Any of the remaining 4 GOP candidates beat Obama in 2012.
Reasons Obama will lose in 2012:
a. McCain wins in 2008 if only 3% of those who voted would have switched. In 2012 it is a matter of getting those 3%
b. That 3% will come from...millions who have been laid off
and can’t find jobs, more millions who are under water on their mortgages and more millions who have been foreclosed.
c. Gas prices will be a big factor. Price at pump has
already more than doubled since Obama was anointed.
d. Another large group is disillusioned young voters who
expected “hope & change” to make their lives better. It has
not worked. Many young college graduates can’t find jobs.
Their college tuition has escalated significantly in 3 years.
I have 2 kids in college so I see that first hand.
e. More GOP voters are angry at Obama in 2012 than they were
in 2008. He was basically an unknown in 2008 and many did
not bother voting since maverick McCain did not excite many.
What you have done is taken Mitt Romney completely out of the equation. In theory that is possible; In reality, not a chance!
Obama will eat him alive and make him the central focus of the campaign. He will have a billion dollars to neutralize the effectiveness of Romney’s general election campaign.
Voters vote for flawed human beings and not for perfectly groomed generic Republicans.
Reasons Romney will lose to Obama:
Unable to draw meaningful distinctions on both economic and social issues.
Romney is winning the primaries in areas he will lose to Obama in the fall. He will be unable to carry the more conservative areas because conservatives do not like his positions or him personally. They don’t trust him either.
Flip flops. He’s taken every side of every issue.
He’s not connecting with large segments of people. Issues + trust.