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South Carolina Governor's Race: Nikki Haley Staying Strong. Leads by 20%.
PPP ^ | 06/07/2010

Posted on 06/07/2010 7:58:14 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Nikki Haley hasn't suffered any damage whatsoever after accusations of multiple extramarital affairs and is headed for an easy first place finish in Tuesday's Republican primary for Governor of South Carolina.

Haley has a 20 point lead, getting 43% of the vote. Gresham Barrett looks like the favorite for the second runoff spot. He's at 23%, followed by Henry McMaster at 16%, and Andre Bauer at 12%.

Two weeks ago Haley held a 21 point lead in the race. Since then she's gained 4 points, Barrett's standing has improved by 7, McMaster's has dropped by a couple points, and Bauer's gone down a single point.

Only 13% of voters believe the allegations about Haley's marital infidelity. 54% flat out do not believe them and 33% are unsure. Haley will, however, be in trouble with voters if they ever are proven. In that case 42% think she should drop out of the race.

At +35 (58/23) Haley's favorability is nearly identical to its +34 standing from two weeks ago. Barrett has seen a large gain on that front over the last two weeks from +10 to +25 (44/19). McMaster and Bauer aren't making any progress on that front. The Attorney General has actually dropped from +21 to +17 (45/28). The Lieutenant Governor continues to be highly unpopular even with his own party's voters. He's at -23 (29/52), the same as his standing a couple weeks ago.

A runoff between Haley and Barrett appears to be the most likely outcome right now. Barrett narrows the gap in such a contest because supporters of McMaster and Bauer say they would support him 45-30 over Haley in a head to head. Nevertheless Haley still leads Barrett 51-35 overall.

Haley's support is pretty universal. She gets 43% with both moderates and conservatives, 45% in the Low Country, 44% in the Midlands, and 40% in the Upstate. At this point the chances of her winning an outright majority and avoiding a runoff appear to be better than the ones of her not finishing first.


TOPICS: Politics; Society
KEYWORDS: nikkihaley; socarolina; southcarolina
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1 posted on 06/07/2010 7:58:14 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
See full polling results here
2 posted on 06/07/2010 7:59:07 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

If Mark Sanford confesses to having had a fling with Nikki, we’ll know the fix is in.


3 posted on 06/07/2010 8:00:59 AM PDT by DrC
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To: SeekAndFind

Gee, 52% finding Lt. Gov. Rudolf Hess unpopular. Color me totally unsurprised.

What’s Andre going to do after he leaves office? My personal suggestion would be to indulge that lead foot of his and see if some NASCAR truck series team has an opening for a driver.

}:-)4


4 posted on 06/07/2010 8:03:16 AM PDT by Moose4 (November 2, 2010--the day that "YES WE CAN" becomes "OH NO YOU DIN'T")
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To: SeekAndFind
Only 13% of voters believe the allegations about Haley's marital infidelity. 54% flat out do not believe them and 33% are unsure.

Yep. I don't live in South Carolina but I called BS on the chrages from the word "go." Glad to see that a majority of South Carolinians agree with me.
5 posted on 06/07/2010 8:06:44 AM PDT by 84rules ( Ooh-Rah! Semper Fi!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Good news. Seems the smears by the slimey followers of the huckster failed. They truely are a vile bunch.


6 posted on 06/07/2010 8:09:57 AM PDT by rrrod
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To: SeekAndFind
The mouth breathing, low life, scum suckers thought that their usual tactics would work once again against Nikki Haley. Unfortunately for them, they have no Plan B.
7 posted on 06/07/2010 8:10:37 AM PDT by JPG (Mr. Gore, we have a warrant for your arrest...put your hands behind your back.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Love it, this party needs more “Mama Grizzlies” like Palin and Bachmann (sp?)!


8 posted on 06/07/2010 8:15:54 AM PDT by chae (I am karmic retribution)
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To: rrrod

I can hardly wait until tomorrow to cast my vote for her.


9 posted on 06/07/2010 9:58:04 AM PDT by RetSignman (Tea Parties ..."We have seen the Patriots and they are us")
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s nice to see a candidate survive the despicable attacks launched by the left. I suspect Nikki Haley faced lies invented specifically to manipulate our elections, and I’m glad that baseless charges have lost their effectiveness.


10 posted on 06/07/2010 10:35:25 AM PDT by Pollster1 (Natural born citizen of the USA, with the birth certificate to prove it)
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To: SC Swamp Fox; upchuck; visualops; TheStickman; 4everontheRight; Tatze; kjenerette; Van Jenerette; ..
Forgive me for sort of hijacking this thread, but my husband (FReeper zelig) and I just returned from a driving trip from Florida back home to Connecticut. We absolutely fell in love with South Carolina, particularly the Charleston area. We are still in a state of shock after seeing / hearing the numerous TV and radio ads of SC Republicans trying to "out-conservative" each other for today's primaries! One candidate even proudly proclaimed himself to be a conservative Christian (!). And the political signs - which were everywhere - had "conservative" and "Republican" printed on them... absolutely unheard of here in deep-blue CT. Most candidates here have no affiliation printed on their signs, although a few will label themselves as democRATs.

Honestly, we were stunned over the political ads and signs, and amazed at the many houses and cars we saw flying Gadsden and pro-military flags / bumper stickers. And those "In God We Trust" license plates! It's like we died and went to conservative Heaven! ;-)

I would welcome any information/comments about the Charleston, SC area, but I have a question about the voting districts: Is Charleston within 'RAT James Clyburn's 6th district, but the surrounding areas are within the 1st Congressional district? (Rep. Henry Brown, R-SC)

Besides Charleston, we particularly loved the towns of Sullivan's Island, Isle of Palms, Mt. Pleasant, Folly Beach and James Island. It was confusing to me which town/area was in which voting district though.

We found out the hard way that Kiawah Island was a private island... we were refused entrance at the gate, LOL. What's the deal with Kiawah Island? Rich and exclusive? Just curious...

We probably can't leave CT for a few years, but we hope to return to SC in a few months (perhaps in the fall) to investigate further... and to make sure it wasn't all just a dream! ;-)

11 posted on 06/07/2010 10:23:27 PM PDT by nutmeg (You didn't "misspeak", Mr. Blumenthal... you LIED)
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To: SeekAndFind; nakutny; SC Swamp Fox; upchuck
Nikki Haley Ping


Next South Carolina Governor


Send FReepmail to join or leave this list.


12 posted on 06/08/2010 2:20:36 AM PDT by upchuck (The last 4 letters in American: I Can; last 4 in in Republican: I Can; last 4 in in Democrats: RATS)
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To: nutmeg
With all due respect to the many FReepers who call the lowlands home, when you come back, be sure to check out the midlands and upstate areas.

I moved here in 2003. After driving all over this beautiful state, I chose Akien County. Just over the Savannah River from Augusta, GA.

More info here and here.

13 posted on 06/08/2010 2:32:06 AM PDT by upchuck (The last 4 letters in American: I Can; last 4 in in Republican: I Can; last 4 in in Democrats: RATS)
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To: nutmeg

http://www.ors.state.sc.us/districts02/con2002stw.pdf

congressional districts


14 posted on 06/08/2010 3:17:55 AM PDT by visualops (Proud Air Force Mom)
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To: nutmeg
The "flags" are real. The Candidates often are not ... they are just slugs sucking on conservatism. The people are way ahead of the politicians. All kinds of Constitution Classes, Tea Party Groups, etc. But that doesn't mean the politicians in SC "get it." For instance, the guy in Charleston who is a "conservative" is the one holding up Voter ID in committee ... but running as a strict Christian Conservative. Lindsey Graham's commercials, when he ran, touted him as "the conservative choice". We know that was a lie, but some people weren't paying attention to the REAL conservative in the primary, Buddy Witherspoon. The duplicity is with the candidates, but the people are becoming more educated and today in the voting booth, we are sorting some of them OUT! (This is Hope and Change I can believe in). But the PEOPLE here are serious ... eventually this will show itself at the polls.

Moved here from Memphis TN to retire 5 years ago, still in love with the place (Sun City, Hilton Head, SC). C'mon down!

15 posted on 06/08/2010 5:08:43 AM PDT by ThePatriotsFlag (http://www.thepatriotsflag.com - The Patriot's Flag)
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To: nutmeg
Nutmeg -
I moved here from MS about 15 years ago - job related. I fell in love with the Upstate of SC....I can drive about 10 minutes from my house and get the most beautiful view of the mountains! That sold me. Having moved here from a state that had two seasons - summer and pre-summer - I was thrilled to be able to have four beautiful seasons and fall is simply fantastic up here.

Having said that commercial - I must tell you that IMHO, if it were not for the remainder of the state, we would not be suffering through Lindsey Graham. He did not carry his home area which is where I am at. The Tea Party is going great here and I can bet this area will go hog wild for Haley for Governor. The Upstate is solid conservative and I would not live anywhere that was not - not any more!

BTW, just let us know when you decide to make the move and we will help ya move and bring you some food to stock the fridge till you get settled! You will not meet better, kinder, greater people than in the South!
16 posted on 06/08/2010 5:20:39 AM PDT by 4everontheRight ("America is good. And if America ever ceases to be good, America will cease to be great." Tocquevill)
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To: nutmeg

Hi Nutmeg:

I moved to SC from my native NC in 1991, and save for four years wandering in the wilderness of Tennessee due to job opportunities, I have lived here since. My home is in the Midlands near Columbia, but I, too, LOVE Charleston.

The congressional districts have been so gerrymandered over the decades by Democrats to make sure they kept some districts and had at least one minority representative (can you say “Clyburn?”) that it’s hard to know when you are in one and out of another. I believe someone has already posted the contortions that pass for districts now in SC.

What I’ve found is that most folks here are solid, Conservative citizens who love their country and believe in the vision of the Founders. They are patriotic, and they are tired of Washington, DC trying to run every aspect of their lives. They’re also tired of the games that go on in the State Capital of Columbia, too. Our primaries are today, and we’re looking with anticipation for big changes.

The area if Mt. Pleasant, Isle of Palms and Sullivan’s Island is my personal favorite down on the coast around Charleston. I’ve stayed down in that area dozens of times and can make recommendations if you decide to make a visit down there. I’d probably move down there if I could get a job and my wife wouldn’t divorce me lol

I wish you well, and hope you can come down and enjoy some time in South Carolina!


17 posted on 06/08/2010 9:08:04 AM PDT by patriot preacher (To be a good American Citizen and a Christian IS NOT a contradiction. (www.mygration.blogspot.com))
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To: nutmeg
What's the deal with Kiawah Island? Rich and exclusive?

To put it mildly.

18 posted on 06/08/2010 9:13:32 AM PDT by Non-Sequitur
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To: SeekAndFind

If she does not get 50 percent, she will have to go through another 2 weeks of campaigning against the Republican second place.


19 posted on 06/08/2010 1:29:57 PM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: upchuck
I moved here in 2003. After driving all over this beautiful state, I chose Akien County. Just over the Savannah River from Augusta, GA.

Thank you so much for those links and information about the South Carolina midlands and upstate areas. My husband and I will definitely have to explore more of SC... I hope sooner rather than later. ;-)

Congratulations on what looks to be a win by Nikki Haley... she looks to be an exciting candidate for governor! We saw many of her political signs last week, but didn't know anything about her. We'll definitely be following her race through November.

20 posted on 06/08/2010 10:51:49 PM PDT by nutmeg (You didn't "misspeak", Mr. Blumenthal... you LIED)
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