Obama will lose ground from every demographic group, including blacks.
I guess its no longer proper to oversample democrats by 18% in the polls.
Every one of these polls, in all the ‘battleground’ states, oversample democrats...they start out with a pure guess about turnout ratios, and presto, Barry wins the poll.
The real indicator is that Barry is consistently underperforming vs the Dem oversample rate. He is in trouble.
So what will they do to the GOP?
This really indicates very bad news for Obama becase his biggest problem is enthusiasm. So if he and Romney are starting out at parity in context of 2008 its not good at all. It means if the election were held today Obama would lose by nearly the same or larger margin than he defeated McCain. Right now this race isn’t even about Romney so much. Its really about Obama versus himself. Romney just has to look competent and be an acceptable not Obama. Already Gallop shows the enthusiasm GAP between GOP and Democrats to be huge. So there is no way Obama is going to make up for his loses of white vote. He doesn’t even have his 2008 vote sewn up which is why he’s committing political suicide going far left.
Now Romney is in a perfect position. He has tons of money in the bank. He has yet to pick what could be a VP that could increase his standing with conservatives who just don’t trust him.(I am one of those) If Romney continues to play it too safe he does risk turning what could be Republican landslide into a weak Republican win.
We will know what he is thinking by his VP pick. He picks anyone that isn’t a solid conservative and we will know how he intends to govern and in that case he may not even want a strong conservative win. That is the worst case. The best case is that Romney could prove to be a ‘Manchurian Candidate’ of sorts. There are indicators that he very well may be vastly more conservative than his record indicates. I wouldn’t bet my life on it but it is remotely possible. So what we could get in my estimation is.
1. A Romney that is roughly equivalent to Pres GWH Bush in politics.
2. A Romney that is worse than Pres GWH Bush and works not to strengthen or maintain the conservative gains but to instead errode it and soften it.
3. A Romney that is more conservative than he seems who quietly and forcably with total control of govt works to undo not only what Pres Obama has done but to totally transform entiltment programs more towards what Paul Ryan has presented.
Right now I get the feeling that team Romney is stringing us along lowering expectations. If they deliver even less its going to get really ugly fast.
Maybe it’s just elaborate disinformation so that Conservatives will feel comfortable and stay home without voting.
I hardly trust anything by now.
They thought they’d be getting another Bill Clinton. But instead they got Malcolm X.
This will help offset the rat’s voter fraud.