and everyone knows it!!!
Posted on 09/26/2011 12:43:52 PM PDT by rbmillerjr
Full Article follows:
Cain Perry or Palin: Where do Conservatives go?
Assuming that Romney is rejected by ideological conservatives, except for a last resort stable fall back, conservatives will be making a huge decision and will start solidifying their support behind Cain, Perry or Palin.
This vacuum will be filled soon. Within the next couple of months. The "four more of Obama" fear is opening up the space and despite recent scientific data which challenges Einstein's Special Theory of Relativity, the law of Election Physics will speed up the process. Conservative Republicans know they have Obama (Jimmy Carter II) on the ropes and they are not messing around.
Cain: Cain has momentum coming out of his excellent debate performance, with the multiplier of Perry's meltdown. The key here is that Cain's people will have to adjust quickly and transition to Conservative Front Runner status. They have captured the attention of conservatives and now must parlay that by keeping that attention and building upon it. Galvanizing the grass roots will be the easy part, but they must request that vocally and publicly on a national basis. Garnering conservative's attention will not be enough.
The harder test will be one of Logistics. The Cain Campaign will have to go national, transitioning to organize nationally, while focusing on key states strategic to his winning. His "Business Man Protest" campaign will have to flesh out a staff to handle national organizing, financing and includes garnering local and state level politicians and fundraisers to come out and endorse Herman Cain. He needs Commitment. Kinetically moving from Trending and Momentum to front runner status will not be easy. The businessman will need to take a serious look at his staff and bring in more people. Expect huge gains in the next national Poll later this week.
Perry: Perry is an interesting case. His lackluster debate performances have imploded with a dreadful Florida Debate last week. Normally, it wouldn't be that big of a deal, but this is not a normal year. He is losing air fast. He is a victim of his early success, with his bubble taking off with a positive explosion over Establishment candidate Mitt Romney. Now, a few bad debates later, his rhetorical stumbling has conservatives pulling back on strong support. Gov. Perry will need to earn those voters back.
Perry's staff is used to winning elections but should not be complacent. This bubble burst is for real. Conservatives instinctively realize that a poor debate or debate error will give the media the opportunity to run with the "he's not competent" story, they want to tell, in the liberal media's blatant support of Barrack Obama.
Perry will have to slow down the financing efforts and practice debating. It matters. In addition, he needs to do a better job of explaining his "children of illegals" empathy and policy. Most Republicans believe that Perry is making direct subsidies to illegals. He also needs to do a reset on his Border Security policies and come out with a modified "building the fence" initiative. Expect huge losses in the next national Poll later this week, potentially shocking losses of support.
Palin: Palin still has strong currency among base conservatives and Tea Party activists. Don't believe the spin about her negatives and GOP voters not wanting her to run etc. It's way to early to expect acceptance and most people have no idea where she stands on policy issues. Yet, her policies run right in line with the majority of Americans' viewpoint, excepting the liberal media and the uber Liberals.
Palin will have the same obstacles of Logistics that Cain has as stated above. However Gov. Palin has more national support lined up waiting to go and has the ability to take the air out of Cain's momentum at the drop of her announcement. It's all about the announcement or no announcement for Sarah Palin. Interestingly, just a few months ago pundits were saying it was too late for her now. Currently, pundits are advising that she can wait even longer. I would posit that those who want her to wait past the Florida deadline for registering for the Primary, are either miscalculating or don't have Palin's interest at heart. Expect Palin to get in the race the last week of October or expect her to not run.
Cain
Perry is in trouble because he demonstrated himself to be not all that much different the Romney. Rather then be an actual Conservative leader, Perry has exposed himself as yet another Establishment empty suit, say anything political pander and crony capitalist.
IMO Perry is not.
She’s ineluctable.
Herman is the best choice, and he is an actual candidate.
True enough. People are making a mistake in counting Bachmann out and Santorum wouldn’t cause me a great deal of pain voting for him.
I like Cain but I prefer the Tina Fey look-a-like....
JMO....
I see you’ve found yet another thread to talk up Perry. /s
I’m not sure I trust Perry. I know I don’t trust Romney. Cain seems like a decent person and seems authentically American - self-reliant, concerned about individual rights. And unless Sarah declares, there’s no reason to discuss her here.
And quite frankly endorsements like the one Perry received today from southern agriculture commissioners are helpful. If you look at the wording of the statements the “tools and resources” fits into the RINO narrative of more illegal labor and farm subsidies. Not the direction we need to go as a nation.
Perhaps you might want to reconsider you emotion based attachment to Perry rather then objecting to the truth being spoken.
Perry has my vote if he is the nominee. Perhaps not my enthusiasm but at least my vote. Romney will not get my vote. I will write in Palin before I cast a vote for that big-government ObamaCare-loving RINO from Massachusetts. I don’t see any comparison at all between the two.
I'm thinking we might not want to ask Maxine.
I have to admit that Sarah’s ‘wait and see’ strategy is looking better every day. If she jumps in now she will face the rapidly fading Bachmann, a highly damaged Perry and a Cain who is an unknown to half the population.
Now that’s a way more favorable circumstance than she would have been faced with if she had entered the race earlier. Plus she has missed 3 debates where it is certain that she would have shared that Pinata with Perry.
Well the title is a lie. Only two candidates are conservative on the list. Palin and Cain. I love this question that NO ONE will answer..... Perry has been bashing Obama on immigration like Obama bashes Bush over economy....the two of them are awfully similar. Blame others. Also I find it hilarious how Perry complains about Obama not doing anything for immigration but he has been gov for 11 years.....not a peep about immigration the other 9 years he has been in office. That is VERY telling.
and everyone knows it!!!
Bachmann?
Look, Perry is a good man, he just has screwed up on the immigration issue.
He has to change his policies.
Palin isn’t in the race.
Cain is a good conservative man. He could conceivably take the race issue away from Hussein the fascist.
I’ve always pretty much agreed with Cain never gave him much chance to break though the crowd. He is now in the spotlight, and that’s a credit to his ability to live and speak his basic principles, and his ability to articulate them (hmmm...he’s starting to remind me of Reagan).
“Bachmann and Santorum are perfectly acceptable as well.”
They are acceptable due to their conservative ideology. But, I think the Cain, Palin, and Perry are the three with the best chance of gaining the nomination at this point.
Things could change in time, but Bachmann’s campaign is in bigger free fall than Perry. Santorum, is doing better and I enjoy listening to him talk about foreign policy.
But, Cain has the breakout momentum right now.
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