Shocking poll: Brown leads in Mass.

The Washington Examiner ^ | January 9, 2010 | David Freddoso

[Scanian]

Don't look now, but Republican Scott Brown leads Democrat Martha Coakley by one point, 48 to 47 percent, in Public Policy Polling's new poll of the January 19 special Senate election in Massachusetts.

Brown is benefiting from depressed Democratic interest in the election and a huge lead among independents for his surprisingly strong standing. Those planning to vote in the special election only report having voted for Barack Obama in 2008 by a 16 point margin, in contrast to his actual 26 point victory in the state.

[WVNan]

The most targeted people in any state election at this point in time is the Sec. of States. They keep costing us elections because ACORN can’t do that much harm if the SofS is honest and can’t be bought off.

[Clintonfatigued]

The Boston Globe poll released today gives Martha Coakley a 50% to 35% lead, surprising.

http://www.boston.com/news/local/massachusetts/articles/2010/01/10/senate_poll_coakley_up_15_points/

I’m frankly skeptical of that poll, given that it’s way out of synch with other polls.

The Boston Herald is also releasing a poll very soon, perhaps tomorrow. It’s said to show Coakley leading by 7 points.

[PennsylvaniaMom]

Read another great ‘message’ on another blog. Anyone ‘out of state’ donating to Scott Brown should (if financially possible) donate $17.73. 1773 is the year of the Boston Tea Party.

Send money AND a message!

And for those who can’t sent that much, $9.12 sends a message as well...

;)PM

[Sparky1776]

“Martha has put a lot of bruthas in the slammer”

Perhaps but she was sleeping at the wheel when it came ti Diane Wilkerson & Chuck Turner - maybe they will show her some love?

[perfect_rovian_storm]

The Globe poll is old anyway.

Can’t wait to get a look at the internals of the Herald one.

The trend is clearly towards Brown. Coakley is a horrid candidate.

[Michael Barnes]

I’ll buy that. One of the more coherent posts today; kudo’s and thanks.

[Maelstorm]

Also it is far different than the two most recent polls. I trust Rasmussen and while I’m encouraged by the PPP poll the Boston Globe poll appears to be bogus. It is not only out of synch with the other polls the internals appear to reflect an environment not changed since Obama got elected. Anyone who believes that I believe is on drugs. I think this race is winnable but this is going to be no way a cake walk. Unless there has been something that changed overnight between the ppp poll and the boston globe poll both which are Democrat organizations then I would have to give more credence to the PPP poll which is an actually polling organization with a track record which though not as good as Rasmussen is fairly good. I hope Scott Rasmussen does another poll to help set things straight because the Boston Globe poll feels like a bucket of cold water meant to depress Brown turnout.

[Names Ash Housewares]

I don’t live there but just contributed to his campaign.

THIS IS THE YEAR OF OUR REVOLUTION!

FIGHT!

[melancholy]

Thank you for your thoughtful analysis.

To the dems, this seat is worth two tons of gold:

1- The 60 TH vote, and
2- Avoid the disastrous snowball effect of:

a- The first MA Senate seat in 37 years to go Republican, very bad publicity for the RATs!
b- A ‘10 election trailblazer, (it happened in MA, why not “here?”) message.
c- Scaring the heck out of the ACORNers and the Al-Frankeners (if it couldn’t have been stolen in MA, we have no prayer in pulling ANYTHING off)

These are very powerful incentives for the dem power in general, and to 0b0z0 and his Chicago thugs in particular. Their egos could never swallow such a bitter pill, which means one obvious outcome; they’ll be out on their asses in ‘12.

What an intolerable thought for Communists who, through history, never, ever been ousted in an “election.”

I think the 1% margin for Brown to win may have to be 4% or 5% to make it really tough for the dems to steal.

[ExTexasRedhead]

Did you mean The Goebbel’s Boston RAT Globe??? That could be the one.

[pb929]

There is an interesting statement in the Boston Globe article about their poll that has Coakley up by 15.

...both were at 47 percent - among the roughly 1 in 4 respondents who said they were “extremely interested’’ in the race

Assuming the turnout will be very low in this race it seems to me that this 1 in 4 who are extremely interested in the race really makes up the likely voter pool and as such the race is even among those who really are likely to come out and vote.

[Rick_Michael]

No way a repub will win there. But then again, all the independents motioning this way...is a nice thing to see.

[carolina71]

SCott Brown laid it all out on Hannity — in fact, he told Hannity “the way it will be “ —

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n97E9RLf7lQ

[American Dream 246]

They had Hoffman 10 pt ahead!!! So keep on sending money - keep on calling - keep on helping Brown. With Acorn, we need at least 5 points ahead anyway to win the dead voters.

[mrsixpack36]

There are not that many blacks in Mass. It is a small percentage. Could it be enough to tip the election if they don't vote? Maybe but not likely.

[Jim Noble]

Most FReepers do not understand the environment in which everyone is a Democrat, like MA.

The Party in MA contains essentially everybody is either a) politically active or b) needs a job, or has a relative who does.

So, it’s a large and diverse group.

Coakley won with 43% of the vote in a primary that had asbout 20% turnout. She therefore could have as little as <10% of actual Dems who want her to be their Senator.

And, because the Party is a coalition of tribes, and she’s not Irish, not a Jew, not a lesbian, and is as icy white a bitch as ever locked up a brutha, she could actually lose.

[historyrepeatz]

When one sees all that has gone to hell in just one year of Obama’s presidency, why is this shocking? What IS shocking is that Obama hasn’t been IMPEACHED and most of his Cabinet and associates jailed for treason.

[Robert A Cook PE]

Let’s not get too excited. Public Policy Polling has close ties to the Democratic Party. It had Hoffman up by a bunch in NY23 three days before the election.

This just may be a ploy to get Dems to the polls.

My opinion as well: The democrats are SCARED and need a “crisis” to get their people (their mind-numbed robots) out from their TV sets to vote.

Mind you, the democrats didn't WANT to release such a poll - but they HAVE TO release it. Probably because the real numbers are even worse than a 1% loss?

[Robert A Cook PE]

Concur: They only needed a few votes in Seattle (also crooked democrat) and a few in Franken’s “selection” - but NJ was too large a margin for a governor. A governor who wasn’t needed to appoint a democrat senator, that is.

[GVnana]

Astonishing.