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First Thoughts: Romney's Clear Path [Predicts Race Over By Feb.1st]
MSNBC ^
| November 11, 2011
| Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Domenico Montanaro, and Brooke Brower
Posted on 11/11/2011 9:53:10 AM PST by Steelfish
First Thoughts: Romney's Clear Path
By NBCs Chuck Todd, Mark Murray, Domenico Montanaro, and Brooke Brower
*** Romneys clear path: After Herman Cains defiant news conference on Tuesday and after Rick Perrys brain freeze at Wednesday nights CNBC debate, Mitt Romneys path to the GOP presidential nomination is now WIDE open.
In fact, not since Bob Dole in 1996 has a candidate been such a clear front-runner right before the primaries and caucuses begin. The 96 comparison is also instructive: Dole still lost New Hampshire to Pat Buchanan.
What this all means: While Romney looks to be on his way to the nomination -- and the Obama campaign and the DNC have been under that impression for months -- were still likely to have plenty of twists and turns ahead. And keep this in mind: If Romney doesnt win either Iowa or South Carolina, theres a much greater chance of a long primary season, because not winning EITHER early state dominated by conservatives will be the BIG sign that Romney hasnt sealed the deal with heart and soul of the Republican electorate.
But as things stand right now, Romneys also very capable of winning an Iowa or South Carolina. And if he does, and couples it with wins in BOTH New Hampshire and Florida, this race will be over by Feb. 1.
(Excerpt) Read more at firstread.msnbc.msn.com ...
TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: delusional; milt; msm4romney; nbc4backstabber; nbc4chameleon; nbc4dncplant; nbc4loserromney; nbc4rinoromney; nbc4romney; notaxes4ge; rinoromney; sharia4romney; todd4romney
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To: MNJohnnie
Does everyone remember the year that Pat Buchanan won the Republican nomination for president? You don’t? Well, in 1992 he won the New Hampshire primary.
21
posted on
11/11/2011 10:27:30 AM PST
by
murron
(Proud Mom of a Marine Vet)
To: MNJohnnie
Never mind his fading polling position in the early states other then NH
He might do okay in Nevada as well. (Mormons overwhelmingly support Romney)
22
posted on
11/11/2011 10:28:48 AM PST
by
Dr. Sivana
(May Mitt Romney be the Mo Udall of 2012.)
To: murron
Does everyone remember the year that Pat Buchanan won the Republican nomination for president? You dont? Well, in 1992 he won the New Hampshire primary.
Actually, he pulled 38% against George the Elder in '92. He beat Dole in '96.
23
posted on
11/11/2011 10:29:40 AM PST
by
Dr. Sivana
(May Mitt Romney be the Mo Udall of 2012.)
To: Vigilanteman
As some of the lower tier candidates drop out, I don’t think that their support will go to Romney. (well, maybe Huntsman’s may). I think most will go to Cain and Newt.
24
posted on
11/11/2011 10:30:28 AM PST
by
murron
(Proud Mom of a Marine Vet)
To: wildandcrazyrussian
1) Winner-take-all primaries, such as Florida in 2008, where McCain only got 30% of the vote split 8 ways, but got 100% of the delegates;
Early primaries like Florida (ESPECIALLY FL) have to use proportional allocation per Republican rule change.
25
posted on
11/11/2011 10:30:53 AM PST
by
Dr. Sivana
(May Mitt Romney be the Mo Udall of 2012.)
To: murron
All the more reason why some of the 1%ers should drop out. They are only kidding themselves if they think they even have a chance.
26
posted on
11/11/2011 10:38:52 AM PST
by
Netizen
(Path to citizenship = Scamnesty. If you give it away, more will come. Who's pilfering your wallet?)
To: Steelfish
MSDNC pissing into the wind again.
27
posted on
11/11/2011 10:50:52 AM PST
by
Buckeye Battle Cry
(Mittt Romney - he lacks the courage of his absence of convictions.)
To: rwfromkansas
There will probably be some fall off occur after the press conference Cain attended. But when people see how little fall off, they can gather their courage and get back in the battle against the media.
I am wondering now if that is what Cain represents, the icon for the media battle, and less of the qualified candidate. I don’t know yet. Monday’s numbers will surely offer a clearer picture and Rasmussen will be bankable, no matter which way it goes, or who likes it or not.
28
posted on
11/11/2011 11:08:05 AM PST
by
RitaOK
(Texas. Exhibit A for Rick, who needs to pound the fiction flackers back into the Stone Age.)
To: Netizen
All the more reason why some of the 1%ers should drop out. They are only kidding themselves if they think they even have a chance.
Some might be positioning themselves for VP. Others might want to get a practice run in for '16 or '20.
29
posted on
11/11/2011 12:00:15 PM PST
by
Dr. Sivana
(May Mitt Romney be the Mo Udall of 2012.)
To: MNJohnnie
30
posted on
11/11/2011 1:42:56 PM PST
by
rwfromkansas
("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
To: Steelfish
Let me add my thoughts to that article.
Bwahahahahahahahahah!!
To: Steelfish
They would love to see us surrender, ain’t no way!
32
posted on
11/11/2011 2:26:26 PM PST
by
SWAMPSNIPER
(The Second Amendment, a Matter of Fact, Not a Matter of Opinion)
To: Dr. Sivana
Some might be positioning themselves for VP. Others might want to get a practice run in for '16 or '20. Siphoning votes from the leader is not a good way to be added to a short list for VP. If you can't get over 5% mow, you are unlikely to do much better next time around. Doesn't they can't, but unlikely. There is a reason they aren't connecting with voters.
33
posted on
11/11/2011 7:31:08 PM PST
by
Netizen
(Path to citizenship = Scamnesty. If you give it away, more will come. Who's pilfering your wallet?)
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