Posted on 09/17/2014 1:17:37 PM PDT by MichCapCon
It is time to reassess Michigans gubernatorial race; and flipping a coin might be the best approach to picking the winner. Polls show Gov. Rick Snyder and Democratic challenger former Congressman Mark Schauer neck and neck with Gov. Snyders momentum heading downward.
Maybe Gov. Snyder said by some to be the smartest man in the room knows precisely what hes doing. Maybe his advisers have spotted something encouraging in the polling numbers others have missed, but the governor has slipped into a dead heat after being the favorite to win re-election only a few weeks ago.
Gov. Snyders problems appear to be multiplying and to a large extent self-inflicted. He has always displayed contempt for letting political expediency impact his decisions. Now, after repeatedly ignoring time-tested political considerations, his re-election is in jeopardy.
When asked if leaders should allow political factors to influence policy, most voters would reply with a resounding no. But in reality their assessment of leaders who pay no attention to politics depends on whether they agree or disagree with the result. If they disagree with the policy decision, theyll usually argue that the leader has defied the will of the voters, or at least an important segment of voters. In other words, voters often want and expect their leaders to consider the political ramifications of their actions.
Upon taking office Gov. Snyder claimed he wanted to change the culture in Lansing. At first, it looked like he was setting about doing so. As time passed, however, his decisions increasingly reflected the very culture he had said needed to be changed. This alone probably wouldnt have threatened his re-election. But his neglect of the counterweight that traditionally keeps that culture in check just might.
The culture of Lansing is a deeply imbedded government-centric perspective pervading the 10-block radius of the Capitol. From this perspective, the well-being of government and the special interests attached to government is the overriding priority. One element alone mitigates and disciplines this government-centered culture, and that is a healthy fear of voters reactions. Leaders must balance the political impact of their decisions along with other considerations; repeatedly failing to do so shuts the voters out of the process. Gov. Snyder may have crossed this line once or twice too often.
During his first year in office, Gov. Snyder rearranged Michigans tax and revenue structure. This included the elimination of the tax exemption for pensions or as it was called the pension tax. When the change occurred, many assumed Gov. Snyder would eventually follow up with some kind of general tax cut to remedy any negative long-term political impact. He never did this and is suffering the consequences.
Polling now shows the pension tax cutting into his support among senior citizens, a large number of which were not affected by the change, but mistakenly believe they were.
In 2013, Gov. Snyder wanted Medicaid expansion. Polls showed that a majority of Republican voters opposed it. His message could have been that President Barack Obama left him with two bad choices and hed decided Medicaid expansion was the lesser evil of the two.
Rather than adopting this message, the one chosen was a virtual mirror image of the presidents Obamacare rhetoric. Use of this message was like rubbing salt in the wounds of the political right; unnecessarily intensifying bitterness over the issue.
In June, Gov. Snyder sought to double the states fuel tax to create a new revenue stream for fixing and maintaining the roads. The impetus for this came from a coalition of nearly every special interest group in Lansing. Most of these groups had just had their individual priorities taken care of with passage of a $52 billion budget.
Common political sense would advise against attempting to double the fuel tax six months prior to a general election. Taking at least some of the sought-after funds from the budget first might have been politically advisable as well. But the culture in Lansing said: damn the torpedoes, we want it all now. Apparently throwing political considerations to the wind, the governor pursued the doomed effort. In the end, all that was accomplished was a magnification of his inability to find a more politically acceptable approach.
In the spring of this election year a group of large businesses and business groups joined in urging the Legislature to expand Michigans anti-discrimination Elliott-Larsen Civil Rights Act to include sexual orientation. To many social conservatives, that is a step toward recognition of gay marriage. With friends like these business interests, Gov. Snyder has no need of enemies.
Reluctantly drawn into the debate, he lent his support to adding sexual orientation to the law, risking alienation of an important voting block he might otherwise have counted on. Suggesting the possible change to the Act be placed on the ballot and decided by the voters would have been a politically safer position for him to have taken.
Recent polling shows Gov. Snyders support among Republicans has slipped to just 82 percent. Meanwhile, Schauer is undoubtedly beginning to convince potential financial supporters that his gubernatorial bid is worth backing.
Michigan ping ...
Any Republican who promotes the gay agenda should be thrown out of office — and probably will be.
Kick your side in the teeth on issue after issue..........
Sounds just like a RINO to me.
All races have tightened up. This is because they poll democrats more heavily closer to election time. It makes it appear that the race is close, encourages the democrats, and demoralizes the republicans. The race then gets to within a close enough margin that cheating can swing the rest of the votes to the desired candidate. It may not be discussed openly, but it is “understood” by the democrat leaders and their friends in the media, who are responsible for reporting on the polls and not reporting on the fraud.
Why aren’t the moderates & leftists supporting him? He’s their kind of Republican!
In this case, the Democrat is promising to bring the union in to help rewrite the state constitution and is talking about closing charter schools and giving it to the public schools.
As far as the gay thing is concerned, Snyder does oppose gay marriage on purely fiscal grounds.
I just don’t understand the thinking of the general public, especially in my beloved Michigan. I have seen enough elections to see how every Democrat Governor and administration hasten the destruction of my home state and, in general, the Republican administrations have succeeded in starting a recovery from the Dem debacles only to have the electorate vote in another stupid Dem/Commie to start the destruction all over again.
It has plenty to do with those who will accept nothing less than all they want so they sit home and pout on election day.
I’ve been here my whole life and recognize the reality of the situation. We aren’t going to get a Reagan conservative in Lansing at this point. Putting a full on marxist democrat in office just pushes that goal further away.
I’d like to kick Rick Snyder in the ass but I also recognize how far we’ve come since Granholm.
I would beg to differ, I WAS AFFECTED and it certainly pisses me off. I know many other Republican retirees who were also affected and they're just as pissed off as I am.........
It doesn't matter if your tax burden under Spencer went from $0 to $200 or $5,000, the mere fact that persons now on fixed incomes have less monies in their pockets under Spencer than his predecessor...........
All Schauer has to do to insure his election is to announce that he will repeal the Snyder income tax on retirees..............
Since it's not likely, I'm forced to vote once again for the stinking Snyder........
I agree. Snyder did not do some things he should have but he did do some very important things that will, if maintained, help Michigan in the long term. Right-to-Work was unexpected but is one of the great things that happened on his watch and will lead to better economic times if we can keep the Dems from taking over and repealing that landmark legislation.
There have been a series of ads claiming he cut $1.5 billion (or whatever) “from education” (IOW, a smaller figure of taxpayers’ money was kept out of the pockets of the MEA) and gave it to cronies. It isn’t a story, it’s just straight out stalinist agitprop. He’ll be reelected, and Terry Lynn Land will go to the Senate.
Well said!!!
I was stuck with Marky Mark Schauer and the Pepper Sprayed Bunch for two years as a congressman. I don't want him as governor after the job he did.
Rick Snyder is well outside what I can normally accept but that’s not the only factor. We don’t have a terribly powerful governor in Michigan. He has done good things. And then there is Mark Schauer who is modeling himself after Bill DiBlasio.
Mark Schauer was my congressman for 2 horrible years and his only claim to fame was voting for Obamacare. He holds the record fine ever paid in Michigan for campaign finance violations and has done the exact same thing again in this campaign.
Schauer will have us longing for the good old days of Jenny Granholm. The SOB is a vindictive and nasty marxist who seeks to punish all who have opposed him. I could see him bringing in Michael Moore as a labor advisor or something.
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