Posted on 02/27/2012 3:40:40 PM PST by lilyfreeper
Started today's Michigan calls at 4 and so far seeing encouraging things for Santorum. Tomorrow may be a long night.
Pretty sure Santorum will win election day voters tomorrow in MI, just a question of whether he can make up Romney's absentee lead.
Our final Michigan numbers should be out between 10 and 11 tonight.
(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...
Of course, the press has TWOO different narratives ginned up...one to promote Romney as "unstoppable", and one to herald Santorum's win as a "fluke" and a "bump in the road for Romney". Just watched. Lets also see how the delegates shake out.
He has lost some weight. That might not be good. Now that would be good for Newt. and Herman, though.
My wife and I voted for Rick in our SC primary—me because he was the most consistant conservative and she because he was the most Christian Conservative.
She keeps me from perdition on a daily basis so I ain't gonna argue with her...and there are a lot of men like me.
I find it fascinating that Romney has a substantial lead in absentee ballots. This is the type of thing that you see from the Dems; they set their machine in motion and get into nursing homes and who knows where else to manufacture votes (”Grandma hasn’t been able to communicate in three months, but she “voted” for Obamalini). Given the Romney machine’s theft of the Maine caucuses, I am beginning to think that Romney and the R establishment are beginning to operate like the Ds.
Santomentum!
True that ^
When I campaigned in 2007-08 with Huck in IA and SC, he was always forgetting to eat.
Although I think Willard is 20+ pounds heavier than 2008. Over confident, perhaps?
FReepmail “Antoninus” to be added or removed.
If Santorum takes Michigan, it becomes the bigger headline and sustains momentum up to Super Tuesday. This could be a game changer.
“I find it fascinating that Romney has a substantial lead in absentee ballots.”
Nothing other than savvy campaign strategy. Mittens people probably figured out that absentees are important and got them out to their people. Doesn’t change the fact that the candidate is still defective.
What I’m concerned about is the number of Seniors who are falling for the Romnuts Kool-aid. They must be scaring them.
Santorum has always done well with the day of voters.
Santorum’s editorial in the Wall Street Journal today was excellent, and was nearly devoid of “social issues” by the way.
It sounded like a complete reversal of the Obama nonsense of the past 3 years and would jumpstart the U.S. economy immediately. Think of the pent up economic forces that would be unleashed when he:
1. Lets the Keystone pipeline proceed.
2. Eliminates every Dem-imposed regulation causing over $100mm in economic costs.
3. Cuts income taxes across the board.
4. Halves the corporate tax rate, one of the highest in the world
5. Reduces federal spending by $5 trillion over four years (which can easily be done, given the excesses of this administration.)
6. Repeals and replaces Obamacare with market-oriented health insurance.
7. Calls for a balanced federal budget and cap spending at 18% of GDP with a constitutional amendment.
8. Advocates for free trade agreements again.
9. Block grants entitlement programs to the states and reforms them (as he helped to do with welfare in the 90’s).
10. Phases out Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
Every single one of these, taken alone, would be a conservative’s dream, and he proposes ten, all achievable with a Republican Congress, and some of them achievable by Presidential action alone.
Should these each be implemented, there would be nothing holding this country back. You’d see several years of 4-6% economic growth in a row, as entrepreneurs who’ve been chaffing under Obama’s crazy policies were finally set free to create jobs, products, and opportunities.
And his history of a conservative voting record is a good indication he will follow through on each of these, unlike Romney (who still loves his Romneycare) or Gingrich (who can’t resist a new “big idea” even if it would grow government.)
Okay, little too hard on Gingrich there, but not Romney. And we get a social conservative besides. Scares the living blazes out of the Left.
That's exactly right. The press can spin it, but either way it'll be close, and it'll amount in a few delegates one way or the other.
>>If Santorum takes Michigan, it becomes the bigger headline and sustains momentum up to Super Tuesday. This could be a game changer.<<
It would be THE game changer. When he won in MN, NV and CO that one week, it was huge for him, but the others could argue that they weren’t focusing on those races. This time, it’s clear that Romney’s poured a lot of effort into Michigan, so if he loses it, Santorum goes into Super Tuesday with a lot of momentum, and Romney will have fired all his ammo in Michigan (not money, but cheap shots.)
Plus, Santorum will be viewed as the best positioned to beat Romney, and will also eat into Gingrich’s votes on Super Tuesday for that reason.
Michigan is huge. And the fact that he’s given no chance in AZ means that a closer than expected race there would add to his boost.
Tomorrow will be a long day. One more battle in the Republican Civil War between the Establishment and the Tea Party. No matter the result, the war will continue.
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Romney | Santorum | Paul | Gingrich | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 2/26 - 2/26 | -- | -- | 37.3 | 35.8 | 12.5 | 10.3 | Romney +1.5 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 2/26 - 2/26 | 750 LV | 4.0 | 38 | 36 | 11 | 10 | Romney +2 |
| PPP (D) | 2/26 - 2/26 | 421 LV | 4.8 | 39 | 37 | 13 | 9 | Romney +2 |
| Mitchell/Rosetta Stone | 2/26 - 2/26 | 858 LV | 3.3 | 35 | 37 | 8 | 9 | Santorum +2 |
| WeAskAmerica | 2/26 - 2/26 | 984 LV | 3.1 | 37 | 33 | 18 | 13 | Romney +4 |
>>When he won in MN, NV and CO that one week...<<
Oops, Missouri, not Nevada....my bad.
Assuming you are considering Santorum the tea party candidate, you better check his voting record. If he is the tea party, count me out.
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