What are the intermediate events?
What will likely occur will be nothing like the RW or CW. We are currently a rapidly dying Republic. The evil left has spent the last 100 years attempting to convert our Republic into a democracy (with the end goal of a totalitarian dictatorship.) They are succeeding.
Scenario #1 follow: What will likely happen is that we will be morphed into a third world decaying Socialist sewer.
The import and offspring of the third world anti-American, anti-English illegal invasion will likely total over half our population by 2050. Demographics is destiny and the illegal invasion is truly checkmate for our Republic. They will vote for third world type tyrants. This is the most likely scenario.
Probability of scenario #1 is 51%
If somehow we could remove the vast numbers of these anti-American third world socialists then the least likely scenario (#2) would likely develop as follows. At some point a "crisis" will result in the essential financial collapse of the Federal government.
It would be ideal for the Several States to have a plan ready to quickly take over and dissolve the Federal government of all unconstitutional activities. This will require the firing of millions of Federal bureaucrats and the outright revoking of their pensions. All courts below the Supreme courts would need to be immediately dissolved.
Through an emergency convening of an Article V Convention of the States, the States can quickly remove ALL unconstitutional aspects of Federal government.
It cannot be emphasized enough that the removal of all unconstitutional parts of the Federal government would have to be done in a very short time period (< 18 months)
Probability of scenarios 2 is 0.05%
Scenario #3 is the 2nd most likely scenario (probability 49%) is a "crisis" event causing a collapse of the U.S. Economy resulting in widespread chaos, death and the attempted imposition of a totalitarian dictatorship. It will likely unfold as in the many writings of Travis McGee.
No one really knows what will happen or when (6 months, 2 years or 20 years), but when it does it will not be pleasant. Most of human existence has been one of bondage and tyrannical rule.
Our Blessed United States has been one of the few exceptions in all of human history. The utterly evil left is trying its best to extinguish our Freedom. They are that evil.
I can’t add to or refute anything you say.
What is obvious to you and me is also clear to our state politicians. In fact, they probably know far better of the heavy federal fist always poised to beat them and their people down.
The tyranny is here. Article V, the 0.05% chance, is the only hope to restore freedom.