Your numbers obviously reflect the Santorum blip, mine the thematic consistency of the Speakers candidacy. Note I've elected to publish via Scribd as opposed to Google.
I will pour over your numbers, assertions and comments and get back to you.
At first pass I'll say that I do not see the VP slot as an issue until post primary and for one do not wish nor look for Palins involvement.
Also, GOPe Option 1; being massaged as we speak.
At any rate is fodder for a good fight…
lol @ WTH with the loophole primaries? (PA and IL)
EXACTLY!
Actually, I think IL and PA mean well. Whereas some of the states allocate evenly across CD’s, they try to reward the CD’s in their state that has been more loyal to Republicans by giving them a delegate or two. But like TN they have this Executive Committee that allocates delegates based on what the committee wants. Logically, you would assume them to follow the vote of the state, but who knows?
I explained the NY allocation from above.
MD is winner take all by CD and +10 statewide bonus. I believe that Newt or Santorum will be able to either win MD-1, which is the Eastern Shore, Cecil and Harford County and/or MD-6 which is Frederick, Hagerstown, Cumberland out west. Check with another MD Freeper, I think they would also like either’s chances. It’s only 6 delegates, but they do add up.
130 is too low for Santorum. If that’s all you have him getting, then a lot of your unbound delegates should be in the Newt column. At 130, Newt would have around 960-970 delegates going into the convention. At convention time, we’ll know who’s where and I still think the Newt/Santorum combo will make up more delegates than Romney or Romney/Paul.