The encouraging news is there are many who voted for Obama who will either now vote for Romney or not at all.
I seriously doubt there is one McCain voter who will vote for Obama, and a much smaller ratio that will not vote at all.
Under this scenario, Romney can easily win. The difference between simply winning, and a 48 state blowout is enthusiasm, and a very large part of that depends on who he picks for VP, and if he does an aggressive campaign after the convention.
I respectfully disagree. The enthusiasm on our side is for defeating Obama. Most conservatives see Romney as merely the vehicle for getting there. His VP pick is therefore a win/break even situation. Romney CAN pick up SOME points with a particular VP pick, but short of picking McCain as his VP he really has a free throw here. The enthusiasm will continue to grow on our side as the list of impressive and important Ted Cruz-like primary wins pile up.
“Under this scenario, Romney can easily win. The difference between simply winning, and a 48 state blowout is enthusiasm, and a very large part of that depends on who he picks for VP, and if he does an aggressive campaign after the convention.”
I respectfully disagree. The enthusiasm on our side is for defeating Obama. Most conservatives see Romney as merely the vehicle for getting there. His VP pick is therefore a win/break even situation. Romney CAN pick up SOME points with a particular VP pick, but short of picking McCain as his VP he really has a free throw here. The enthusiasm will continue to grow on our side as the list of impressive and important Ted Cruz-like primary wins pile up.