Posted on 06/20/2011 9:11:22 AM PDT by drypowder
Its not surprising that risky behaviors go together, said Garen J. Wintemute, author of the study and director of the UC Davis Violence Prevention Research Program.
What an idiotic statement - assuming that carry a concealed weapon is a “risky behavior”. I pull reserve duty in the NCR and NOT being able to carry my weapon is “risky behavior”.
Colonel, USAFR
On January 1, 1996, the Texas Concealed Handgun Law went into effect. This law states that the Texas Department of Public Safety (TXDPS) "shall issue" a concealed handgun license (CHL) to any Texas resident who meets the application requirements for character (background check) and training. This is an analysis of arrest data for Texas concealed handgun licensees that was performed on data from the subsequent years of 1996 - 2000. A comparison was made with the arrest data for the entire Texas population for the same time period, showing that, on average: male Texans who are over 21 years old and are not CHL holders are 7.7 times more likely to be arrested for commission of a violent crime than male Texans with a CHL; and female Texans who are over 21 years old and are not CHL holders are 7.5 times more likely to be arrested for commission of a violent crime than female Texans with a CHL. Of the violent crime cases that have been adjudicated, approximately 26% of CHL holders who were arrested were convicted, and 44% are cleared of the violent crimes for which they were arrested. The chart below illustrates the arrest rate comparison for each of the years 1996 2000. The purpose of this analysis is to attempt to quantify the negative effect, if any, of Texas Concealed Handgun License holders on crime and crime rates through a comparison of arrests rates with the Texas population as a whole. The scope of this analysis is the five-year period from the law's enactment in January of 1996, through December of 2000. For the proper perspective, the analysis of the DPS arrest data for CHL holders is juxtaposed against the arrest data for the state's entire population. Unfortunately, this analysis cannot attempt to quantify the positive effect, if any, of the Texas Concealed Handgun Law, as there is no data available regarding the number of crimes prevented or the number of lives saved when a concealed handgun is used in self-defense. With the information available, a juxtaposition of the arrest rates for Texas CHL holders and the general public is the best, though imperfect, method of determining any negative effect (an increase in violent crime) of the Texas Concealed Handgun Law on Texas society. If allowing normally law abiding and peaceful citizens to carry a weapon concealed on their person were to somehow convert them into violent predators, it would be expected that CHL holders would have a higher crime rate than unlicensed Texans. The comparison of arrest rates suggests just the opposite Texans licensed to carry a gun are much less violent than Texans who are not. Since the age/sex demographics of the CHL group is so significantly different from that of the total Texas population, (Notes 1, 2), the comparison of the two groups was made between males age 21 years, CHL v. non-CHL; and females age 21 years, CHL v. non-CHL. Males:Top of PageThe average male Texan who is 21 years or older is 7.7 times more likely to be arrested for the violent crimes of murder, rape, robbery, and assault than the average male CHL holder. Looking at violent crimes individually, the average male Texan who is 21 years or older is 1.7 times (rate of 7.4 v. 4.3) more likely to be arrested for murder; 87 times (rate of 24 v. 0.3) more likely to be arrested for rape; 53 times (rate of 44 v. 0.8) more likely to be arrested for robbery; 3.4 times (rate of 202 v. 60) more likely to be arrested for aggravated assault; and 10 times (rate of 892 v. 87) more likely to be arrested for other assaults than the average male CHL holder. No male Texas CHL holder was arrested for negligent manslaughter during the 1996 through 2000 period. The average male Texan who is 21 years or older is 18 times more likely to be arrested for committing a non-violent crime than the average male CHL holder. Females:Top of PageThe average female Texan who is 21 years or older is 7.5 times more likely to be arrested for the violent crimes of murder and assault than the average female CHL holder. Looking at violent crimes individually, the average female Texan who is 21 years or older is 2.0 times (rate of 1.2 v. 0.6) more likely to be arrested for murder; 2.5 times (rate of 48 v. 19) more likely to be arrested for aggravated assault; and 17 times (rate of 178 v. 11) more likely to be arrested for other assaults than the average female CHL holder. No female Texas CHL holder has arrested for negligent manslaughter, rape, or robbery during the 1996 through 2000 period. The average female Texan who is 21 years or older is 13 times more likely to be arrested for committing a non-violent crime than the average female CHL holder. Notes:Top of Page
W. E. (Bill) Sturdevant, PE
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William E. Sturdevant, PE Copyright © 1999, 2000, 2001, |
Of course we are supposed to believe these CRACK smokers!
Snip-
"Only eight states chose to ask questions about both firearms and alcohol."
Whenever I come across a survey that gets into the "none of your business" zones, I tend to get creative
Any of you?
Sigh - It is Bravo Sierra time again, at another Kalifornia ‘institute of the academented’.
Let’s look at this whopper: “gun-related behaviors that carry a risk of violence, which also included having a loaded, unlocked firearm in the home and driving or riding in a vehicle with a loaded firearm.”
According to the sentence, the “study” assumed that driving in a vehicle with a loaded firearm is carries a significant “risk of violence”. The Academented seem unaware that an unloaded gun is an expensive and unwieldy ‘blunt force weapon’, better known as a ‘club’.
Clubs are notably useless in a vehicle when attacked by a criminal with a gun who is outside the victim’s car.
Given the prevalence of armed, two legged predators, a case can be made that leaving home without a loaded gun is an invitation to Murphy. And, never forget Murphy knows what you did with his youngest daughter that night!
“It is the right and duty of the citizen to be at all times armed...”. Good enough for the Founders is good enough for present day Americans.
hmm I must be an outlier...
120+ Rifles (milsurp)
20+ hand guns (milsurp_
only drinking alcohol I partake in is NyQuil when sick...
Paying idiots like Garen J. Wintemute is why California is broke.
Hey UC Davis!, I have a great idea for your next project! - How much violence & crime is committed by illegal aliens! follow up - how much & crime could be prevented with systematic deportations and a protected border.
I'll even volunteer to write out the grant applications
Wierd that I almost never drink.
The places my brother has to go it would be “risky behavior” to be unarmed!
What next? Good grief.
Total BS. I carry daily. I don’t drink.
however, I conducted a study that shows all liberals are mentally deficient and cannot be trusted with reality.
Well, this certainly explains why Coos County, Oregon leads the nation in gun related homocides.
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