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Cruzing to Victory?
Theresurgent ^ | February 17, 2016, 09:12pm | By Erick Erickson

Posted on 02/18/2016 2:32:59 AM PST by SmokingJoe

The significance of this NBC/Wall Street Journal poll is two fold.

First, it is the first poll to be conducted completely after the news of Antonin Scalia’s passing and Trump’s meltdown at the South Carolina CBS News debate.

Second, it is from a highly respected pollster focused on likely voters and who has a good track record of success.

The poll shows Ted Cruz in the lead now. It could be an anomaly. But internal polling of several campaigns all show the South Carolina race far tighter than the public polling.

This latest poll, however, does not account for Nikki Haley’s endorsement of Rubio and the several good days of good press.

We’ll find out on Saturday.


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: blamecanada; canada; chumps4trump; cruz; cruzedandbattered; cuba; dcinsidertedcruz; dumbasses4trump; dweebcubancruz; ezsleazytedcruz; fakeazzcruz; heidithecfrho; keepsmokingdatchit; littleteddycruz; losingwithacruzing; primaries; putinistas4trump; tedcruz; usefulidiots4trump
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To: SkyPilot
Yep, the polls are all nuts this cycle anyhow. The only way we'll know is after the vote, ASSUMING that there are no progressives guarding the ROV computers and ballots (yeah, we know how the hanging chads go, i.e. progressive every time).

It's amazing these highly paid pollsters are about 90% wrong most of the time. Wish I could get that kind of work. No pressure to deliver at all.

I don't know if Cruz has caught or overtaken Trump - I think Trump's flip to "CODEPINK" talking points on 9/11 and the Iraq war will damage him, but Trump isn't 20+ points ahead.

I think it'll be close. I also think that over 60% of the vote will go to outsiders, Cruz, Trump, and Carson. The GOP-e is done; put a fork in 'em. The RINO's have always been saying that there's no conservative majority in the GOP, even as they stiff us as soon as they're elected. So, seeing the GOP-e candidates down to under 30% of the total vote kind of tells the true story, no? RINO's have been a minority for 50 years, but calling all the shots for the party since Reagan (and they tried to, even then).

21 posted on 02/18/2016 3:51:17 AM PST by OldSaltUSN
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To: SmokingJoe

22 posted on 02/18/2016 4:44:58 AM PST by SubMareener (Save us from Quarterly Freepathons! Become a MONTHLY DONOR!)
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To: SmokingJoe

If E-squared would put his money where his mouth is, there are bookies who are giving 13-to-one on Cruz. He could/should retire many times over if he would lay some loot one the line.
However, the odds are against it...


23 posted on 02/18/2016 4:46:59 AM PST by Migraine (Diversity is great -- until it happens to YOU.)
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To: odawg

Rush is a Cruz guy. I am amazed he has been as “fair” to DT as he has.


24 posted on 02/18/2016 4:48:56 AM PST by libbylu (Cruz: The truth with a smile.)
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To: Mechanicos

Conservative tree house is neither conservative nor a tree house. They are a paid Donald Trump propaganda, dirty tricks and disinformation outfit. Pretty worthless as far as honest discourse is concerned really.


25 posted on 02/18/2016 4:55:15 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: elhombrelibre

Yup. Trump is an unhinged psychopath. What sets of his insanity is bad polls. Chuckle!


26 posted on 02/18/2016 4:56:57 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: mac_truck

No one with a modicum of intelligence would support Donald Trump.


27 posted on 02/18/2016 4:58:16 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: odawg

Erick Erickson did not conduct the poll.


28 posted on 02/18/2016 5:00:13 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe
No one with a modicum of intelligence would support Donald Trump.

I likes Trump more better than all da uthers canadates and i am not dum.

29 posted on 02/18/2016 5:02:33 AM PST by central_va
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To: SmokingJoe

30 posted on 02/18/2016 5:03:08 AM PST by jpsb (Never believe anything in politics until it has been officially denied. Otto von Bismark)
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To: SubMareener
Chuckle!
Where is the PPP poll which had Trump winning by only 4%?

www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_republican_presidential_nomination-3823.html#polls

The real LOL is the Morning Consult poll. They have consistently been way out of whack win h RCP averages and real election results.

31 posted on 02/18/2016 5:12:04 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: central_va

I saw what you did there.


32 posted on 02/18/2016 5:13:13 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe

“Erick Erickson did not conduct the poll.”

But neglected to mention that the poll is a fraud.

It is a WSJ poll that always shaves off Trump support. Only an average of 8 people per state was polled. You fine with that?


33 posted on 02/18/2016 5:13:52 AM PST by odawg
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To: SmokingJoe

Lol...all this crooked poll proves are the close ties Cruz has to the Wall St. lobby.


34 posted on 02/18/2016 5:13:55 AM PST by mac_truck (aide toi et dieu t'aidera)
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To: jpsb
Take a load of this Mr Deranged Trumpbot:


35 posted on 02/18/2016 5:20:41 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: odawg
But neglected to mention that the poll is a fraud

The poll is perfectly fine.
The only thing which is a fraud is Donald Trump and his crazy followers who call every single poll that goes against Trump a fraud.

It is a WSJ poll that always shaves off Trump support.

Didn't see you whine when the previous WSJ/NBC polls had Trump winning by huge margins.

36 posted on 02/18/2016 5:25:02 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe

“No one with a modicum of intelligence would support Donald Trump.”

It’s libspeak to assume those that disagree with your assertions are stupid.


37 posted on 02/18/2016 5:26:53 AM PST by major-pelham
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To: SmokingJoe
Another Erick Erickson product? Red State? lol.

Cruz bots in action

38 posted on 02/18/2016 5:28:02 AM PST by jpsb (Never believe anything in politics until it has been officially denied. Otto von Bismark)
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To: SmokingJoe

yet, you cited NBCWJ. pot meet kettle


39 posted on 02/18/2016 5:30:27 AM PST by Mechanicos
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To: SmokingJoe

“The only thing which is a fraud is Donald Trump and his crazy followers who call every single poll that goes against Trump a fraud.”

Well then, that can’t be very often, because most polls do not go against Trump. I’m referring to the ones in the primaries. Now, the national polls showing Trump being beaten by Hillary are a laugh.


40 posted on 02/18/2016 5:31:27 AM PST by odawg
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