The rate will be more like 60%...I think...which is the norm..
The 90% rate was a one off...but they use it as the “as high as_____” rate for media purposes..
As to the numbers.....they are too high, too fast...IMO
They are calculating it like a nuclear fission reaction. It does not work that way.
Okay...If the real number is 60% then the out of the 1.4 million only 840,000 will die.
What are your thoughts of the number of cases in a month or three?
Is the difference in reported fatality rates tied to with/without treatment? I can forsee things getting so swamped that many end up getting the bums rush instead of solid treatment.
Yep. At some point, people barricade themselves in their homes, society shuts down, and the disease sputters out.
10%? 15%? I can't remember, been awhile since I read anything on it.
But yes - lots of FReepers looking at this as an exponential growth situation, when it isn't. It's still awful, but hysteria serves no purpose.