Posted on 10/26/2010 3:25:39 PM PDT by truthfreedom
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But, Democrats are ferociously attacking CoD as hard as they attacked Scott Brown in Massachusetts. If she is so far behind, what is the point in beating up on this woman?
This is anecdotal, but I think I know why they are doing this…jusr like with Hottie McAwesome there are internals showing O’Donnell ahead.
Today I talked to a friend ftom Team Hillary who is a big Dem fundraiser. He told me that for the last week or so the DNC has been at DEFCON 1 leaning HARD on the rainmakers because they are terrified of a CoD win in Delaware.
The problem is some internal poll that apparently shows that a high percentage of Democrats early voting are voting straight ticket Republican instead…they are Democrats voting against Democrats.
...
(Excerpt) Read more at hillbuzz.org ...
So you supply a link to a poll of registered voter types in Delaware....NOT A THING ABOUT WHO YOU GONNA VOTE FOR...and suggest this is a poll of the candidates?
Your dislike of COD is evident on the threads you post.
My analysis of the Delaware demographs allegedly working against COD upthread is way better than yours.
But then, I live here.
No. This election is to fill out the remainder of Biden's unexpired term, to which he was elected (over O'Donnell, in a landslide) in 2008.
An appointee filled the seat until the next general election, this year ... leaving 4 more years in the term.
So this seat is next up for election in 2014.
If COD is elected - the entire left wing will commit mass suicide.
>>>I will happily concede (along with every political strategist in the game) to have having been completely and utterly wrong.<<<
Yeah, yeah - heard that before the primary too...
Rove, Castle, etc. really did, didn’t they.....
Ahem....
COD got two points less iin the 2008 election than John McCain got over Obamer. Which was something like 37%....but it wasn’t a “landslide” against COD, since the pub nominee for prez came in about the same.
But don’t let me stop your demented mission against Christine O’Donnell with the facts or anything.
I sure am rooting for her and would kill to see a decent poll within the last week. It is quite odd how nobody seems to want to poll the people of Delaware, but until they do we are really just hoping for the best in the face of a near double digit deficit with one week to go. But, Scott Brown happens! Or something like that.
Well, I certainly hope it makes more sense than your comment to me.
But hey -- I'm just doing math on the numbers available, and I provided links to the ones I used. I even said the numbers were somewhat old, but that they showed the difficulties O'Donnell has to overcome among independents.
That's just math applied to reality. If you're going to argue about my post, why not tell me where my math is wrong, rather than piling on your hopes and dreams about Democrats sleeping in and such?
Your dislike of COD is evident on the threads you post.
It's not a matter of "dislike," but rather that I think she's an awful candidate. That's a big reason why I don't think she'll be able to turn around her poor numbers among independents -- among whom she needs to win a huge majority in order to win the election.
It is true that Ds outnumber Rs 47-29
Christine doesn’t have to win huge with indys.
She just needs to have a turnout advantage.
Early voting is showing a +15 average turnout advantage.
If that +15 takes place in Delaware - and that’s the average -
that makes it 40-37 D’s over R’s. If Christine wins indies 60-40 - very possible, because conservative indies are more likely to vote than moderate or liberal indies, she wins.
It really isn’t too tricky. Just take a look for the word “tsunami” in posts from today.
But don’t get me wrong. If Democrats in Delaware are excited about voting to continue Obama’s policies, Christine won’t win.
All the evidence nationally is for a wave election, and if it is, Christine wins, and fairly handily.
You do know that in Kentucky, for example, it’s 56 Dem and 37 Rep. Most of the country has more Dems than Republicans.
Rand Paul, the Republican, is up by 13.
You hate her.
No sin. But you post a link to some kind of analysis of types of voters in Delaware and state that the polls say COD will get these votes ...
it’s misleading.
You think she’s an awful candidate?
And you sure go to great lengths to point every little “bad” thing out.
Just odd.
Moving on.
Well, I’d rather have a BS ancedote that sounds reasonable than a BS “poll” that doesn’t. I don’t know if this is BS or not. I do remember back in 2008 that many of the projections from the Hillary camp didn’t really pan out all that well.
But this article “sounds good to me”
Check out the R9... poster. Gets on every thread about COD putting her down.
Thinks she’s an “awful” candidate and doesn’t hesitate to point out every flaw and post some misleading facts.
Why would someone on a “conservative” forum do this?
Possible.
What I’d say about polls right now is that we haven’t had a real poll in quite some time.
The last one was 10/14 - it was Rasmussen, and it had Christine at -11. Rasmussen charges for crosstabs and they have some weird system of charging every month so I didn’t want to spend $20 and forget to cancel, just to look at one set of crosstabs.
I suspect that Rasmussen did talk to more Rs than the others, but did they talk to the whole 37% of Rs?
She has come across very reasonable in the debates, not at all a crazy idiot, and I expect that she’ll win, provided we have a similar turnout advantage that we’re seeing in other states.
It’s possible there was a Bradley effect in those old polls with the wide margins.
I'll loan him my tanto!
She’s very pretty. She would be a very young very pretty very prolife female.
That scares the Democrats.
Do you remember that she was the star of the Values Voter convention back in September?
She’s a star. Rossi and Fiorina are not stars.
People know who she is. And a lot more of them than you think do like her.
Based on her performances in the debates, she should have rock solid conservative support. They will be voting for her. Earlier polls pre debate, had less than full conservative support. Conservatives will be voting, and they will be voting for Christine. “Where in the first amendment?” was huge for conservatives.
Nope, not in this case. This is a short term, the seat that Biden won. 2014.
>>>She’s not going to get the dismal Democrat turnout she needs. <<<
Gee, the large number of Dems that are going door-to-door, calling and putting out mailers for Christine must not have gotten your message...
Unlike Fishtalk who is about 45 minutes South of me, I am near the center of the State... Democrats around here have practically zip as far as interest in Coons...
Talked to a friend the other day who delivers to many businesses in New Castle County - according to him, as he talks to the mostly union people he delivers to, when he asks “Well, I suppose you are going to be supporting Coons...” According to him, not one has said they were - overwhelmingly (according to him) they say “Hell no - I won’t vote for that SOB”.
The Wilmington Daily Democrat even ran an article that the unions were having trouble getting GOTV workers - there is ‘no fire in the belly.’
So, make of it what you will. I can sure see the light though...
She can do it!
You are feeling the buzz in Sussex. Are you saying that there’s a huge Christine buzz in Sussex based on what you’re experiencing?
Would, statewide, 60% Republican turnout and 37% Democrat turnout be a reasonable possibility? Higher you think, lower you think? Any thoughts there?
>>>I didn’t think Delaware had early voting..<<<
You are right - we don’t...
The “hopes and dreams” happen to be supported all across the country.
The average is +15 early voting. In Delaware, +18 gets the Republican vote and the Democrat vote equal.
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