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Breaking: First South Carolina Poll after NH (Trump 36 Cruz 19 Rubio 15 Bush 11)
OpinionSavvy ^

Posted on 02/12/2016 7:50:52 AM PST by springwater13

Coming hot off his win in New Hampshire -and with a significant amount of his time devoted to South Carolina- it’s little surprise that Trump is 16-17 points ahead. It appears that the only demographics that Trump isn’t currently winning are 18-29 year-old voters and self-described “very liberal” voters, who prefer Rubio and Kasich, respectively. Evangelists prefer Trump to Cruz by a margin of 10 points – a significant change from Iowa, where Cruz led with evangelical voters by four points.

When respondents were asked of their second choice for the nomination, Rubio and Cruz command the first and second spots (within 2 points), with others trailing closely.

The poll was conducted for the Augusta Chronicle, Morris News Service, and Fox 5 Atlanta.

(Excerpt) Read more at opinionsavvy.com ...


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; polls; sc2016; scgopprimarypoll; trumpwinssc
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To: springwater13
"Evangelists prefer Trump to Cruz by a margin of 10 points"

Death knell for Cruz.

221 posted on 02/12/2016 12:45:48 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18 - Be The Leaderless Resistance)
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To: babble-on
"2/3 of them don’t like Trump but can’t decide on one champion to support"

There was a poll posted here last night that said Trump had a 67% favorability rating among Republicans, the highest in the field.

I don't have the energy to look for it, but it's here...probably breaking or frontpage.

222 posted on 02/12/2016 12:55:09 PM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18 - Be The Leaderless Resistance)
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To: Syncro; onyx

223 posted on 02/12/2016 1:03:23 PM PST by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: Raycpa

Evangelists prefer Trump to Cruz by a margin of 10 points
Wow! That is major hit to Cruz’s hopes.
______________________________________

Evangelists can smell a rat. Cruz will not win another sate.


224 posted on 02/12/2016 1:20:55 PM PST by calisurfer
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To: samtheman

Hope for a Trump blowout, be ready for a squeaker.
__________________________________

SC won’t be a squeaker. Trump will by 10 points.


225 posted on 02/12/2016 1:26:47 PM PST by calisurfer
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To: Amntn

A “push poll” is a poll that actually gets published that’s written with questions that skew the results. You’re talking about telemarketing. It’s a standard campaign practice.


226 posted on 02/12/2016 1:43:13 PM PST by JediJones (RUSH LIMBAUGH on TED CRUZ: "This is the closest in our lifetimes we have ever been to Ronald Reagan")
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To: JediJones; Amntn
A "push poll" is a poll that actually gets published that's written with questions that skew the results. You're talking about telemarketing. It's a standard campaign practice.

Oh, okay....


227 posted on 02/12/2016 1:48:39 PM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: JediJones; Jane Long

push poll
Word Origin
noun
1. a seemingly unbiased telephone survey that is actually conducted by supporters of a particular candidate and disseminates negative information about an opponent.

http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/push-poll

Too easy. Try again.


228 posted on 02/12/2016 2:05:29 PM PST by Amntn ("The only special interest not being served by our government is the American people" - Donald Trump)
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To: Proudcongal
Last night's rally was awesome.

I agree. He is improving with each one.

229 posted on 02/12/2016 2:10:06 PM PST by CASchack
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To: springwater13

Just saw a poll on newsmax for SC. Trump 44, Cruz in second with 17.


230 posted on 02/12/2016 2:23:58 PM PST by Carry me back (.Cut the feds by 90%)
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To: musicman; onyx

Pretty telling huh?

And prophetic...


231 posted on 02/12/2016 2:32:29 PM PST by Syncro (Benghazi-LIES/Coverup Treason ARREST the traitors! Hillary, Obama, Rice, Holder, Learner et al)
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To: Syncro

232 posted on 02/12/2016 2:34:24 PM PST by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: VanDeKoik

Bill read the wrong end of the Unicorn.


233 posted on 02/12/2016 2:48:31 PM PST by miserare ( "What difference does it make?"~~Benghazi Hil)
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To: Amntn

;-)


234 posted on 02/12/2016 2:48:40 PM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: Syncro

OMG....that is too much!!

Poor Jebbers, he just cannot catch a break.


235 posted on 02/12/2016 2:50:17 PM PST by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: Syncro

Hahahahahah.

Losers!


236 posted on 02/12/2016 2:52:42 PM PST by miserare ( "What difference does it make?"~~Benghazi Hil)
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To: springwater13

This poll is DEVASTATING to Cruz for one simple reason: it shows how thin is his support. He gets LESS THAN HALF Trump’s female support, and if you REMOVE Trump, Cruz is 2ND to RUBIO! That shows how quickly the Rube will overtake Ted once Bush and Kasich exit.


237 posted on 02/12/2016 3:10:38 PM PST by montag813
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To: Bruce Campbells Chin
>> The right of center half of the US electorate has a big problem here. 2/3 of them do not like Trump but cannot decide on one champion to support. 1/3 love Trump, and will be very very angry if he is not the nominee, to the point of splitting the party in twain.

> Unfortunately true. You've got a plurality of Trump supporters, but a lot of folks who won't vote for him if he's the nominee. Then you've got a lot of Trump supporters who won't vote for anyone but him, or, in some cases, Cruz.

The party is going to be split no matter what, and I don't think a split party has much of a prayer in the general election.

You know what's adorable but sad at the same time? The fact that anyone still believes that even a non-split (R) party, a minority of voters, has a chance in the general election by itself. BUT there is one thing sadder still, the fact that Rush and Levin actually believe that the (C) subset of the (R) minority can somehow win anything except for off-year House seats and other various down-ticket offices.

Rush and Levin, who cannot even be troubled to look at current electoral maps are both stuck using circa 1980-1984 data and all their comments are essentially mere wishful thinking. Mark constantly reminds us how he hates the term thinking outside the box, but that is the only way to get a win in the general election. And as Trump's rallies are showing, men and women, young and old, TEA Party refugees are thinking outside the box, flocking to a well positioned candidate, and driving them ( Mark and Cruzers ) crazy in the process. In short, these people really want to, and fully intend to win this one.

There is only one way to actually beat the (D)ummycrats in the general election, and that is to get crossover (D) voters, those that previously voted for Barry. There is no other way. The reason is mathematically simple. Crossover (D) votes are worth net two of our (R) votes. They simultaneously lower the (D) total and increase the (R). No amount of wishful thinking can alter the fact that crossover (D) voters are twice as valuable as me or you. In many of the twelve swing states, it will only require 2-4% crossover ( 4-8% net ) to change 52-48 or 54-46 into a win.

Cruz talking about rebuilding the Reagan coalition and getting blue dogs and Reagan Democrats is a load of bull. There are almost no blue dogs ( most have already switched, it is how the "red" states became red, duh! ). Cruz is offering no reason for the (D)'s to cross over, and would be decimated when the (D)ummies run ads of a Cruz and his father and Glenn Beck speaking about abortion and gay marriage. It was an idiotic strategy for him in the first place and the fact that it can not even attract a majority of (R) and (C) votes in the primary tells you what happens in the general when the doors are opened to (D) and (L). Dole actually got this right when he said it would be Armageddon.

To get a doctrinaire conservative into the White House requires one of two things at this point in time. Either by accident through succession, or by the candidate running with F-117 stealth capabilities, avoiding leaving any video evidence on the table for the (D)ummycrat machine to air 24/7 on the enemedia. Cruz failed to do this. It appears however that Trump, if he is conservative at all, has achieved this mission objective successfully since everyone is now calling him a liberal! All these things, such as his ridiculously meaningless donations to (D)ummies will become assets in the general. The media will have a difficult time scaring away (D) crossovers. That tiny bit of money given to (D)ummies will be a very useful investment indeed.

Important message to Rush and Levin and others: the easiest way to completely and utterly destroy Conservatism is to nominate a bible thumper firebreathing doctrinaire (C) and when he actually loses as bad or worse than McCain or Romney guess what happens? The GOPe (R)epublicrats will have their scapegoat, a mighty weapon to exile all of us into the wilderness worse than after Goldwater. And unlike that situation, there won't be a return for (C)onservatives decades later because the republic will have been finally destroyed. ( Wanna bet this has never even crossed the minds of Rush and Levin? ).

238 posted on 02/12/2016 3:17:34 PM PST by Democratic-Republican
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To: springwater13

I hope Jeb wrecks Rubio.


239 posted on 02/12/2016 3:21:03 PM PST by ObamahatesPACoal (And Trump could win it all My rightful place from birth Dad ive let you down Dub ive made you hurt)
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To: VanDeKoik

A bit off best describes kristol


240 posted on 02/12/2016 3:36:57 PM PST by HANG THE EXPENSE (Life's tough.It's tougher when you're stupid.)
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