently underperformed his polling numbers, hasn’t he?

No he hasn't. He's over-performed (actual vote % vs. RCP average) in 11 of the 15 contests. No other candidate comes close.

29 posted on 03/03/2016 3:11:03 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

[full disclosure - Cruz supporter]

I am of the opinion that Sen Cruz is the standard bearer for the conservative wing of the party and that wing has been growing. Rubio represents the GOPe wing of North Eastern Republicans and that wing has been shrinking. Both are about 20% of the party and as such, neither can win without the other.

Trump represents the disgruntled party members and as such is drawing about 40 to 50 percent. He can win the party nomination on his own, but still needs conservatives and the GOPe to insure a general election win.


30 posted on 03/03/2016 3:25:20 PM PST by taxcontrol ( The GOPe treats the conservative base like slaves by taking their votes and refuses to pay)
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To: manc

WHOO HOO!!! The Rebellion is on!


31 posted on 03/03/2016 3:39:33 PM PST by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: RitaOK

LOL


32 posted on 03/03/2016 3:41:14 PM PST by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: MomwithHope

Then vote for Hillary...you’re free to do so.


33 posted on 03/03/2016 4:06:17 PM PST by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man a subject)
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To: taxcontrol

Yours is a fair assessment, IMO. Thanks for sharing.

I think after March 15th we’ve got a two man race between Trump and Cruz. That’s when it really gets interesting because every state at that point is winner take all.


34 posted on 03/03/2016 4:25:32 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: manc

HOORAY manc


35 posted on 03/03/2016 5:32:26 PM PST by PGalt
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To: smoothsailing

I’m from Houston and have defended him in the past from Dreamers protesting in front of his Senate Office. He just started receiving help from Charles Foster an immigration attorney on his financial team from the Jeb campaign. Foster is well known in Houston as a hard core open borders peddler.


36 posted on 03/04/2016 7:58:45 AM PST by magna carta
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To: magna carta
Foster is well known in Houston as a hard core open borders peddler

and now he's working for Cruz! Strange bedfellows or just a couple of shysters?

37 posted on 03/04/2016 8:26:43 AM PST by smoothsailing
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To: smoothsailing

everyone here knows about Foster. He has blocked enforcement in TX a long, long time. It’s on Cruz’s website as the announcement for his new financial team.


38 posted on 03/04/2016 9:52:13 AM PST by magna carta
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To: magna carta

It sounds like Cruz is thumbing his nose at the pro-enforcement patriots. How does he expect to win doing that?


39 posted on 03/04/2016 10:26:13 AM PST by smoothsailing
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