[AFPhys]

I am really looking forward to the next time Oregon is polled. That may be election day. Last time it was polled was mid-September, and -bama had a 10pt lead at that time. Given that WA has moved from +15 to +10 in the two most recent PPP polls, it is not completely out of the question that OR may be in the ≈0 pt range now.

[Norseman]

Similarly, I’d like to see Illinois polled. RCP has the last poll done in early September, and even then it was only Obama +13, and that was Registered Voters (not likely voters), was before the 9/11 debacle in Libya, and was back when they were assuming 2008 turnout distributions.

It wouldn’t surprise me to find out that Illinois was a Toss Up state today, especially since every state around it is also a Toss Up now.