Storm Watch, 28 June 2010 and BP's Deepwater Oil Spill Open Thread

The Oil Drum ^ | 28 JUN 10 | Prof. Goose

[profgoose]

Alex has moved back over water, in the Gulf of Campeche, and has begun to build in intensity. The primary dynamic computer model tracks are showing landfalls on the south Texas coast, between Brownsville and Corpus Christi. The official forecast has been creeping northward, and I would expect further northward shifts. But Alex remains a tough storm to forecast. Although the environment remains favorable for hurricane formation, the models (both NMC's and our in house versions) for some reason are not intensifying the storm much. In fact, the HWRF is not even allowing Alex to become a hurricane before landfall. Here's the tracks:

[profgoose]

Things are changing down there. Let's hope it doesn't turn into the slick.

[13Sisters76]

Does anyone have any idea what caused the initial explosion yet? Are we EVER going to know? There has yet to be a satisfactory explanation of what exactly happened.

Has anyone heard anything?

[Ernest_at_the_Beach]

There is heavy discussion of all the possibilities at The Oil Drum....much reading....try this :

ROCKMAN on June 28, 2010 - 12:15pm

*********************************EXCERPT INTRO***********************************

A letter to the editors of the Wall Street Journal: