“Friday’s GDP report beat expectations”
I sort of ‘expect’ that report to be revised later.
Can you imagine what Obama’s internal polling looks like if this is the kind of news getting out?
I shudder to think what the October surprise is going to be. Nuke on US soil? Gun grab leading to civil war?
I dont think that polls should be paid attention to until late Sept-early Oct. Trends tend to go back and forth until then.
But, having said that, an incumbent behind at this point? Point to Reagan and we can all see what is about to happen.
Yet, the most important elections are still in the Congress.
Get enough conservatives in there and the present leadership can be ousted. I can see DeMint as Senate leader. And a outside conservative as Speaker of the House.
Give Romney a couple of points from the undecided vote and he’s in ‘mandate’ country.
Now if he can just keep from insulting any more country hosts on his trip abroad meant to showcase his diplomacy skills...
Mitt Romney has a lead, but he didn’t build it. Somebody else made that happen (and now we can finally give credit to Obama - he made that happen).
Still, we have major events yet to occur that could change the picture even more in Romney's favor. The VP pick, the convention and the October debates, if handled correctly, could continue to flip undecideds and peel away from Obama's base. A 60-40 blowout (in favor of Romney) is very plausible but Romney needs to play the right cards in the crucial weeks ahead.