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Soon Comes The Deluge [David Stockman's Corner - The Market]
David Stockman's ContraCorner ^ | 19 Jan 2015 | Cavide Stockman

Posted on 01/20/2016 9:01:18 AM PST by amorphous

The robo-machines are now having a grand old time hazing the August lows at 1870 on the S&P, and may succeed in ginning up another dead-cat bounce or two. But this market is going down for the count owing to a perfect storm.

To wit, the global and US economies are heading into an extended deflationary recession; S&P earnings peaked at $106 per share more than a year ago and are already at $90, heading much lower; and the central banks of the world are out of dry powder after a 20-year binge of balance sheet expansion.

The latter is surely the most important of the three. It means there will be no printing press driven reflation of the financial markets this time around. And without more monetary juice it’s just a matter of time before a whole generation of punters and front-runners abandon the casino and head for the hills.

(Excerpt) Read more at davidstockmanscontracorner.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government
KEYWORDS: economy; equities; markets; stockma
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As I post this, Gold is up $14 and Platinum is down -$13 and oil is below $30. Gold rising in the face of falling commodities is trying to tell us something. IMO.
1 posted on 01/20/2016 9:01:18 AM PST by amorphous
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To: amorphous

dow down over 400 points


2 posted on 01/20/2016 9:06:21 AM PST by mouse1
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To: amorphous

As I have predicted all year we are heading for a deflationary depression. Buckle up its going to be a bumpy ride.


3 posted on 01/20/2016 9:06:36 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: amorphous
The robo-machines are now having a grand old time hazing the August lows at 1870 on the S&P . . ."

1859 is the support line. Below that, a chasm.

4 posted on 01/20/2016 9:15:27 AM PST by Zuben Elgenubi (NOPe to GOPe)
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To: Georgia Girl 2
I believe you may be half right. ;-) I think the fabled "inflationary" depression will finally make its appearance. I think that's what rising gold prices are signaling.

I think demands on government will necessitate the printing of more and more money from "thin air". This will inflate the prices of many goods and services people can't do without, like toilet paper.

5 posted on 01/20/2016 9:17:04 AM PST by amorphous
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To: Zuben Elgenubi
Below that, a chasm.

We all better "rope up" - It's going to get much worse before it gets better, even if Cruz/Trump take office next year.

6 posted on 01/20/2016 9:20:48 AM PST by amorphous
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To: amorphous

‘You didn’t earn that’.

Only 365 days left for Obama Al-Hawaii to destroy America....don’t give up hope folks, he’s not JV.


7 posted on 01/20/2016 9:21:10 AM PST by If You Want It Fixed - Fix It
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To: If You Want It Fixed - Fix It

The abomination of desolation and his evil genius mentor sitting to his right.

8 posted on 01/20/2016 9:24:09 AM PST by amorphous
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To: mouse1; Georgia Girl 2

Gold is on a tear today - over $18 now.


9 posted on 01/20/2016 9:28:08 AM PST by amorphous
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To: Georgia Girl 2
I too have been saying that 2016 is going to be a bad year, financially.

But I believe that the end result will be a Republican tsunami. This is all Obama's doing. The democrat party will suffer for it.

10 posted on 01/20/2016 9:40:37 AM PST by Cowboy Bob (With Trump & Cruz, America can't lose!)
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To: amorphous

I recommend Stockman’s book...The Great Deformation

It’s lengthy and somewhat difficult reading, but it tells a scary story.


11 posted on 01/20/2016 9:41:44 AM PST by nascarnation
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To: amorphous

I have to say I think this is a total devolving spiral and its going to be worse than an inflationary depression. When the currency crashes people will go to gold and silver as a safe haven. That is what always happens.

Its going to be really bad and it does not matter who we elect President it will take years to work our way out of this one.


12 posted on 01/20/2016 9:50:43 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: Georgia Girl 2; nascarnation
Its going to be really bad and it does not matter who we elect President it will take years to work our way out of this one.

Completely agree. I just ordered more seeds for the garden!

13 posted on 01/20/2016 9:56:45 AM PST by amorphous
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To: amorphous

Superb investment strategy!


14 posted on 01/20/2016 9:57:41 AM PST by nascarnation
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To: amorphous

Yes we have spent the last year practicing our gardening skills on a raised bed and in containers. As soon as it warms up we are getting chickens. I think 6 years of prepping is going to pay off.


15 posted on 01/20/2016 10:10:28 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: Cowboy Bob

The shemitah is upon us.


16 posted on 01/20/2016 10:11:18 AM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: nascarnation; Georgia Girl 2
Gold has broken above its 100 DMA, a good sign for anyone who owns it. I've been accumulating a little myself recently.


17 posted on 01/20/2016 10:16:46 AM PST by amorphous
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To: amorphous

I’ve got Kruggerands I bought in the Carter era, LOL


18 posted on 01/20/2016 10:17:26 AM PST by nascarnation
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To: Georgia Girl 2
I've been thinking of getting a few chickens as well. I like the idea of a "self-propelled chicken tractor" so they can eat bugs and grubs, instead of commercial feed.

You're right about prepping. I hope more and more people start to do so. I've been growing in containers too, and this year I plan to try fabric bags for some things, like tomatoes.

19 posted on 01/20/2016 10:21:19 AM PST by amorphous
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To: nascarnation
Great! lol

No doubt the recent fall in gold prices hasn't caused you any loss of sleep then. :-)

20 posted on 01/20/2016 10:23:20 AM PST by amorphous
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