Posted on 10/15/2010 7:25:35 PM PDT by Spydergoo
Each of the polls use a random sampling of 500 Likely Voters (unless otherwise stated) and has a +/- 5% margin of error (M.o.E). Poll that don’t add up to 100 are due to rounding. Commentary on the following results will be posted in a follow-up post.
Delaware Senate: 50%- (D)Chris Coons, 42%- (R)Christine O’Donnell, 5%- Undecided, 3%- Some other candidate
Pennsylvania Senate: 49%- (R)Pat Toomey, 42%- (D)Joe Sestak, 9%- Undecided
Connecticut Senate: 50%- (D)Richard Blumenthal, 47%- (R)Linda McMahon, 3%- Undecided
California Senate: 49%- (R)Carly Fiorina, 48%- (D)Barbara Boxer, 3%- Undecided
California Governor: 52%- (D)Jerry Brown, 47%- (R)Meg Whitman, 1%- Undecided
(Excerpt) Read more at theconservativejournal.wordpress.com ...
http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/7777/ssp-daily-digest-1011-afternoon-edition
some say this is completely bogus.
You might have noticed that Political Wire briefly had some Senate polls up today from somebody I’ve never heard of before, called “TCJ Research.” Those polls mysteriously vanished after Nate Silver, vanquisher of bogus pollsters, showed up on the scene with a simple tweet:
A Wordpress blog getting ~500 hits a day on posts like “October Giveaway: 32 Gigabyte Apple iPad!” suddenly commissions 5 polls? Not likely.
I was talking about the 500 for DE.
Anyway, take these polls with suspicion unfortunately.
California deserves Jerry Brown.
He will plunge that state into its absolute bottom, forcing a complete turnaround. It’s like an alcoholic - you have to reach bottom before you can begin a recovery.
I want to see the look on Karl’s face if COD wins. I’ve met the Architect on several occasions and at a dinner that we both attended, when I asked him what Bush 43 nicknamed him(during a Q and A), he jokingly referred to me as his new “friend”.
Then he did his FNC dissection of her.
I wrote him two scathing emails, returning his signed copy of new book, C and C.
He sent back a canned apology-free e-blast, continuing to try to justify his vitriol.
Does anyone else want to see him (and his white board) with egg on his face on the night of Nov.2? Just sayin’
LOL! So do I! He's been a real disappointment with his smug dismissive attitude toward COD. He deserves to be knocked off his high horse by an O'Donnell victory.
Not only Rove but Cornyn and all those smug RINO Senators and Steele. If they had worked as hard to support COD and Miller in Alaska as they have worked to defeat them, both R candidates would be ahead of the competition.
Momentum is on our side, in the next two weeks we see the GOP Senate candidates get some separation and move ahead, including, I believe, O’Donnell.
Interesting. Thanks for the info and link.
Three of these five races (PASen, CASen, and CAGov) basically match what RCP is showing.
The outliers:
RCP has the CTSen race at -9.0% whereas this poll has it at -3%. Statistical noise or a move in this race? Hard to tell. The most recent poll was by Rasmussen and had this race at -5%. All other polls were done before the recent debate. Maybe the debate is tightening things up here.
Same story with DESen. RCP has this race at -17.6%. But now, two polls have been done post-debate, Rasmussen at -11% and this one at -8%. Unlikely that a move of 10+ points (polls before debate were -18, -19, -19, -21) to be statistical noise. Either this race is tightening because of the debate and O’Donnell’s advertisements, or these last two polls are biased. But based on the other polls this firm conducted which largely matched RCP, they certainly don’t appear to be biased.
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