Understand, though, that you could insert any number of organizations into our scenario in lieu of the Tea Party. but you DIDN'T... you used the TP with malice and forethought!!!
Posted on 08/05/2012 7:30:25 AM PDT by Travis McGee
The Scenario (2016)
The Great Recession of the early twenty-first century lasts far longer than anyone anticipated. After a change in control of the White House and Congress in 2012, the governing party cuts off all funding that had been dedicated to boosting the economy or toward relief. The United States economy has flatlined, much like Japan’s in the 1990s, for the better part of a decade. By 2016, the economy shows signs of reawakening, but the middle and lower-middle classes have yet to experience much in the way of job growth or pay raises. Unemployment continues to hover perilously close to double digits, small businesses cannot meet bankers’ terms to borrow money, and taxes on the middle class remain relatively high. A high-profile and vocal minority has directed the public’s fear and frustration at nonwhites and immigrants. After almost ten years of race-baiting and immigrant-bashing by right-wing demagogues, nearly one in five Americans reports being vehemently opposed to immigration, legal or illegal, and even U.S.-born nonwhites have become occasional targets for mobs of angry whites.
In May 2016 an extremist militia motivated by the goals of the “tea party” movement takes over the government of Darlington, South Carolina, occupying City Hall, disbanding the city council, and placing the mayor under house arrest. Activists remove the chief of police and either disarm local police and county sheriff departments or discourage them from interfering. In truth, this is hardly necessary. Many law enforcement officials already are sympathetic to the tea party’s agenda, know many of the people involved, and have made clear they will not challenge the takeover. The militia members are organized and have a relatively well thought-out plan of action.
With Darlington under their control, militia members quickly move beyond the city limits to establish “check points” – in reality, something more like choke points -- on major transportation lines. Traffic on I-95, the East Coast’s main north-south artery; I-20; and commercial and passenger rail lines are stopped and searched, allegedly for “illegal aliens.” Citizens who complain are immediately detained. Activists also collect “tolls” from drivers, ostensibly to maintain public schools and various city and county programs, but evidence suggests the money is actually going toward quickly increasing stores of heavy weapons and ammunition. They also take over the town web site and use social media sites to get their message out unrestricted.
When the leaders of the group hold a press conference to announce their goals, they invoke the Declaration of Independence and argue that the current form of the federal government is not deriving its “just powers from the consent of the governed” but is actually “destructive to these ends.” Therefore, they say, the people can alter or abolish the existing government and replace it with another that, in the words of the Declaration, “shall seem most likely to effect their safety and happiness.” While mainstream politicians and citizens react with alarm, the “tea party” insurrectionists in South Carolina enjoy a groundswell of support from other tea party groups, militias, racist organizations such as the Ku Klux Klan, anti-immigrant associations such as the Minutemen, and other right-wing groups. At the press conference the masked militia members’ uniforms sport a unit seal with a man wearing a tricorn hat and carrying a musket over the motto “Today’s Minutemen.” When a reporter asked the leaders who are the “red coats” the spokesman answered, “I don’t know who the redcoats are…it could be federal troops.” Experts warn that while these groups heretofore have been considered weak and marginal, the rapid coalescence among them poses a genuine national threat.
The mayor of Darlington calls the governor and his congressman. He cannot act to counter the efforts of the local tea party because he is confined to his home and under guard. The governor, who ran on a platform that professed sympathy with tea party goals, is reluctant to confront the militia directly. He refuses to call out the National Guard. He has the State Police monitor the roadblocks and checkpoints on the interstate and state roads but does not order the authorities to take further action. In public the governor calls for calm and proposes talks with the local tea party to resolve issues. Privately, he sends word through aides asking the federal government to act to restore order. Due to his previous stance and the appearance of being “pro” tea party goals the governor has little political room to maneuver.
The Department of Homeland Security responds to the governor’s request by asking for defense support to civil law enforcement. After the Department of Justice states that the conditions in Darlington and surrounding areas meet the conditions necessary to invoke the Insurrection Act, the President invokes it.
(From Title 10 US Code the President may use the militia or Armed Forces to:
§ 331 – Suppress an insurrection against a State government at the request of the Legislature or, if not in session, the Governor.
§ 332 – Suppress unlawful obstruction or rebellion against the U.S.
§ 333 – Suppress insurrection or domestic violence if it (1) hinders the execution of the laws to the extent that a part or class of citizens are deprived of Constitutional rights and the State is unable or refuses to protect those rights or (2) obstructs the execution of any Federal law or impedes the course of justice under Federal laws.)
By proclamation he calls on the insurrectionists to disperse peacefully within 15 days. There is no violation of the Posse Comitatus Act. The President appoints the Attorney General and the Department of Justice as the lead federal agency to deal with the crisis. The President calls the South Carolina National Guard to federal service. The Joint Staff in Washington, D.C., alerts U.S. Northern Command, the headquarters responsible for the defense of North America, to begin crisis action planning. Northern Command in turn alerts U.S. Army North/Fifth U.S. Army for operations as a Joint Task Force headquarters. Army units at Fort Bragg, N.C.; Fort Stewart, Ga.; and Marines at Camp Lejuene, N.C. go on alert. The full range of media, national and international, is on scene.
“Fix Darlington, but don’t destroy it!”
Upon receiving the alert for possible operations in Darlington, the Fifth Army staff begins the military decision making process with mission analysis and intelligence preparation of the battlefield. (Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield is the term applied to the procedures performed by the intelligence staff of all Army unit headquarters in the development of bases of information on the enemy, terrain and weather, critical buildings and facilities in a region and other points. Army units conduct operations on the basis of this information. The term is in Army doctrine and could be problematic when conducted in advance of operations on U.S. soil. The general form of the initial intelligence estimate is in figure 1.) In developing the intelligence estimate military intelligence planners will confront the first constraints on the conduct of full spectrum operations in the United States, as well as constraints on supporting law enforcement. The analytical steps of the Intelligence Preparation of the Battlefield, or IPB, must be modified in preparing for and conducting operations in the homeland.
The steps of the IPB process are: define the operational environment/battlespace, describe environmental effects on operations/describe battlespace effects, evaluate the threat/adversary, and determine threat/adversary courses of action. (PSYOP was changed to Military Information Support Operations, MISO, by Secretary of Defense directive in June 2010.)
While preparing terrain and weather data do not pose a major problem to the G-2, gathering data on the threat and under civil considerations for intelligence and operational purposes is problematic to say the leasst.
(Much more of the long essay may be read at the original link.)
Excellent analysis.
Well they are calling him a neo-nazi who had a dishonorable discharge form the Army. Also since the dead tell no tales that version is the one that the leftist press will run with.
The press is now claiming that the weapon used was legally purchased how is this possible? Unless either he lied on the form4473 or the NICS database run by the FBI has been compromised.
This is true; in fact they are so concentrated on their provocations that they've missed some truly stunning openings that their opponents could use. They are ignoring a very important piece in the aftermath of their win in Arizona vs US, that the state could mobilize its military-powers and violently expel the invaders, indeed that is the only option left for states to enforce immigration.
If the Governor of AZ were to declare such an invasion, calling out the organized [National Guard] and unorganized [general citizenry] militia with shoot-to-kill authorization then there would instantly be a political shit-storm on the national level. {Arizona has enough evidence to prove invasion, I believe.}
Then, the governor is perfectly positioned to place the Federal Government into its own no-win scenario: demand federal [armed] assistance under Article IV, Section 4, of the US Constitution:
The United States shall guarantee to every State in this Union a Republican Form of Government, and shall protect each of them against Invasion; and on Application of the Legislature, or of the Executive (when the Legislature cannot be convened), against domestic Violence.This places a not-insignificant portion of the political caste into a big bind, they have so wholeheartedly thrown themselves into one-world-government/no-borders scheme of things that to render aid would be seen as anathema and backsliding. Further, stalling [or denying] on such a request/demand would only add to the dissatisfaction of the states and serve to embolden the Tea Party/Constitutionalists in their criticisms of government. Lastly, should they act against the state they themselves will be committing treason, as defined by the US Constitution, to wit: giving aid and comfort to the enemies of the states.
In the not-impossible scenario that the federal government were to attack such a state, there would be undeniable proof/justification for the armed rebellion it would spark.
And if it doesn't happen naturally, they might give it some "help." See Fast & Furious, where the Obama regime already crossed the deliberate mass-murder-for-political-gain Rubicon.
Indeed, I can easily imagine a "false flag" operation for doing exactly this. In fact, it would be absurdly easy to do given the segregation of military and civilian law enforcement. Imagine setting a known-loyal military unit on a [say] DEA unit where one wipes out the other; the news then shows the resultant casualties and the "obvious militia" forensic evidence (which would obviously be planted/scrubbed). If nothing else, Fast & Furious shows how little regard is placed on civilian lives and safety.
Understand, though, that you could insert any number of organizations into our scenario in lieu of the Tea Party. but you DIDN'T... you used the TP with malice and forethought!!!
Great point.
TS
Pure random choice.
The b!tch is pushing to have her CW theories put into practice, so she is throwing lit matches at the fuse to the Fort Sumter cannon.
Then she will write the history of CW2.
She's an evil b!tch, on par with Hitler's racist propagandists portraying German Jews as filty vermin.
A million Reichstag Fire scenarios come to mind. I alreeady wrote a novel about a false flat “assault rifle stadium massacre,” so they probably will not use that one.
BFL
Concur. And while the political success of the various Tea OParty supporters both horifies and disgucts them, what they're REALLY worried about is the successful combination of the political Tea Party success with the manpower and professional skills of some three and a half million military veterans returning from Iraq and Afghanistan. That could really be a game-changer.
We cannot ignore this trend. We have had our warning. The leaders of the libtard elite establishment are chomping at the bit to unleash hell on their mortal enemies, the Bitter Clinger Nation. They are just PRAYING for the next assault rifle massacre or bombing to at the hands of a bitter clinging tea partier.
Concur.
And if it doesn't happen naturally, they might give it some "help." See Fast & Furious, where the Obama regime already crossed the deliberate mass-murder-for-political-gain Rubicon.
Concur, again. Recall also the FBI COINTELPRO operations of thec 1960s and '70s, renamed after former FBI Director J. Edgar Hoover's death and the exposure of the program after a breakin at the FBI offices in Media, Pennsylvania, but never completely terminated, though spread out among other federal agencies, including the BATF and the Army military intelligence surveillance of prominent political figures known as Operation Watch Tower.
I dunno; given the serious lack of any meaningful repercussion of Fast and Furious they might try it precisely as an FU/rile-the-conspiracy-theorists-up measure.
What could be better than using one of the plays from a conservative book like yours?
1 -- The audience that read it would be virtually all conservative TEA-party types; i.e. the designated fall-guy.
2 -- The book can be claimed as the source, and being authored by yourself implicate the conservatives. (Guilt by association.)
The dangerous thing about our government is that it believes itself capable of anything.
They haven't even thought of that yet. That's what's so terrifying and amazing about the essay. They haven't a clue as to what really makes up this country. It is a strength and a weakness. A glaring weakness.
Regards,
TS
Thank you for maintaining this ping list.
What is this map measuring? Crime rates? Welfare dependency? Percentage of votes democrat?
I think the turnout on Chikfil-A day must also have been a shock to them. Bitter Clinger Nation took the time to put millions of people into visible action on a national scale the MSM could not ignore, the way, say, they ignore 500,000 pro-lifers assembled on the mall each year. This was unexpected.
Against our millions of Chikfil-A Warriors, they put out a few dozen kissers and a bit of vandalism on Friday. More media than kissers. The comparison must stick in their craws.
Nope, I don’t think they can use it and point to EFAD, they’d only look like the goons and dolts as they were portrayed in sensational fiction. That’s also why I’m keeping a higher profile, signing comments, writing essays etc.
There are far more former and reserve officers and NCOs with recent experience, than there are on active duty military plus police plus feds.
We are fighting 50,000 mostly illiterates with AKs in A-stan, and we are not winning.
How many 500 yard scoped deer rifles on up exist in private hands in the USA? Even Hitler would not attack Switzerland.
I don't disagree with what you're saying at all, and you've very articulately pointed out before how novel such a fight would be in world history. Still, the biggest problem we face, bar none, is the pairing of rising collectivist ambition with the inability of the modern military to properly understand or win wars. That's the kind of stuff that tragic miscalculations are made of.
Here's my concern. The left wants a fight. Specifically, they want a fight between the uniformed U.S. security forces (aka the center right) against the TEA Party/Constitutionalists/patriots (aka the far right).
The left doesn't have an army of its own, so their operational concept is to get the organs of the state to fight for them. They sit comfortably behind the flag, while making the actual patriots into public enemies. Rhetorically, it all works for them. The evil conservatives are vanquished, the left doesn't need to spill any blood, and the institutions that many conservatives cherish (military and law enforcement) are the ones that did the deed.
Fact of the matter is, the left has no army and really can't get one. They need a state-versus-patriot fight because there's no equivalent on the left. Just zero liability voters who expect to get paid in exchange for their support. They have needs and demands, true, but they're no pool of warriors ready to be tapped. That job will need to be outsourced.
The security structure in this country isn't leftist by any means, but there's lots of people with mortgages to pay and mouths to feed. They may be center right politically, but they'll do what they're told in the short run if the reason is marginally plausible. And that's the danger. The forces on the left that want the fight also want it to be over quickly, because it needs to be. They don't realize that realistically, once it starts, it could turn into Afghanistan in every single state. Even our own planners didn't realize that Afghanistan was going to turn into Afghanistan. Ditto Iraq. And at the higher levels, some of them are advising the same leftist powers-that-be on military and civil strategies like this.
Sadly, the left wants the fight so badly, and on paper they may think that the fight will be as easy as following the doctrine laid out by the nice men from the War College, but that kind of fight bedeviled us for a decade in the sandbox. It would be a thousand times worse here. It's that lack of understanding what they'd be unleashing that worries me more than anything. At least Hitler feared the Swiss for the right reasons. He may have been a fool in a number of ways, but he learned some hard lessons in WWI up close and personally. I really wonder if the left comprehends what kind of fire they're playing with.
T. McGee, you and Steel Wolf have a MOST OUTSTANDING thread going. And a lot of other posters have helped also.
Mike Vanderboegh (and I cringe every time I try to spell his name, thinking how easily misspelt it is), over at Sipsey Street, has a real good take, as well. This essay is blowing up here in the web world!!!
Thanks for posting this!
semper fi,
DC Wright
USMC Retired
TEA Partier, Oath Keeper and III%
Sheepdog by profession
Thanks neighbor for the heads up...very informative thread well worth the time. Will be shooting you a pm shortly.
Trav...The quagmire at the mall is now ready for me to come do my thing starting an a week. Will be in touch.
Excellent commentary on this thread by the usual group of posters. As usual...I have nothing to add but thanks to all for the effort. It is very appreciated.
Well..there is one thing that I don’t see many point up when the number of deer rifles is brought up....
The young ones are not only taught marksmanship...they are taught the art of killing....plus cover...concealment...breath control..etc.
Around here..the good ones blossom at 12-14...by thirty there’s two decades of honing the craft. Then there’s bow seasons.
Changing the target from deer..to turkey...to X...doesn’t take much.
It is a 3D version of the famous red/blue map.
The big blue spikes are where all the democrat votes come from.
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